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The Geopolitics of the Coronavirus

The outbreak has never been strictly a medical crisis.

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China’s Trial by Fire

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Analysis Phillip Orchard -
From the COVID-19 outbreak to the subsequent economic crisis, with catastrophic flooding of the Yangtze River thrown in for good measure, 2020 has subjected...

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China’s Trial by Fire

FREE
AnalysisPhillip Orchard -
From the COVID-19 outbreak to the subsequent economic crisis, with catastrophic flooding of the Yangtze River thrown in for good measure, 2020 has subjected...
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Encountering Korea

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Arriving at the international airport at Incheon, now a global transport hub, I received instructions for South Korea’s coronavirus screening procedures. Incheon will always...
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In Morocco, Broken Promises and Bleak Prospects 

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
Morocco is a unique country in the Middle East and North Africa region. Having been conquered by the Umayyad Caliphate in the early eighth...
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Belarus’ Next Episode

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Public demonstrations against Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko have intensified. Looked at casually, it seems unlikely that his presidency can survive. If the protesters are...
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The Kremlin’s Unusual Silence

AnalysisEkaterina Zolotova -
Russian President Vladimir Putin will not fly to New York this week for the 75th session of the U.N. General Assembly, reportedly due to...
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The Trouble With a Premature Vaccine

AmericasAlex Berezow -
Hope is beginning to fade that the world will have a safe and effective coronavirus vaccine before the predicted “second wave” arrives that will...
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9/11, 19 Years Later

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
It has been 19 years since 9/11. For me, it was pivotal moment of terror. For many others, once the initial paralyzing fear was...
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The Ups and Downs of Turkish-Israeli Relations

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
In 1949, Turkey recognized the state of Israel, becoming the first Muslim country to exchange diplomatic missions with it. Since then, their relations have...
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Eternal Brexit

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
In 2016, the British government called for a referendum on whether the United Kingdom should remain a member of the European Union. The British...
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The Genius of Labor Day

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Labor Day became an American Federal Holiday in 1894. Most other countries celebrate Labor on May 1. That date had been a pagan celebration,...
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The Communist Party of Every Last Inch of China

AnalysisPhillip Orchard -
In July, Chinese authorities announced a three-year plan to phase out Mongolian-language instruction for grade schoolers in the nominally autonomous northern region of Inner...
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Turkey Means Business in the Eastern Mediterranean

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is on a mission to remake the Eastern Mediterranean. Within Turkish society and across the country’s fragmented political landscape,...
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What We're Reading

What We’re Reading: The Exceptional and the Unexceptional

What We're ReadingRyan Bridges, Caroline D. Rose -
American War By Omar El Akkad I almost don’t want to describe the backdrop of “American War” because it may be triggering for American readers and...
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What We’re Reading: Making America and the Caucasus

AmericasAllison Fedirka, Ekaterina Zolotova -
American Nations: A History of Eleven Rival Regional Cultures by Colin Woodard There’s no denying a deep social divide exists in the United States. Most anyone...
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What We’re Reading: Succession and Mutilation

What We're ReadingValentina Jovanovski, Phillip Orchard -
Waiting for Eden By Elliot Ackerman War stories are often gruesome, heart-wrenching and generally hard to read. What tends to go overlooked, though, is that the...
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What We’re Reading: Eisenhower and McCarthyism

What We're ReadingGeorge Friedman -
Ike: An American Hero By Michael Korda Michael Korda’s book is an excellent study of Dwight D. Eisenhower, both as a person and as supreme allied...
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From the Desk of George Friedman
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Encountering Korea

George Friedman -
Arriving at the international airport at Incheon, now a global transport hub, I received instructions for South Korea’s coronavirus screening procedures. Incheon will always...
More from George Friedman
George Friedman’s new book:
The Storm Before the Calm

The Storm before the Calm“Who will win the acrimonious 2020 presidential election? Shockingly, it won’t actually matter that much, argues renowned geopolitical forecaster George Friedman. America, he contends, is governed less by leaders and legislation and more by cyclical forces that work deep within the nation’s unique structure.”
Lone Star Literary Life

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Daily Memo

What's geopolitically important today.

Daily Memo: TikTok’s Time Is Up

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Clock ticking for TikTok. The Trump administration announced Friday that it will ban U.S. business transactions with China-owned social apps WeChat and TikTok effective...
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Media / Interviews

American Council on Science and Health: The Trouble With A Premature Vaccine

Geopolitical Futures -
Hope is beginning to fade that the world will have a safe and effective coronavirus vaccine before the predicted “second wave” arrives. Despite an unprecedented global effort, a deliverable vaccine might still be months away. - Alex Berezow Full story
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Daily Memo: Putin-Lukashenko Meeting, Space for Talks in the Mediterranean

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Lukashenko goes to Sochi. Large-scale protests continued in 28 Belarusian cities on Sunday, including in the capital of Minsk, where estimates of participation ranged...
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The Kremlin’s Unusual Silence

AnalysisEkaterina Zolotova -
Russian President Vladimir Putin will not fly to New York this week for the 75th session of the U.N. General Assembly, reportedly due to...
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Russia: A Power Broker in Eurasia?

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Weekly GraphicGeopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) The foreign ministers from the member states of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization met in Moscow this week, ahead of a leaders summit...
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Daily Memo: Brexit on the Brink, Japanese Defense After Abe

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Brexit brinksmanship. After a day of meetings to “clarify” the terms of the U.K.’s Internal Market Bill, Brussels turned up the heat on Thursday,...
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Special Report:

The Geopolitics of Donald Trump

“There are those who regard Donald Trump as too stupid to make decisions. There are others who regard him as a brilliant if instinctive crafter of policy. What we know of him is this. "

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Forecasts

The World in 2020

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2019

One era is ending and another will soon begin.

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