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Daily Memo: US-Iran Negotiations Underway, Armenia and Russia Discuss Ties

Meeting in Muscat. Nuclear talks between the U.S. and Iran have begun in Oman....

Latest Analysis

Xi Drains the Central Military Commission

Last week, China’s Ministry of National Defense announced that Zhang Youxia, first vice chairman...

Iran’s Regime Is Headed for a Hard Landing

The 47th anniversary of Iran’s 1979 revolution is less than a week away, but...

The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

Washington’s Red Lines in Latin America

There’s evidence to suggest that the United States and China are gradually getting closer...

Chokepoints in Space Power

Outer space isn’t as accessible as people tend to think. Some 80 nations operate...

The US, Canada and the Nature of Middle Powers

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If nations were thought of as individuals, then the relationship between the United States...

George Answers Your Questions: The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War

The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War Jan. 26, 2026 Question: Will a weakened Russia drift...
From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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George Answers Your Questions: Comparing US Cycles

George Answers Your Questions: The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War Jan. 31, 2026 Question: You have written about the 80-year institutional cycle and the 50-year...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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Trending Content

Ukraine Peace Talks: Will Putin Accept a Loss?

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This week, leaders from Russia, Ukraine and the United States will meet in Abu Dhabi for another round of peace talks aimed at ending the war in Ukraine; a conflict which has continued for four years this month. After so much fighting, what does Russia still hope to get out of negotiations, and is it willing to concede after not reaching its goals? Russia's economy has suffered immensely as a result of the war and by several measures simply can no longer be considered a major power on the world stage.

Ukraine Peace Talks: Will Putin Accept a Loss?

FREE
This week, leaders from Russia, Ukraine and the United States will meet in Abu Dhabi for another round of peace talks aimed at ending the war in Ukraine; a conflict which has continued for four years this month. After so much fighting, what does Russia still hope to get out of negotiations, and is it willing to concede after not reaching its goals? Russia's economy has suffered immensely as a result of the war and by several measures simply can no longer be considered a major power on the world stage.