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North Korea Manages Expectations, One Provocation at a Time
May 18, 2018

Pyongyang thinks a deal is possible that would end the standoff largely on its own terms.



Watch List Findings: May 19, 2018
May 19, 2018 North Korea wavers on summit, Iraqi election results are in

In Europe, as Migration Falls, Nationalism Rises
May 17, 2018 Europe is still struggling to deal with the effects of the refugee crisis.

Watch List: May 17, 2018
May 17, 2018 India and North Korea hold talks, China buys up Iranian oil

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The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict, by the Numbers
May 18, 2018 Minor skirmishes there erupt every so often, but they have never escalated to all-out war.

Watch List: May 16, 2018
May 16, 2018 North Korea’s canceled meeting, NAFTA’s coming deadline
The Role of Political Leaders
May 16, 2018 Even the most powerful ones are constrained by impersonal forces.

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What We're Reading: May 15, 2018
May 15, 2018 Thoughts on Central America and the second U.S. civil war

Watch List: May 15, 2018
May 15, 2018 Iraq’s elections, Turkey’s reactions, China’s economic indicators

Why Turkey and the UK’s Relationship Won’t Last
May 15, 2018 Their shared perspectives on Europe’s future are bringing them together.
Watch List: May 14, 2018
May 14, 2018 Concessions in North Korea, violence in Gaza, governance in Italy

To New Ends and New Beginnings
May 14, 2018 Though much has changed in the past two and a half years, there is much bigger change coming in the ...
Decision Time in Syria
May 14, 2018 It’s always been hard to tell just what everyone wanted in Syria. Thanks to Iran, we now have a clearer ...

Watch List Findings: May 12, 2018
May 12, 2018 Iran and Israel raise the stakes in Syria, U.S. talks trade with China and NAFTA partners
The Threats Facing Israel
May 11, 2018 Iran has a few ways it can respond to Israeli attacks, all of which face some heavy limitations.

An Italian-American Summit
May 11, 2018 In this bonus episode, GPF Chairman George Friedman sits down for a short conversation with Limes magazine director Lucio Caracciolo ...
What's at Stake in Iraq's Elections
May 11, 2018 The government in Tehran will still have some degree of influence in Iraq regardless of who wins.

A Short History of Modern Russia

Find out what makes Russia tick


The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict, by the Numbers

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The World in 2018

Dec. 15, 2017 The dysfunction that will characterize the year has a decade’s worth of momentum behind it.

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The Road to 2040
Dec. 2, 2015 We look into the future and forecast what the world will look like in a quarter of a…

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The World in 2016: A Summary of Our Forecast
Dec. 2, 2015 We look ahead at the major geopolitical developments the world can expect to see in 2016. These include…

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Understanding Geopolitics Starts Here.

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