Briefs

Real-time updates on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events.

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Brief: Russo-China Naval Drills

Geopolitical Futures -
Background: By many accounts, the bilateral relationship between Russia and China...
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Brief: 3 Cuban Generals Are Dead

Geopolitical Futures -
Background: The Cuban government’s staying power rests on its ability to...
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Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Japanese Support for Taiwan, North Korean Warnings for Seoul

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Support for Taiwan. Japan’s defense minister over the weekend called for greater international attention...
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What We're Reading

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What We’re Reading: Taking Cyber Seriously

What We're ReadingPhillip Orchard -
Dark Territory: The Secret History of Cyber War By Fred Kaplan A reader recommended Fred Kaplan's...
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What We’re Reading: Capitalism’s Viability

What We're ReadingRyan Bridges -
Can Democracy Survive Global Capitalism? By Robert Kuttner Almost two months ago, I praised Branko Milanovic...
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Why Egyptians Don’t Dissent

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
Earlier this month, Abdel Nasser Salamah, the former editor-in-chief of Cairo’s renowned al-Ahram newspaper,...
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The Costs and Benefits of Patronizing Cuba

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
In February, we wrote that Cuba’s economy was reaching a breaking point and that...
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Featured Analysis

Russia’s New Strategy for Central Asia

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Ekaterina Zolotova -
While Russia was grabbing attention with its buildup and withdrawal of military forces along its western border with Ukraine, it was making a different,...
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Turkey’s Strategy in the Eastern Med

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu -
As Turkey’s dreams of joining the European Union have faded, Ankara has shifted its...
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Has Uzbekistan’s Time Finally Come?

AnalysisEkaterina Zolotova -
In our 2019 Annual Forecast, we said we expected Uzbekistan to challenge Kazakhstan as...
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Brief: The Limits of Belarusian Reforms

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Background: Following Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko’s questionable reelection and major protests last year, it...
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Jordan’s Perennial Quest for Survival

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
U.S. officials described the Defense Cooperation Agreement signed between the United States and Jordan...
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Weekly Graphic

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COVID and Cars

George Friedman -
We have moved into the true second phase of the COVID-19 pandemic. Previous phases were merely passing bubbles. This one appears real. Until now,...
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Forecasts

The World in 2021

Economic and political fallout from COVID-19 responses will remain the primary driver of events in 2021.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2020

Economic dysfunction will be the main driver of the international system in 2020.

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Forecasts

Media / Interviews

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RealClearWorld: Scotland’s Complicated Quest for Independence

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
The current calls for Scottish independence should be seen less as a real push for sovereignty and more as political bargaining with London. After...
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RealClearWorld: Critical Theory

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
The resurrection of critical theory takes political issues as merely a means of transforming the psyche. The object has been to change what we...
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Euractiv: Biden’s Visit: What Does it Mean to Rejoin Europe?

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
Given that Europe is not inclined to make the painful decisions that a modernized relationship requires, it is hard to understand what a return...
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What We’re Reading: Taking Cyber Seriously

What We're ReadingPhillip Orchard -
Dark Territory: The Secret History of Cyber War By Fred Kaplan A reader recommended Fred Kaplan's “Dark Territory: The Secret History of Cyber War” to me,...
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Daily Memo: Olympic Meltdowns and Chinese Crackdowns

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Enjoy the show. In the true spirit of the Olympics, there’s been plenty of geopolitical trolling accompanying this year’s summer games in Tokyo. Broadcasters...
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Turkey’s Strategy in the Eastern Med

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu -
As Turkey’s dreams of joining the European Union have faded, Ankara has shifted its strategy toward the West. Nowhere is this more evident than...
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Brief: 3 Cuban Generals Are Dead

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
Background: The Cuban government’s staying power rests on its ability to maintain social order, often through repressing dissent and controlling the economy. Its control...
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Daily Memo: Protests in France, Uncertainty in Tunisia

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
French protests. Tens of thousands of demonstrators in France took to the streets over the weekend to protest a proposed mandate requiring a COVID-19...
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Has Uzbekistan’s Time Finally Come?

AnalysisEkaterina Zolotova -
In our 2019 Annual Forecast, we said we expected Uzbekistan to challenge Kazakhstan as the dominant power in Central Asia. The COVID-19 pandemic delayed...
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