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From the Desk of George Friedman

George Friedman’s Thoughts: On My Visit to the United Arab Emirates

I spent last week in the United Arab Emirates, in the city of Dubai. Dubai sits on the edge of the Persian Gulf, which is called the Arabian Gulf by Arab states. This was not my first trip there, but I have never left the city, which means I have only seen the most modern […]

The Road to Four Months That Changed the World

Thirty years ago, on Nov. 9, 1989, the Berlin Wall fell. This was the beginning of a period that would change the world. When...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Geopolitical Determinism

Having written a great deal on space and enchantment, it is time to come down to earth. I want to return to the central...

Toward a Theory of Journalistic Objectivity

Last Sunday, I received an email from a close friend telling me and others that after 60 years he was canceling his subscription to...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Flipping the Cards

Let me turn over some cards. Reasonable people (every one of you, I’m sure) are likely wondering what in the world I am doing,...

Obama, Trump and the Wars of Credibility

The United States is in the process of shifting a core dimension of its strategic doctrine. In the past, the U.S. resorted to the...

The Enchantment of Mutually Assured Destruction

One of the most extraordinary facts of history is that during the Cold War the United States and the Soviet Union never launched a...

Rochester, NY, and the Rise and Fall of Technology

Last weekend, my wife and I visited our grandson (children were subsidiary to this visit) who lives in Rochester, New York. He and his...

From London to Space War

From the beginning, mankind’s presence in space had to do with war. In World War II, humanity went beyond the Earth’s atmosphere in order...

The Origins of New US-Turkish Relations

For several years, there has been a significant shift underway in U.S. strategy toward the Middle East, where Washington has consistently sought to avoid...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Command of Space, Command of the Sea

In order to begin thinking about space-based warfare, we need to think about sea-based warfare. The best place to do that is in World...

Nixon and Trump: The Politics of Impeachment

The evolution of the American political system inevitably has an impact on the global system. If the United States shifts direction in even minor...

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