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Modeling the US Reaction to the Coronavirus

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Analysis George Friedman -
The United States is under enormous pressure. The nature of the particular pressure is unique, though pressure on the United States from various forces...

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The Indo-Pacific After COVID-19

AnalysisPhillip Orchard -
In late March, senior officials from the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, a loose coalition of the Indo-Pacific’s four most powerful democracies, quietly launched a series...
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Supply Chains and a Novel Path to Conflict

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Though “supply chain” became a household term only in the past generation, it has been around since humans have been engaging in commerce. One...
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A New Tripartite Alliance in Syria? 

AnalysisCaroline D. Rose -
The Kurds are looking to some unlikely allies for support.
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Not Another Eurozone Crisis

AnalysisRyan Bridges -
For now, it’s just a coronavirus-induced political dispute that looks like one.
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The Method to Bolsonaro’s Madness

AnalysisAllison Fedirka -
Brazil’s economy isn’t resilient enough to stay shut down for long.
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The Coronavirus Closes Borders

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
The border between the United States and Canada has been closed. I don’t recall that ever happening before; I’m not sure what it is...
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Arab Perspectives on the Coronavirus

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
The Arab world is as guilty as any other region in underestimating the threat.
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Why Saudi Arabia’s Oil Price War Won’t Work

AnalysisCaroline D. Rose -
Riyadh’s strategy to force Russia into compliance may carry a cost too high to bear.
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The Coronavirus and the Rural-Urban Divide

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu -
The pandemic will deepen differences between the urban and the rural.
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A Good Year for Taiwan

AnalysisPhillip Orchard -
The self-ruled island has deftly fended off China, even as it managed the coronavirus outbreak masterfully.
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Modeling the US Reaction to the Coronavirus

FREE
AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
The United States is under enormous pressure. The nature of the particular pressure is unique, though pressure on the United States from various forces...
Read more

The EU Wasn’t Built for This

AnalysisAllison Fedirka -
However ill-suited the bloc may be, it understands that the coronavirus outbreak warrants a collective response.
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What We're Reading

What We’re Reading: Alone in Communities and the Plague

What We're ReadingGeorge Friedman, Antonia Colibasanu -
Alone Together: Why We Expect More From Technology Than Each Other By Sherry Turkle Bowling Alone: The Collapse and Revival of American Community By Robert D. Putnam In...
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What We’re Reading: Red, White and Blue and Red Flags

What We're ReadingAllison Fedirka, Phillip Orchard -
Weekly reviews of what's on our bookshelves.
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What We’re Reading: The Story of Salt and a Call for Recommendations

What We're ReadingEkaterina Zolotova, Cole Altom -
Weekly reviews of what's on our bookshelves.
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What We’re Reading: Napoleon and a Coup in Iran

What We're ReadingCaroline D. Rose, Ryan Bridges -
Weekly reviews of what's on our bookshelves.
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The Storm before the Calm“This book is of obvious general interest but is essential reading for anyone with a role in strategic planning. It combines clear, interesting prose with a thought provoking projection of upcoming challenges and ultimate outcomes.”
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From the Desk of George Friedman
Analysis

Supply Chains and a Novel Path to Conflict

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George Friedman -
Though “supply chain” became a household term only in the past generation, it has been around since humans have been engaging in commerce. One...
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Daily Memo

What's geopolitically important today.

Daily Memo: Wuhan Opens Up

Analysis Cole Altom -
European mitigation. As Europe struggles against the coronavirus outbreak, its institutions are scrambling for solutions to limit economic and political fallout. Today, the European...
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Media / Interviews

USA Today: Stop the Panic. Don't Let the Coronavirus Win.

GPF Staff -

COVID-19 is a public health emergency, but precautions must be proportionate to the risk. The cure can't be worse than the disease. - Alex Berezow

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Daily Memo: Oil Prices Rise, Unemployment Numbers Surge

AnalysisGPF Staff -
Brent crude prices rose on the hopes that Russia and Saudi Arabia could be close to a deal.
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George Friedman’s Thoughts: Thinking About This Moment

From the Desk of George FriedmanGeorge Friedman -
My job is to write, and my goal in writing is to put things in perspective. The world has been to me an endlessly...
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Daily Memo: The European Divide, Iran Relief, US Diplomacy

AnalysisGPF Staff -
EU members are divided over whether to issue so-called "coronabonds."
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The Method to Bolsonaro’s Madness

AnalysisAllison Fedirka -
Brazil’s economy isn’t resilient enough to stay shut down for long.
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Special Report:

The Geopolitics of Donald Trump

“There are those who regard Donald Trump as too stupid to make decisions. There are others who regard him as a brilliant if instinctive crafter of policy. What we know of him is this. "

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