Daily Memo
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Daily Memo: Lavrov Arrives in Beijing for Talks

Russia and China. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has arrived in China on an...

The Future of the Strait of Hormuz

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(click to enlarge) The Strait of Hormuz is technically open but operationally constrained, functioning as a de facto Iranian-controlled bottleneck rather than a free transit...

Global Disruption at the Strait of Hormuz

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(click to enlarge) After the Iranian blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, traffic fell to an average of just six ships per day, compared with...

Logistical Complications for Russian Energy Exports

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(click to enlarge) Against the backdrop of the war in the Middle East, sharply rising energy prices, and the temporary easing of U.S. sanctions on...

Cuba’s Energy Crisis

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(click to enlarge) Cuba's energy crisis has been going on for years but is now taking on a geopolitical dimension. The country's electricity infrastructure has...

Latest Analysis

The Future of Nuclear Modernization

During the Cold War, there was a certain logic to the nuclear balance of power that kept things relatively orderly. The ability to strike...

War and the Principles of the Negotiation Process

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All wars end. Sometimes, the end is reached when one side achieves its goals,...

George Answers Your Questions: The Crisis of NATO, and China and the Iran Negotiations

The Crisis of NATO April 8, 2026 Question: For decades NATO has maintained that it is...

The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

Lebanon’s Role in Turkey’s Vision for the Eastern Mediterranean

In recent years, Turkey has shown considerable interest in Lebanon, a country it sees...

The Iran War and the Rewiring of West Asia

Though far from over, the war in Iran appears to be decelerating, if not...

The Crisis of NATO

The crisis of NATO was triggered by the collapse of the Soviet Union. The...

Europe’s Second Energy Reckoning

The joint U.S.-Israeli military assault on Iran triggered the largest oil supply disruption in...
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George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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War and the Principles of the Negotiation Process

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All wars end. Sometimes, the end is reached when one side achieves its goals, which can range from a limited victory to the conquest...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

Daily Memo: Talks in Islamabad, Israeli Settlements

Trump's declaration. U.S. ships, military personnel and weaponry will remain “in place, in and around Iran” until a peace deal is agreed to and...

The Iran War and the Rewiring of West Asia

Though far from over, the war in Iran appears to be decelerating, if not yet achieving a decisive resolution. The Islamic Republic has survived,...

Artemis and the Space Warfare Frontier

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The return of humans to space with the Artemis II's orbit around the moon has captured the hearts and minds of millions around the world. While exploratory space travel enthralls the public, the geopolitics of space and its implications for war are something much less understood. On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss satellites, potential space warfare tactics, the strategic value of the moon, and why we went there in the first place.

The Geopolitics of Space

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The return of humans to space with the Artemis II's orbit around the moon has captured the hearts and minds of millions around the world. While exploratory space travel enthralls the public, the geopolitics of space and its implications for war are something much less understood. On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss satellites, potential space warfare tactics, the strategic value of the moon, and why we went there in the first place.

Daily Memo: Ceasefire in Iran, Defense Changes in France

Pause in hostilities. The U.S. and Iran agreed on Tuesday to a two-week ceasefire. Under the plan, both Iran and Oman will be allowed...

The Crisis of NATO

The crisis of NATO was triggered by the collapse of the Soviet Union. The alliance was created to protect the regions of Europe occupied...