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The Fragmentation of the European Union

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At the end of this week, the United Kingdom, the second-largest economy in Europe, will exit the European Union. Meanwhile, Poland is under intense...

What Awaits Iran?

Shiite clerics have always played an active and essential role in Iranian public affairs. Safavid shahs (1501-1736) found them extremely useful in proselytizing Persians...

Chinese New Year 2020: The Year of the Coronavirus

The biggest political and economic effects of pandemics come from public panic and panicked government responses, not the disease itself.

Russia’s Black Sea Fleet Ventures Into the Mediterranean

The fleet plays a key role in Russia’s Mediterranean strategy.

Russia’s Puzzling Moves

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Over the past few weeks, two odd things have happened in Russia. The first is that Russian President Vladimir Putin has restructured the government....

The Geopolitical Consequences of Australia’s Wildfires

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The tragedy has been well documented, but its potential global effects have not.

The Power Players in Libya’s Civil War

The number of concerned parties is growing by the day, but Russia and Turkey remain the conflict’s center of gravity.

Putin’s State of the Nation Address and His Path to Future Power

The president is looking for ways to carry out his agenda beyond 2024.

Returning to the Beginning

In recent weeks, I have been writing on the very ordinary but precious moments of my life. I wrote about the complexity of my...

Palace Intrigue and Paranoia in North Korea

Pyongyang has welcomed in the new year by hinting that something isn’t quite right in the Hermit Kingdom.

Evaluating the Importance of Recent Events

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There are moments when the entire world seems to be coming apart, as if Armageddon itself were upon us. Public attention tends to be...

The Limits of Germany’s Economic Outreach to Russia

German Chancellor Angela Merkel was in Moscow on Saturday to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Over more than three and a half hours...

What We're Reading

What We’re Reading: U.S.-Mexico Migration and Destructive Fast Fashion

Beyond Borders: A History of Mexican Migration to the United States Timothy J. Henderson “Beyond Borders” chronicles the history of the ebb and flow of Mexican...

What We’re Reading: The War That Made Americans and Cold War Espionage Stories

Braddock's Defeat: The Battle of the Monongahela and the Road to Revolution David L. Preston Gen. Edward Braddock was a British commander in what was called...

Learn what will shape the world in 2020

From the forecast:


The economic downturn will intensify the social crisis in the United States, compounding the ongoing political crisis.

The most important European issue in 2020 will be the degree of instability in the United Kingdom. Regardless of how Brexit resolves itself, the unity of the United Kingdom has been shaken to the core.

From the Desk of George Friedman

The Fragmentation of the European Union

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At the end of this week, the United Kingdom, the second-largest economy in Europe, will exit the European Union. Meanwhile, Poland is under intense...

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Daily Memo: China’s Coronavirus Strategy, the UK’s Huawei Policy

Xi Jinping has charged his trusted ally with heading the government response to the Wuhan virus.

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American Council on Science and Health: Chinese New Year 2020: The Year Of The Coronavirus

The biggest political and economic effects of pandemics come from public panic and panicked government responses, not the disease itself. - Alex Berezow, PhD and Phillip Orchard Full story

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