Real-time updates on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events.

Brief: Serbia’s Show of Force to Kosovo

Background: Kosovo declared its independence from Serbia in 2008, less than...

Brief: The UK and the USMCA

Background: The post-Brexit United Kingdom is still trying to define its...

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What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Chinese Missile Tech, Austin’s Black Sea Tour

China's leap forward. China reportedly caught the U.S. off guard by testing a sophisticated...

What We're Reading

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What We’re Reading: The Cause of War and Tyranny

Man, the State, and War:A Theoretical Analysis By Kenneth Waltz As a former international relations student,...

What We’re Reading: African Literature and Russia Television

Nemtsy By Stas Ivanov Ignoring the Soviet era, Russia has a pretty bad record of film...

The Illusion of Arab Nationalism

The Arab uprisings briefly resurrected the idea of Arab nationalism. During the 2011 Pan...

What’s Driving the Spike in Energy Prices?

Inflation has been a big story around the world for much of 2021. But...

Featured Analysis

On Geoeconomics

Last week, I spoke and moderated at several conferences in person – a rare thing since the pandemic began – whose topics ranged from...

Explanations for the Labor Shortage

The current breakdown of the global supply chain threatens to change the future of...

Why Evergrande Is Going to Plan

The saga of debt-ridden Chinese property giant Evergrande, which has been rattling markets at...

Arab Leaders and Their Delicate Egos

Arab leaders, no matter how divided they might be, all have one thing in...

The Threat of Another Caucasus Conflict

A year after the brief war between Armenia and Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh, tensions are...

Forecasting and Living

I started writing a book in 2015 that would eventually have the title “The Storm Before the Calm.” In it, I identified a series...

The Storm Before the Calm

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Buy The Storm Before the Calm paperback and receive 6 exclusive bonus chapters.
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The World in 2021

Economic and political fallout from COVID-19 responses will remain the primary driver of events in 2021.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2020

Economic dysfunction will be the main driver of the international system in 2020.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Media / Interviews

RealClearWorld: Is This Uzbekistan’s Time?

In our 2019 Annual Forecast, we said we expected Uzbekistan to challenge Kazakhstan as the dominant power in Central Asia. The COVID-19 pandemic delayed any...

El Herald de Mexico: México-EEUU: ¿nuevo trato?

"'Si bien las iniciativas de México pueden no tener el mismo impacto en el hemisferio que las de Washington, son suficientes para mostrarle a...

Cicero: Projekt „Blaue Heimat“

Die Türkei tritt im östlichen Mittelmeerraum zunehmend aggressiv auf – es geht um Gasvorkommen, den Zypern-Konflikt und um geostrategische Ziele. Wegen der Pandemie hat...

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George Friedman on Life, Work and Money: Geopolitics and Economics

George Friedman unpacks the relationship between geopolitics and economics, with host Langley Respess, as well as the relationship between the United States and China, and how demographics is shaping our future.

Why Evergrande Is Going to Plan

The saga of debt-ridden Chinese property giant Evergrande, which has been rattling markets at home and abroad, isn’t going away anytime soon. After missing...

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