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What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Israel Agrees to Talks With Lebanon

Israeli concession. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Thursday that he authorized direct...

The Future of the Strait of Hormuz

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(click to enlarge) The Strait of Hormuz is technically open but operationally constrained, functioning as a de facto Iranian-controlled bottleneck rather than a free transit...

Global Disruption at the Strait of Hormuz

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(click to enlarge) After the Iranian blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, traffic fell to an average of just six ships per day, compared with...

Logistical Complications for Russian Energy Exports

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(click to enlarge) Against the backdrop of the war in the Middle East, sharply rising energy prices, and the temporary easing of U.S. sanctions on...

Cuba’s Energy Crisis

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(click to enlarge) Cuba's energy crisis has been going on for years but is now taking on a geopolitical dimension. The country's electricity infrastructure has...

Latest Analysis

Lebanon’s Role in Turkey’s Vision for the Eastern Mediterranean

In recent years, Turkey has shown considerable interest in Lebanon, a country it sees as critical to the region’s economic and security future. President...

The Iran War and the Rewiring of West Asia

Though far from over, the war in Iran appears to be decelerating, if not...

The Crisis of NATO

The crisis of NATO was triggered by the collapse of the Soviet Union. The...

The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

Europe’s Second Energy Reckoning

The joint U.S.-Israeli military assault on Iran triggered the largest oil supply disruption in...

China and the Iran Negotiations

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The United States and Iran have been engaged in indirect negotiations in Pakistan on...

George Answers Your Questions: The Future of War Is Here

The Future of War Is Here March 30, 2026 Question: How can you say the Russian...

Hormuz and the Slow-Burn Fertilizer Supply Shock

Oil and gas are not the only critical commodities shut in by the Iran...
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George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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The Crisis of NATO

The crisis of NATO was triggered by the collapse of the Soviet Union. The alliance was created to protect the regions of Europe occupied...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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Trending Content

Europe’s Second Energy Reckoning

The joint U.S.-Israeli military assault on Iran triggered the largest oil supply disruption in the history of global energy markets. For Europe, barely four...

Daily Memo: China Issues Peculiar Airspace Restrictions, Oil Cartel Raises Quotas

Unusual restrictions. China has imposed unusual airspace restrictions along parts of its coast from March 27 to May 6, covering zones from the Yellow...

China and the Iran Negotiations

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The United States and Iran have been engaged in indirect negotiations in Pakistan on ending the Middle East conflict. Indirect talks are always complex...

George Answers Your Questions: The Future of War Is Here

The Future of War Is Here March 30, 2026 Question: How can you say the Russian soldiers are “trained, brave and capable,” as the Russian soldiers...

Global Disruption at the Strait of Hormuz

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(click to enlarge) After the Iranian blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, traffic fell to an average of just six ships per day, compared with...

Daily Memo: Update on Hormuz, Intel on Iranian Weapons

A first. A French-owned container ship passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, becoming the first known vessel flying a flag from a...