Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Developments in the Middle East

Stalemate. U.S. Vice President JD Vance’s trip to Islamabad for peace talks with Iran...

Hungary’s Landmark Election

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(click to enlarge) Parliamentary elections in Hungary on April 12 marked an end to the 16-year rule of Viktor Orban and his Fidesz party. Peter...

The Future of the Strait of Hormuz

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(click to enlarge) The Strait of Hormuz is technically open but operationally constrained, functioning as a de facto Iranian-controlled bottleneck rather than a free transit...

Global Disruption at the Strait of Hormuz

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(click to enlarge) After the Iranian blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, traffic fell to an average of just six ships per day, compared with...

Logistical Complications for Russian Energy Exports

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(click to enlarge) Against the backdrop of the war in the Middle East, sharply rising energy prices, and the temporary easing of U.S. sanctions on...

Latest Analysis

Arabian Peninsula Security Beyond the Iran War

The strategic environment that prevailed on the Arabian Peninsula prior to the outbreak of the war in Iran on Feb. 28 has been fundamentally...

War, Oil and Energy Diversification

As I have written in the past, I am neutral on the matter of...

Ukraine Opens a New Front in Africa

In December 2025, a Russian oil tanker called the Qendil was struck by Ukrainian...

The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

Japan, Australia and a New Regional Order

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We have written a great deal on the evolution of U.S.-China relations, and we...

George Answers Your Questions: Hungary and the Iran War

War and the Principles of the Negotiation Process April 13, 2026 Question: Your latest analysis finally...

Hungary’s Landmark Election

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(click to enlarge) Parliamentary elections in Hungary on April 12 marked an end to the...

Speculating on South America’s Extraordinary Future

This is not a forecast. A forecast is a prediction, the validity of which...
From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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War, Oil and Energy Diversification

As I have written in the past, I am neutral on the matter of hydrocarbon-induced global warming, simply because, given my ignorance on the...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

Partners

All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

Hungary’s Landmark Election

FREE
(click to enlarge) Parliamentary elections in Hungary on April 12 marked an end to the 16-year rule of Viktor Orban and his Fidesz party. Peter...

Daily Memo: Putin’s Approval Ratings Take a Hit

Russian attitudes. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s approval rating continues to decline. According to a new poll by the Russian Public Opinion Research Center, 66.7...

Speculating on South America’s Extraordinary Future

This is not a forecast. A forecast is a prediction, the validity of which my ego and I are professionally responsible for. What I...

Daily Memo: On US and Iranian Weapons Production

Shifting focus. Top U.S. defense officials have held talks with executives of several major automakers, including General Motors and Ford Motor, about producing weapons...

Pakistan’s Emerging Role in the Middle East

One of the more overlooked consequences of the Iran war is the emergence of Pakistan as a third-party intermediary between Washington and Tehran. Iran...

Daily Memo: Ukraine Aid, Russia-China Ties

Drones for Ukraine. The U.K. will deliver at least 120,000 drones to Ukraine by the end of the year, its largest-ever drone package for...