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Not Much Is New in This Election

July 28, 2016 The impression that this election cycle is unique is a common feature in American politics.

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Deep Dive

NGOs and the Fallacy of Civil Society

July 28, 2016 Though called “non-governmental,” NGOs often receive significant government funding and may pursue political agendas.

Deep Dive

Turkey’s Geopolitical Imperatives

July 21, 2016 Ankara appears in disarray, but the attempted coup is unlikely to prevent it from taking the necessary steps to emerge as a major power.

Real Time

The Implications of the Coup in Turkey

July 17, 2016 The recent coup attempt highlights the secular-religious divide in Turkey.

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A Chinese Port in the US Storm

July 27, 2016 Leaders of the two countries have recently overlooked some disagreements to emphasize their common interests.

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The Problem with Fighting Islamist Terrorism

July 26, 2016 Radical Islamism is a movement, not an organization, which makes it much harder to defeat.

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China’s Problems Are Bigger than Its Leadership Struggle

July 25, 2016 The Communist Party is trying to ensure it can hold the country together.

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Why Warnings Over Brexit Were Wrong

July 22, 2016 Short-term outlooks produce misconceptions.

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Appearances vs. Realities in China

July 21, 2016 Beijing projects an image of strength but its weakness often shapes its polices.

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Were Turkish Coup Planners Involved in Downing Russian Jet?

July 20, 2016 Erdoğan is using the coup attempt to reframe Turkey’s relations with Russia.

Net Assessments

The Weekly Graphic

Unemployment and GDP in Europe

This week’s map takes a look at Europe using two economic metrics: GDP growth and unemployment. One of the first things to note is that besides Estonia, the only countries in Europe that are growing at a rate of over 1 percent are either in the Balkans or right next door (Romania). Most of Western, Central and northern Europe is growing at under 1 percent and a few countries even experienced first quarter contraction: Ireland, Hungary and Poland, among others.

The second thing to note is that while the Balkans have decent growth rates, unemployment is very high, as it is throughout southern Europe, from Spain to Greece. Italy’s unemployment figure is somewhat misleading as there is a huge north-south divide. In southern Italy, unemployment is closer to the rate seen in Balkan countries than Italy’s average.

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