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Saudi Arabia’s Security Dilemma

Despite the burgeoning threats in the Middle East, the Saudi armed forces remain a paper tiger at best.

A Common Theme of Global Unrest

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From Hong Kong to Tehran to Buenos Aires, the world appears to be destabilizing. The question that has been raised is whether there is...

Turkey, the NATO Summit Spoiler

The alliance has failed to serve Turkey’s growing interests.

Forecast Tracker: 2019 November Update

A Cycle Ends The U.S. and China will reach a deal on trade, but it won’t end the trade war. On track Washington’s willingness to settle for...

Visiting Istanbul

I am writing this from Istanbul, trying not to count how many Thanksgivings I have spent without my children and grandchildren. But as they...

Bolivia’s Crisis of Legitimacy

After Morales’ resignation, will the next Bolivian government be able to win the support of the people?

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Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

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From the Desk of George Friedman

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Fear and Loathing in Publishing a New Book

The galleys have arrived and my writing is officially ended. The book is now in the hands of Doubleday’s production and marketing department and...

Daily Memo: The US Case Against Iran, South Korea and China Meet, the EU Warns Mexico

The Pentagon hasn’t commented on recent attacks in Iraq, but leaks provide some details.

Media / Interviews

CNN Turk: What will happen in the world in 2020?

What to expect in Turkey next 10 and 100 years? What will happen in the world in 2020? Famous American political scientist George Friedman told CNN TÜRK. Büşra Arslantaş's private interview (translated).

Full interview

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The Geopolitics of Donald Trump

“There are those who regard Donald Trump as too stupid to make decisions. There are others who regard him as a brilliant if instinctive crafter of policy. What we know of him is this. "

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Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

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Forecasts

The World in 2019

One era is ending and another will soon begin.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2018

The dysfunction that will characterize the year has a decade’s worth of momentum behind it.

You can read our annual forecasts or check out the forecast tracker, a bi-weekly update of our forecasts, and see how we’re doing.

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Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

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