Briefs

Real-time updates on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events.

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Brief: Ukraine Wants to Buy an Iron Dome Battery

Geopolitical Futures -
Background: Israel and Russia have developed a pragmatic and functional relationship...
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Brief: Russia Admits Failure in the North Caucasus

Geopolitical Futures -
Background: The Caucasus is an important buffer separating Russia from Turkey...
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Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Iranians Head to the Polls

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Iranian elections. Iran held presidential and local council elections on Friday. Ultra-conservative frontrunner Ebrahim...
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What We're Reading

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What We’re Reading: The Evolution of Money and the Russian State

What We're ReadingEkaterina Zolotova, Allison Fedirka -
The History of the Russian State By Boris Akunin “The History of the Russian State” is...
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What We’re Reading: Goodbye to Budapest

What We're ReadingValentina Jovanovski -
Goodbye to Budapest: A Novel of the Hungarian Uprising By Margarita Morris Hungary was far from...
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The Curse of Sectarianism in Lebanon

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
In October 2019, a spate of protests erupted over the Lebanese government’s plan to...
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In Peru, Uncertainty at Home, Consistency Abroad

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
Ten days have passed since Peru’s presidential election, and though all the votes have...
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Featured Analysis

Reengaging the Northern Triangle

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Allison Fedirka -
In recent years, there’s been a periodic and predictable exchange between the United States and the Northern Triangle countries – Honduras, El Salvador and...
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Brief: Russia Admits Failure in the North Caucasus

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Background: The Caucasus is an important buffer separating Russia from Turkey and Iran. Having...
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What Does It Mean to Rejoin Europe?

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
U.S. President Joe Biden’s trip to Europe has thus far pivoted around the single...
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How the Competition Against China Could Improve NATO

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu -
Last week, U.S. President Joe Biden started a European tour in the United Kingdom,...
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Brief: Russia’s Eastward Turn

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Background: Russia is following the trend and looking east, hoping to solidify its position...
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Weekly Graphic

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Summits and the Personal Understanding They Foster

George Friedman -
As the week of meetings in Europe ends, many wonder what the varied personalities have brought us. In particular, we wonder whether U.S. President...
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Forecasts

The World in 2021

Economic and political fallout from COVID-19 responses will remain the primary driver of events in 2021.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2020

Economic dysfunction will be the main driver of the international system in 2020.

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Forecasts

Media / Interviews

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BNN Bloomberg: Geopolitical Futures on Biden’s Europe Trip, NATO Meeting, China’s Military Might

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
George Friedman discusses President Biden’s summit trip to Europe and Beijing's growing military might, which was one of the top items on the agenda...
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JORNAL ECONÓMICO: A Maior Corrida do Mundo é Pelo Controlo da Inteligência Artificial

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
“As interconexões económicas criam dependências. Quanto mais um país depende de outro, mais o seu poder enfraquece e este é o caso da China...
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Global Guessing: Phillip Orchard on Geopolitical Futures, US-China Competition, and Forecasting Methods

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
How do the biggest geopolitical risk firms approach forecasting? What’s the future of tensions between the United States and China? Phillip Orchard of Geopolitical...
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Daily Memo: Aircraft Subsidies Breakthrough, Controversial South Korean Drills

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
Breakthrough in subsidies dispute. The United States and European Union agreed on a cease-fire in their 17-year battle over subsidies for Boeing and Airbus,...
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What Does It Mean to Rejoin Europe?

FREE
AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
U.S. President Joe Biden’s trip to Europe has thus far pivoted around the single issue on which almost the entire world agrees: Biden is...
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Brief: NATO’s Concerns Over China

Asia PacificGeopolitical Futures -
Background: NATO has had a bit of an identity crisis ever since the Soviet Union collapsed. Not only is there no longer a primary...
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Daily Memo: Japan’s Stalemate, Spanish Protests

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Japan's stalemate. Japanese opposition parties plan to submit a motion of no-confidence Tuesday against the government of Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga. The motion is...
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How the Competition Against China Could Improve NATO

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu -
Last week, U.S. President Joe Biden started a European tour in the United Kingdom, including a stopover at the G-7 summit. He met with...
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COVID-19’s Impact on Employment Worldwide

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Weekly GraphicGeopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) In 2020, some 114 million workers around the world lost their jobs or withdrew from the labor force. An estimated 30 million...
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