Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: US to Cut Chinese Tariffs?

Americas Geopolitical Futures -
Tariff changes. A scaling back of U.S. tariffs on China may be in the...
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What We're Reading

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What We’re Reading: Good Sci-Fi, Bad Documentaries

What We're ReadingRyan Bridges, Valentina Jovanovski -
The Collapsing Empire By John Scalzi I’ll start with a confession: I’m not much of a...
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What We’re Reading: The Benghazi Attack

What We're ReadingAbubakar Alhassan -
13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi Produced and Directed by Michael Bay With “13 Hours:...
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What We’re Reading: Delusional Foreign Policy

What We're ReadingFrancesco Casarotto -
The Great Delusion: Liberal Dreams and International Realities By John J. Mearsheimer I was looking...
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Why the Poland-Belarus Border Crisis Won’t Last

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu -
Images of migrants – many of them with children, coming mainly from the Middle...
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The Debate Over America First

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Since the 1930s, there has been a debate in the United States over a...
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Featured Analysis

The Illusion of Arab Nationalism

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Hilal Khashan -
The Arab uprisings briefly resurrected the idea of Arab nationalism. During the 2011 Pan Arab Games in Qatar, spectators sang the unofficial Arab national...
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The World Ocean Versus the Continent

AmericasJacek Bartosiak -
For centuries, the power that controls the seas – the “World Ocean” – has successfully stymied...
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Russia’s Move

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Russia is not a trustful country – for good reason. Germany invaded it twice...
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Japan’s Indispensable Role in Southeast Asia

AnalysisPhillip Orchard -
One of the funnier moments of the past few years in geopolitics took place...
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The UAE’s Quest to Rehabilitate the Syrian Regime

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
There’s an old adage in the Arab world: You can’t go to war without...
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Weekly Graphic

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From the Earth to the Moon

George Friedman -
I spent the past few nights watching the series, “From the Earth to the Moon,” which depicts the American side of the space race....
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The World in 2021

Economic and political fallout from COVID-19 responses will remain the primary driver of events in 2021.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2020

Economic dysfunction will be the main driver of the international system in 2020.

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Forecasts

Media / Interviews

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RealClearWorld: Forecasting Time

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
Around November each year, we at GPF begin our forecasting process for the coming year. In a real sense, we are always forecasting, as...
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RealClearWorld: Supply Chains: Our Parachute Moment

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
The global supply chain crisis is not about receiving Christmas gifts; it’s about whether medicine and food will be stocked in time. This may...
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Cicero: Über Die Ära Nach Merkel

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
Mit der Bundestagswahl endet auch die Regierungszeit Angela Merkels. Als Bundeskanzlerin hat sie nicht nur deutsche, sondern auch europäische Geschichte geschrieben – im positiven...
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For the UAE, Change Is an Existential Threat

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
The United Arab Emirates presents itself to the outside world as a liberal and tolerant Muslim country. This isn’t far from the truth. The...
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Intelligence and Love

From the Desk of George FriedmanGeorge Friedman -
In the Bible, Matthew 5:44 enjoins you to love your enemies. The Jewish Passover Seder begins with the words, “Remember Laban the Syrian who...
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Daily Memo: Turkish Protests, EU Sanctions on China

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
Freefall. Protests broke out in several cities in Turkey over the collapse of the Turkish lira. On Tuesday, the lira fell to more than...
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The World Ocean Versus the Continent

AmericasJacek Bartosiak -
For centuries, the power that controls the seas – the “World Ocean” – has successfully stymied continental rivals and dictated the rules of world trade. The...
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What We’re Reading: The Benghazi Attack

What We're ReadingAbubakar Alhassan -
13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi Produced and Directed by Michael Bay With “13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi,” Michael Bay has done for...
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Daily Memo: Chinese Birthrates, Moldovan Gas Supplies

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Population problem. Birthrates in China dropped to just 8.5 per 1,000 people in 2020, a record low for the country, according to new data...
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