Real-time updates on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events.

Brief: China Tests the Philippines and US Red Lines

Background: The Philippines’ importance lies in its geography, located in the...

Brief: Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan Clash Over Territory

Background: Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, two former Soviet republics, have longstanding territorial...

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What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Tracking the Economic Recovery in the US, China

Disappointing jobs number. The U.S. economy added 266,000 jobs in April, far below expectations...

What We're Reading

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What We’re Reading: The Future of War and History of Hip-Hop

2034: A Novel of the Next World War By Elliot Ackerman and Adm. James Stavridis “2034:...

What We’re Reading: Babies and Bad Guys

Challenge of the World Population Explosion U.S. Government Accountability Office While browsing Amazon, I came across...

Russia’s New Strategy for Central Asia

While Russia was grabbing attention with its buildup and withdrawal of military forces along...

Germany, May 8, 1945

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On May 8, 1945, Germany formally declared defeat in World War II. As others...

Featured Analysis

India’s Trump Card Against China

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Despite its enormous potential, India is by no means an inevitable counterweight to Chinese ambitions in the Indian Ocean. The country's immense domestic needs...

Brief: China Tests the Philippines and US Red Lines

Background: The Philippines’ importance lies in its geography, located in the middle of what’s...

Spain’s Grand Plans in Africa

It wasn’t so long ago, historically speaking, that Spain was a great power. It...

Brief: Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan Clash Over Territory

Background: Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, two former Soviet republics, have longstanding territorial disputes between them....

The Struggle to Rule Moldova

Moldovan politics are stuck. New pro-Western President Maia Sandu has struggled to govern, as...

The Decline of Births and the Transformation of All things

The U.S. birth rate fell by 4 percent in 2020 compared to 2019, resulting in the lowest number of babies born since 1979. The...

The Storm Before the Calm

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Forecasts

The World in 2021

Economic and political fallout from COVID-19 responses will remain the primary driver of events in 2021.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2020

Economic dysfunction will be the main driver of the international system in 2020.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Media / Interviews

L’Express: George Friedman : Dans l’art de paraître suicidaire, il n’y a pas plus expert que l’Iran

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Pour Joe Biden, les négociations sur le nucléaire ne seront pas faciles, car les Iraniens sont maîtres dans l'art du bluff, estime le fondateur...

RealClearWorld: B-52s in the Middle East

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Last week, two B-52 bombers flew over the Middle East, the fourth time since Joe Biden became president of the United States. Washington said...

RealClearWorld: Reflections on Poland’s Alliances

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During the Cold War the United States convinced West Germany and other allies that Washington would defend Western Europe even at the cost of...

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