Briefs

Real-time updates on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events.

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Brief: The UK and the USMCA

Geopolitical Futures -
Background: The post-Brexit United Kingdom is still trying to define its...
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Brief: North Korea Tests a Missile and Biden

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Geopolitical Futures -
Background: North Korea has been relatively quiet for the past year...
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Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Evergrande Keeps Mum on Bond Payment Deadline

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Watching for signs. There are conflicting reports about whether embattled Chinese property giant Evergrande...
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What We're Reading

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What We’re Reading: Questioning American Exceptionalism

What We're ReadingCole Altom -
American Power After Afghanistan By Jessica T. Matthews “American exceptionalism” is a uniquely polarizing idea. Its...
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What We’re Reading: Sober Spy Dramas

What We're ReadingRyan Bridges -
The Bureau Created by Eric Rochant To enjoy spy shows, viewers inevitably have to suspend their...
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The Syrian Kurds’ Long Road to Recognition

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
The origins of the Kurdish question in Syria can be traced back to the...
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Turkey’s Ambitious Plans for Africa

AnalysisAbubakar Alhassan -
For years, Turkey has pursued an ambitious agenda, expanding its influence in countries and...
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Featured Analysis

The Nagging Question in the Indo-Pacific

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Phillip Orchard -
Senior U.S. diplomats were fanned out across the Indo-Pacific last week. U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin toured Southeast Asia, outlining to circumspect U.S. partners...
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Why Australia Spurned France

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
The decision by the Australian government to join a U.S.-British consortium to help construct...
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Rolling in the Deep of the Indo-Pacific

AnalysisPhillip Orchard -
In a landmark announcement Thursday, Australia, the United States and the United Kingdom unveiled...
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Mexico’s Moment

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
The stars have aligned to present Mexico with the unique opportunity, however slight, to...
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Bonus Chapter: The Five Eyes

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Editor’s note: In a supplementary chapter of his book “The Storm Before the Calm,”...
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Weekly Graphic

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Weekly Graphic

Chip Manufacturing and Cars

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) There's a dizzying array of supply chain problems contributing to the global surge in inflation. One of the stickiest is the now-yearslong...
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Americas

Mercosur’s Changing Trade Patterns

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) In 1991, Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay established Mercosur to increase their participation in global trade and improve their negotiating positions with...
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Europe

Next Generation EU Begins

Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) In 2020, the European Union was still recovering from the 2008 global financial crisis – and the subsequent sovereign debt crisis of...
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How the Global Economy Works, or Seems To

George Friedman -
There is an interesting pattern that takes place in the global system. A nation emerges that is able to produce industrial products at low...
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The Storm Before the Calm

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Forecasts

The World in 2021

Economic and political fallout from COVID-19 responses will remain the primary driver of events in 2021.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2020

Economic dysfunction will be the main driver of the international system in 2020.

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Media / Interviews

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RealClearWorld: Is This Uzbekistan’s Time?

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
In our 2019 Annual Forecast, we said we expected Uzbekistan to challenge Kazakhstan as the dominant power in Central Asia. The COVID-19 pandemic delayed any...
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El Herald de Mexico: México-EEUU: ¿nuevo trato?

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
"'Si bien las iniciativas de México pueden no tener el mismo impacto en el hemisferio que las de Washington, son suficientes para mostrarle a...
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Cicero: Projekt „Blaue Heimat“

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
Die Türkei tritt im östlichen Mittelmeerraum zunehmend aggressiv auf – es geht um Gasvorkommen, den Zypern-Konflikt und um geostrategische Ziele. Wegen der Pandemie hat...
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Daily Memo: Europe’s Soaring Gas Prices, North Korea’s Uranium Processing

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
Energy bailout? Britain’s business secretary on Monday met with energy companies to discuss rising natural gas prices. The energy sector had earlier warned the...
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Rolling in the Deep of the Indo-Pacific

AnalysisPhillip Orchard -
In a landmark announcement Thursday, Australia, the United States and the United Kingdom unveiled a new trilateral Indo-Pacific security alliance. The pact is expected...
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Chip Manufacturing and Cars

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Weekly GraphicGeopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) There's a dizzying array of supply chain problems contributing to the global surge in inflation. One of the stickiest is the now-yearslong...
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Daily Memo: China Officially Applies for Trade Pact Membership

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
Beijing's bid for membership. China is trying to butt its way into the Pacific Rim’s premier trade pact, formally applying Thursday for membership in...
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Mexico’s Moment

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
The stars have aligned to present Mexico with the unique opportunity, however slight, to improve its position relative to the United States. Mexico’s proximity...
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Daily Memo: US, UK, Australia Forge New Security Pact

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AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Joining forces. British, Australian and U.S. leaders announced a new security partnership for the Indo-Pacific on Wednesday. The trilateral “AUKUS” program will focus on...
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