Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: A Shaky Start to Russia-Ukraine Negotiations

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Tempered expectations. Russia and Ukraine are expected to hold their first direct talks since...
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Weekly Graphic

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Weekly Graphic

Gloomy Outlook for World Trade

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) The World Trade Organization has released a report titled World Trade Outlook and Statistics, highlighting two negative trends: falling trade volumes and...
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Americas

America’s New Threat Assessment

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(click to enlarge) The 2025 Annual Threat Assessment from the U.S. Intelligence Community presents a detailed overview of a rapidly evolving threat landscape defined by...
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Analysis

China Bolsters Presence on Indian Border

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(click to enlarge) Since the 2020 clashes between Chinese and Indian troops in the Galwan Valley in the disputed Ladakh region, China has significantly strengthened...
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Weekly Graphic

Global Energy Trends

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(click to enlarge) The International Energy Agency released its Global Energy Review last month, revealing notable changes in demand and supplies. In 2024, global demand...
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Latest Analysis

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Saudi Arabia and US Strategy for the Middle East

Analysis Kamran Bokhari -
The United States has upgraded Saudi Arabia’s international standing as part of Washington’s broader strategy to rebalance power in the Middle East. The Trump...
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A Shrinking China Scrambles for a New Economic Model

AnalysisVictoria Herczegh -
China is shifting from an export- and investment-driven economy to one based on domestic...
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India, Pakistan, Diplomacy and War

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Clashes broke out last week between Pakistan and India after a militant group –...
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America in Transition

From disruption to reconstruction.

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In Russia, a Late Night Call for Peace

AnalysisEkaterina Zolotova -
In the early morning of May 11, when most Russians were fast asleep, President...
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Victory Day and the Weaponization of Memory

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu -
I am currently in Prague to teach a course on geoeconomics as part of...
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A New Reality in the India-Pakistan Conflict

AnalysisKamran Bokhari -
India and Pakistan this week became the only nuclear powers to engage in a...
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Where Brazil Stands in the Trade Wars

AnalysisAllison Fedirka -
A few countries have found any upside in the recent raft of U.S. tariffs....
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India, Pakistan, Diplomacy and War

George Friedman -
Clashes broke out last week between Pakistan and India after a militant group – purportedly backed by Pakistan – attacked an India-controlled area of...
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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

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US Bargaining With China and Russia

Analysis Kamran Bokhari -
With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...
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American Naval Policy and China

Analysis George Friedman -
Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...
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Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

Analysis Antonia Colibasanu -
One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...
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Victory Day and the Weaponization of Memory

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu -
I am currently in Prague to teach a course on geoeconomics as part of a master’s program in geopolitics at Charles University. While here,...
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Daily Memo: Iran Nuclear Negotiations, Syrian Diplomacy

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Direct contact. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi asked the U.S. special envoy for the Middle East, Steve Witkoff, to agree to direct talks on...
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A New Reality in the India-Pakistan Conflict

AnalysisKamran Bokhari -
India and Pakistan this week became the only nuclear powers to engage in a significant conventional military conflict with one another, but there are...
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George Friedman: What’s Next for Russia, Ukraine and Europe?

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VideoGeopolitical Futures -
The US-Ukraine minerals deal is done but a Russia-Ukraine peace deal is seemingly out of reach. Now the US is looking to scale back its involvement in mediating an end to the conflict. So what's next for the war in Ukraine? In this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman considers how the fighting might end, why Vladimir Putin might be running out of room, and why Eastern Europe is now the pivot point for European defense.
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HE WHO RULES THE COSMOS OCEAN RULES THE WORLD OCEAN

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PartnersLimes -
The Duel is between the US and China by Giorgio Cuscito This essay appeared on Limes n. 4/2025 Assalto all’Oceano Cosmo. 1. Donald Trump has a goal:...
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Daily Memo: US-China Talks, US-Houthi Ceasefire

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Trade negotiations. The U.S. and China will hold trade talks in Switzerland on May 9-12. Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng will represent Beijing, while...
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