Briefs

Real-time updates on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events.

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Brief: China Tests the Philippines and US Red Lines

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Background: The Philippines’ importance lies in its geography, located in the...
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Brief: Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan Clash Over Territory

Geopolitical Futures -
Background: Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, two former Soviet republics, have longstanding territorial...
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Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Tracking the Economic Recovery in the US, China

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Disappointing jobs number. The U.S. economy added 266,000 jobs in April, far below expectations...
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What We're Reading

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What We’re Reading: The Future of War and History of Hip-Hop

What We're ReadingPhillip Orchard, Cole Altom -
2034: A Novel of the Next World War By Elliot Ackerman and Adm. James Stavridis “2034:...
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What We’re Reading: Babies and Bad Guys

What We're ReadingGeorge Friedman, Ryan Bridges -
Challenge of the World Population Explosion U.S. Government Accountability Office While browsing Amazon, I came across...
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Russia’s New Strategy for Central Asia

AnalysisEkaterina Zolotova -
While Russia was grabbing attention with its buildup and withdrawal of military forces along...
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Germany, May 8, 1945

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
On May 8, 1945, Germany formally declared defeat in World War II. As others...
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Featured Analysis

India’s Trump Card Against China

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Phillip Orchard -
Despite its enormous potential, India is by no means an inevitable counterweight to Chinese ambitions in the Indian Ocean. The country's immense domestic needs...
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Brief: China Tests the Philippines and US Red Lines

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Background: The Philippines’ importance lies in its geography, located in the middle of what’s...
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Spain’s Grand Plans in Africa

AnalysisAllison Fedirka -
It wasn’t so long ago, historically speaking, that Spain was a great power. It...
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Brief: Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan Clash Over Territory

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Background: Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, two former Soviet republics, have longstanding territorial disputes between them....
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The Struggle to Rule Moldova

AnalysisEkaterina Zolotova -
Moldovan politics are stuck. New pro-Western President Maia Sandu has struggled to govern, as...
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Weekly Graphic

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The Decline of Births and the Transformation of All things

George Friedman -
The U.S. birth rate fell by 4 percent in 2020 compared to 2019, resulting in the lowest number of babies born since 1979. The...
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The World in 2021

Economic and political fallout from COVID-19 responses will remain the primary driver of events in 2021.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2020

Economic dysfunction will be the main driver of the international system in 2020.

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Media / Interviews

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L’Express: George Friedman : Dans l’art de paraître suicidaire, il n’y a pas plus expert que l’Iran

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
Pour Joe Biden, les négociations sur le nucléaire ne seront pas faciles, car les Iraniens sont maîtres dans l'art du bluff, estime le fondateur...
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RealClearWorld: B-52s in the Middle East

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
Last week, two B-52 bombers flew over the Middle East, the fourth time since Joe Biden became president of the United States. Washington said...
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RealClearWorld: Reflections on Poland’s Alliances

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
During the Cold War the United States convinced West Germany and other allies that Washington would defend Western Europe even at the cost of...
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Trending Content

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Brief: China Tests the Philippines and US Red Lines

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Background: The Philippines’ importance lies in its geography, located in the middle of what’s known as the first island chain, giving it – or,...
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Daily Memo: Brussels and New Delhi to Talk Trade

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
Trade talks. Official talks between the European Union and India on a free trade deal are expected to begin May 8 during a virtual...
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Spain’s Grand Plans in Africa

AnalysisAllison Fedirka -
It wasn’t so long ago, historically speaking, that Spain was a great power. It ruled much of the Americas, dominated the Atlantic Ocean and...
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Dismantling the NATO-Led Mission in Afghanistan

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South AsiaGeopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) On May 1, forces from NATO member states will begin to withdraw from Afghanistan, marking the final phase of the NATO-led Resolution...
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Daily Memo: US-Made Vaccines Headed for Mexico

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Vaccine exports to Mexico. Pfizer is shipping COVID-19 vaccine doses produced in the United States to Mexico this week, according to a Reuters report....
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Apple and the Past

From the Desk of George FriedmanGeorge Friedman -
A few days ago, my phone – a 10-year-old iPhone 6 – died. Or, more precisely, it continued to work as a phone but...
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