Free | Reality Check

Delaying the Inevitable in Afghanistan

Aug. 22, 2017 With the way things are going, the country will unravel with or without a U.S. military presence.

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Free | This Week in Geopolitics

North Korea’s Rational Analysis

Aug. 21, 2017 The regime in Pyongyang couldn’t have lasted this long if it were irrational.

Watch List

Watch List: Aug. 21, 2017

Watch List

Watch List Findings: Aug. 19, 2017

Free | Reality Check

Presidential Constraints

Aug. 21, 2017 The limits on a leader’s power – and thus a country’s options – aren’t only external.

Free | Podcast

Building Out the Model

Aug. 18, 2017

Allison Fedirka and Xander Snyder detail how we incorporate history, maps and forecasting to create our geopolitical…

Free | Reality Check

China and India Guard Against the Preposterous

Aug. 18, 2017 Nations do not take their national security lightly merely because the threat is far-fetched.

Deep Dive

A Brief History of the Imbalance of Power in the Middle East

Aug. 17, 2017 The Arabs’ ancient struggle with Persia shows why their modern power appears to be on the decline.

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Watch List: Aug. 17, 2017

Free | Reality Check

In Pakistan, Vulnerability Is the Price of Independence

Aug. 17, 2017 Long after the U.S. has left the region, Pakistan will still be living in the shadow of India.

Net Assessments

The Weekly Graphic

The Unconquerable Persian Legacy

Aug. 18, 2017  Before Islam, Arabs were confined largely to the Arabian Peninsula. They were nomads, warring and leaderless. To the north of the peninsula lay the Byzantine Empire. Across the Persian Gulf lay the Sassanid Empire, which stretched from Mesopotamia to the South Caucasus. The two empires had fought each other intermittently for more than three centuries. It was under these circumstances that their fortunes changed as Islam emerged and became the founding philosophy of a new government in Medina. Ten years later, when the Prophet Muhammad died and a new leader replaced him – ushering in the first Arab empire, known as the Rashidun Caliphate – Arab Muslims had assumed control of the entire Arabian Peninsula.

But the Arabs embraced Persian culture faster than the Persians converted to Islam. In fact, so great was the Persians’ influence that when Islam spread to Central Asia, the Turkic people who lived there converted to the Persianized version of Islam. Stunningly, the traditions of Persian subjects were adopted by Arab overlords – and not the other way around.

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