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Welcome to Geopolitical Futures

Geopolitical Futures tells you the continuing story of the future. We do that by charting the course of the international system.

We have a model, a way of looking at the world, based on the assumption that impersonal forces – things like geography, politics, economics, military capability and demography – govern world leaders not the other way around. It’s an important distinction you don’t see anywhere else. Because when you know what compels and constrains a leader, you can predict how the nation they lead will behave. When you know how nations behave, you can anticipate how the international system will change.

When you can anticipate how the international system will change, you begin to see world events as we do: in the context of a much longer and more interesting story than the mainstream media can tell, one that traces dispassionately the rise and fall of world powers.

Our Track Record


Our track record speaks for itself. We accurately predicted in our forecasts and Friedman’s books The Next 100 Years (2009) and The Next Decade (2011) and Flashpoints (2015) the economic and political crisis in the EU, the economic decline in China, the re-emergence of Russia in the mid 2010s, and the ensuing confrontation over Ukraine. We laid out what challenges the United States would face and in The Storm Before the Calm (2020) predicted the 2020s would be a crisis decade for America. We forecast the global reordering of nations: the rise of Turkey and Poland as a regional powers and Japan’s reemergence as a major Pacific power. Everything we publish is rooted in geopolitics and flows from our forecast, which lays out our predictions for the year – or for the years ahead.

Why Does It Matter?


Geopolitical Futures filters out the insignificant, allowing you to focus on what’s important to move your lives and your business forward – to see the opportunities as well as risks.

  • We provide geopolitical forecasts that allow you to understand what really matters in the world and what doesn’t. 
  • We give you a daily guide to understand the events around you.
  • We help you monitor and react to global events to reduce your risk and maximize your investments.

Who Are We?

Think of Geopolitical Futures as your guide to navigating the future. Founded in 2015 by internationally respected strategist and best-selling author, George Friedman, we are a Texas-based company with an international staff working from many countries. We have no office and invest in people and minds, not buildings.  We are totally supported by subscriptions and are bound by no one but our readers.

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