Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Update on the Strait of Hormuz and Chances of a Ground Operation

Shipping disruption. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced Monday that the Strait of Hormuz...

The Chokepoint at the Center of the US-Iran Standoff

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(click to enlarge) Brent crude prices have risen modestly in recent weeks, climbing into the low $70s after several months of relative stability. The move...

Global Growth Expected to Slow in 2026

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(click to enlarge) According to the World Bank's Global Economic Prospects report, the global economy in 2025 demonstrated greater resilience than expected, given trade tensions...

Threats to New US-Canada Bridge

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(click to enlarge) Canada finds itself in a difficult position when it comes to its two largest trading partners, the U.S. and China. Ottawa and...

The Growing Crisis in Cuba

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(click to enlarge) This week, Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel warned citizens of the need to sacrifice as adjustments are made in energy and food distribution...

Latest Analysis

Economic Implications of the Iran Attacks

The economic fallout from U.S. and Israeli strikes against Iran is starting to take shape. Iranian state media and senior officials from the Islamic...

An Early Military Analysis of the Iran Operation

The opening phase of Operation Epic Fury was a coordinated strike campaign aimed at...

First Thoughts on the Attack on Iran

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At about 9:30 a.m. local time on Saturday, the United States and Israel launched...

The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

George Answers Your Questions: On Nuclear Weapons, and Tariffs and the Supreme Court

George Answers Your Questions: European Nuclear Umbrella, Risks of a United Europe Feb. 21, 2026 Question:...

America’s Long Game in Space

By Dr. Lamont Colucci Most people do not think about space very often. They use...

Israel in a New Strategic Era

With the weakening of Iran and its proxies beginning in late 2023, Israel largely...

The Tigray Powder Keg in the Horn of Africa

Ethiopia and Eritrea are once again on the verge of conflict, just a few...
From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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First Thoughts on the Attack on Iran

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At about 9:30 a.m. local time on Saturday, the United States and Israel launched a surprise attack on Iran. It did not seem to...

The Storm Before the Calm

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Forecasts

The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

Partners

All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

Where We Are in the Storm | ClubGPF Clip with George Friedman

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Americans are deeply divided, passions are running high, and many fear the Republic is failing. But is any of this actually new? In our recent ClubGPF live discussion, GPF Chairman George Friedman revisited his book The Storm Before the Calm to explain where we are in America’s recurring 80-year institutional cycle. Drawing parallels to the Revolution, the Civil War, and the Great Depression, George shows that the current crisis is the least threatening of the four great institutional upheavals in American history.

Daily Memo: Pakistan and Afghanistan Exchange Airstrikes

Escalating fighting. Pakistan on Friday launched airstrikes on neighboring Afghanistan in response to what Islamabad called an “unprovoked” attack by Afghan Taliban forces across...

America’s Long Game in Space

By Dr. Lamont Colucci Most people do not think about space very often. They use GPS to find their way. They check the weather on...

Daily Memo: Israel and Somaliland, the US and Iran

New representative. Israel announced it is formally accepting the appointment of an ambassador from Somaliland, the breakaway region of Somalia recognized by Israel in...

Israel in a New Strategic Era

With the weakening of Iran and its proxies beginning in late 2023, Israel largely neutralized the nonstate threats that had constrained it for decades,...

Daily Memo: Starlink Disruption in South China Sea, Russia’s Footprint in Africa

Service not available. The Philippine Coast Guard accused Chinese forces of jamming the Starlink satellite internet service near the disputed Scarborough Shoal in the...