The US Rivalry With China Gets Closer to Home
October 18, 2018 Beijing’s interest in the Caribbean and Central America has gotten Washington’s attention.

What We’re Reading: Life After War, Long Balkan Memory
October 16, 2018 Weekly reviews of what’s on our bookshelves.

The Predictive Power of Demography
October 11, 2018 History suggests the conventional wisdom about demographics and national power may be wrong.

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The Limits of Nuclear Arms Treaties
October 22, 2018 The idea that a treaty can mitigate the threat of war simply misses the point.

South Korea Prepares for a Future Without the US
October 22, 2018 Seoul’s long-term goals for North Korea are incompatible with Washington’s, and sooner or later it will have to strike out ...
Daily Memo: Damage Control in Saudi Arabia
October 20, 2018 All the news worth knowing today.

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Where China Is Detaining the Uighurs
October 19, 2018 The central government is holding nearly 1 million members of the Muslim minority group in camps around Xinjiang province for ...

Daily Memo: Sustaining the EU, China’s Economy, ASEAN Defense
October 19, 2018 All the news worth knowing today.

Saudi Arabia Reaches Its Moment of Reckoning, the Quad Keeps Things Informal
October 19, 2018 Checking the pulse of our annual predictions, every two weeks.
Fact and Fiction in the Khashoggi Affair
October 19, 2018 The journalist’s killing could call into question the U.S.-Saudi alliance.

Daily Memo: Exploiting the North Korea Talks, Unintended Consequences
October 18, 2018 All the news worth knowing today.
Turkish-Saudi Relations: Taking the Long View
October 18, 2018 Their shared interests will supersede any tensions arising from the Khashoggi case.

Daily Memo: Choices to Make on Brexit and the Balkans
October 17, 2018 All the news worth knowing today.
Defining Xi’s ‘Chinese Dream’
October 17, 2018 What does the Chinese leader mean when he talks about a national renewal?

Daily Memo: China Makes Nice with Japan, Belarus Walks the Line
October 16, 2018 All the news worth knowing today.
The US Plays the Long Game in the South China Sea
October 16, 2018 Washington is content to accept the status quo in the region, so long as Beijing does as well.
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Forecasts


The World in 2018

Dec. 15, 2017 The dysfunction that will characterize the year has a decade’s worth of momentum behind it.

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The Road to 2040

Dec. 2, 2015 We look into the future and forecast what the world… Read now


Our forecast tracker is a bi-weekly update of our forecast, see how we're doing or see our annual forecasts.


Regional Directory

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