Daily Memo
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Daily Memo: US-China Trade Deal, Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks

Compromise. The United States and China agreed to slash duties on imports for an...

Gloomy Outlook for World Trade

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(click to enlarge) The World Trade Organization has released a report titled World Trade Outlook and Statistics, highlighting two negative trends: falling trade volumes and...

America’s New Threat Assessment

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(click to enlarge) The 2025 Annual Threat Assessment from the U.S. Intelligence Community presents a detailed overview of a rapidly evolving threat landscape defined by...

China Bolsters Presence on Indian Border

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(click to enlarge) Since the 2020 clashes between Chinese and Indian troops in the Galwan Valley in the disputed Ladakh region, China has significantly strengthened...

Global Energy Trends

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(click to enlarge) The International Energy Agency released its Global Energy Review last month, revealing notable changes in demand and supplies. In 2024, global demand...

Latest Analysis

In Russia, a Late Night Call for Peace

In the early morning of May 11, when most Russians were fast asleep, President Vladimir Putin issued a long statement on a resolution to...

Victory Day and the Weaponization of Memory

I am currently in Prague to teach a course on geoeconomics as part of...

A New Reality in the India-Pakistan Conflict

India and Pakistan this week became the only nuclear powers to engage in a...

America in Transition

From disruption to reconstruction.

Where Brazil Stands in the Trade Wars

A few countries have found any upside in the recent raft of U.S. tariffs....

Red Alert: India Strikes Pakistan

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On May 6, India launched Operation Sindoor in retaliation to the April 22 militant...

Israel’s Druze Policy and Dismantling of Syria

Since the fall of Bashar Assad’s regime last December, Israel has carried out more...

Europe? What’s That?

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Europe has become a lightning rod in the United States lately, particularly with regard...
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George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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Europe? What’s That?

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Europe has become a lightning rod in the United States lately, particularly with regard to the U.S.’ desire to stop guaranteeing European security. It’s...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Regional Directory

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

Where Brazil Stands in the Trade Wars

A few countries have found any upside in the recent raft of U.S. tariffs. Brazil is one such country. The fanfare over its potential success...

Red Alert: India Strikes Pakistan

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On May 6, India launched Operation Sindoor in retaliation to the April 22 militant attack on Pahalgam, Jammu and Kashmir, which left 26 civilians...

George Friedman: What’s Next for Russia, Ukraine and Europe?

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The US-Ukraine minerals deal is done but a Russia-Ukraine peace deal is seemingly out of reach. Now the US is looking to scale back its involvement in mediating an end to the conflict. So what's next for the war in Ukraine? In this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman considers how the fighting might end, why Vladimir Putin might be running out of room, and why Eastern Europe is now the pivot point for European defense.

Neighbors No More? Allison Fedirka on The Shifting Ties of North America

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Like much of the world, North American geopolitics looks very different to six months ago. Tariffs, border issues and suggestions of US troops in Mexico are creating concerns to America’s south. On a recent episode of our ClubGPF's Podcast+, GPF director of analysis Allison Fedirka joined host Christian Smith as we continued our series on Trump’s second term in office, looking at the geopolitics of North America.

Daily Memo: German Politics, Israeli Attack Plans

Surprise result. Friedrich Merz, who was expected to take over the German chancellorship after winning the election in February, failed to secure enough parliamentary...

Israel’s Druze Policy and Dismantling of Syria

Since the fall of Bashar Assad’s regime last December, Israel has carried out more than 500 airstrikes to prevent the former regime's weapons from...

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