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France Confronts Germany on Defense

April 8, 2016 The two countries have diverging views on boosting their military efforts.

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Briefing

How Mexico Has Eased the Burden of Falling Oil Prices

April 7, 2016 Among major Latin American oil producers, Mexico has best dealt with the plummeting prices.

Briefing

Will Russia and China Become Allies?

April 6, 2016 An alliance between the two massive powers would challenge U.S. global dominance.

Briefing

The Strategic Importance of Greece

April 5, 2016 The country has been at the center of major crises that threaten to destabilize the European Union.

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Lincoln, Brexit and Geopolitics

April 7, 2016 Understanding a nation’s strategy requires an unbiased view of its objectives and constraints.

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The Old Islamic State Versus the New

April 6, 2016 Outside of Syria and Iraq, the threat of IS is most potent in Saudi Arabia.

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Erdoğan’s Not Mad, He’s Ruthless

April 5, 2016 The dynamics of the Turkish president’s visit to the U.S. underscore Turkey’s current geopolitical position.

Briefing

Shifting Alliances in the Middle East and South Asia

April 4, 2016 For Saudi Arabia, Iran, Pakistan and India, the long-established dynamics are changing.

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Armenia, Azerbaijan and a Dangerous Conflict

April 4, 2016 The dispute over territory has potential to draw in major powers.

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Erdoğan’s Clash with Journalists

April 1, 2016 Seemingly rash actions can be better understood through empathetic analysis.

Net Assessments

The Weekly Graphic

Geography of Central Asia

April 6, 2016 This week’s graphic shows the geography of the Central Asian states, as well as the distribution of various ethnic groups. Centuries of invasions and foreign rule contributed to the emergence of weak states with deep internal vulnerabilities in Central Asia. We have discussed how Europeans, through the 1916 Sykes-Picot Agreement, created artificial borders in the Middle East, thus laying the groundwork for the disintegration of Syria and Iraq that we are seeing today. Central Asia’s modern-day borders were also drawn by outsiders, though in this case it was Soviet planners in the 1920s and 1930s. Today’s borders are thus not organic and do not strictly reflect ethnic or national divisions. About 23 percent of Kazakhstan’s population, for example, is made up of ethnic Russians. Ethnic Uzbeks make up about 14 percent of Kyrgyzstan’s population and over 13 percent of Tajikistan’s. Central Asia is thus a region where ethnic and regional tensions abound and threaten the unity of the modern states.

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