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Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Ukraine Strikes St. Petersburg

Big hit. Ukrainian drones struck military and infrastructure targets in St. Petersburg on Wednesday,...

Colombia’s Presidential Race

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(click to enlarge) Colombia will hold presidential elections on May 31, with a runoff on June 21 if no candidate wins an outright majority. The...

China’s Lackluster Economic Data

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(click to enlarge) China’s economy continues to face a difficult balance as weak domestic demand, a prolonged property downturn and external geopolitical risks weigh on...

Lingering Volatility in Energy Markets

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(click to enlarge) According to the World Bank Commodity Markets Outlook, energy markets remain highly volatile amid the Iran war and continued disruption risks in...

Ship Traffic Around Southern Africa Resurges

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(click to enlarge) Tanker traffic around the Cape of Good Hope has surged to its highest levels since early 2025 as conflict in the Middle...

Latest Analysis

The Shifting Balance in the Taiwan Strait

For decades, the United States has been able to project military power across the Pacific through regional bases, carrier strike groups, long-range aircraft and...

Israel’s Strategic Problem

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Geographically, Israel is in a profoundly weak strategic position. At its widest point, it...

The Fog of Economic War

Military theorist Carl von Clausewitz described war as a realm permeated by friction, incomplete...

The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

George Answers Your Questions: The US-China Summit and Cuba

George Answers Your Questions: After the US-China Summit May 23, 2026 Question: “Socialist Market Economy with...

For the Quad, Flexibility Is Not Weakness

The most recent Quad foreign ministers’ meeting in New Delhi was more productive than...

The Indo-Pacific’s Dangerous Transition: Maritime Power and Strategic Fragmentation

The summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping earlier this...

The Gulf Cooperation Council’s Security Dilemma

In 1981, six Arab countries bordering the Persian Gulf established the Gulf Cooperation Council...

A Critical Point in the Iran War

After three months, the war in Iran has reached a critical point. The conflict...

The Meaning of Memorial Day

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Editor's note: To mark Memorial Day in the United States, we are republishing this...

George Answers Your Questions: After the US-China Summit

After the US-China Summit May 18, 2026 Question: I am not seeing the bits about China...

The Diffusion of Technology Is Changing Warfare

For decades, modern force projection depended on the assumption that rear areas could be...
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George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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Israel’s Strategic Problem

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Geographically, Israel is in a profoundly weak strategic position. At its widest point, it is only 71 miles (114 kilometers) across; at its narrowest...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

Daily Memo: Ukraine Doubles Down on Medium-Range Strikes, Pleads for Missile Defenses

Logistical disruption. Ukraine has allocated an additional $114 million for the purchase of medium-range strike capabilities and plans to scale up medium-range strikes targeting...

The Indo-Pacific’s Dangerous Transition: Maritime Power and Strategic Fragmentation

The summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping earlier this month was a hopeful sign that a strategic understanding is...

Daily Memo: Developments in the Caucasus and the Middle East

Russia and the EAEU. Russian President Vladimir Putin will be in Kazakhstan from May 27-29 to attend a leaders' summit of the Eurasian Economic...

The Gulf Cooperation Council’s Security Dilemma

In 1981, six Arab countries bordering the Persian Gulf established the Gulf Cooperation Council to counter the threat posed by Iran and Iraq, their...

Daily Memo: Pakistan and Iran Seek China’s Help in Peace Talks With US

Appeals to China. Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and army chief Field Marshal Asim Munir traveled to Beijing and met with Chinese President Xi...

A Critical Point in the Iran War

After three months, the war in Iran has reached a critical point. The conflict itself has become frozen in a way. The Islamic Revolutionary...