Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: US and Iran Bolster Forces

Deployment. The United States is considering deploying an additional 10,000 troops to the Middle...

Logistical Complications for Russian Energy Exports

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(click to enlarge) Against the backdrop of the war in the Middle East, sharply rising energy prices, and the temporary easing of U.S. sanctions on...

Cuba’s Energy Crisis

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(click to enlarge) Cuba's energy crisis has been going on for years but is now taking on a geopolitical dimension. The country's electricity infrastructure has...

EU Economies Can’t Catch a Break

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(click to enlarge) The European economy failed to sustain its modest momentum in the fourth quarter of 2025, with growth slowing to 0.2 percent compared...

Disrupted Oil Operations in the Persian Gulf

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(click to enlarge) Though oil prices have surged since the start of fighting in the Middle East, investors are still hopeful that the war will...

Latest Analysis

George Answers Your Questions: Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe March 23, 2026 Question: Isn’t the Trump administration’s real goal in the Iran war to limit China’s future capability to...

China’s Fertilizer Diplomacy in a Time of Energy Shock

The breakdown in energy and fertilizer markets resulting from the war in the Middle...

Disinformation: A New Battlespace for Democracy

Democracies are inherently ill-prepared to deal with the proliferation of information warfare. While state-sponsored...

The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

How Iran Is Repricing Geography

Last week, the International Maritime Organization submitted a proposal to protect shipping in the...

Lebanon on the Brink of Civil War

Hezbollah Secretary-General Naim Qassem recently asserted that the Iranian-backed Shiite group will defend Lebanon...

Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

The war in Iran continues, its outcome uncertain and length unknown. And though the...

George Answers Your Questions: Geopolitics, War and Iran

Geopolitics, War and Iran March 17, 2026 Question: Why are you saying that there was a...
From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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George Answers Your Questions: Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe March 23, 2026 Question: Isn’t the Trump administration’s real goal in the Iran war to limit China’s future capability to...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

Daily Memo: Iran Denies Negotiation Rumors

Denials. Iranian officials and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps denied reports of negotiations with the United States on ending their war. Separately, Iranian President...

Lebanon on the Brink of Civil War

Hezbollah Secretary-General Naim Qassem recently asserted that the Iranian-backed Shiite group will defend Lebanon until the areas of the country that were captured by...

Daily Memo: Developments in Iran

Ground operation options. The U.S. is considering several scenarios for a limited ground operation in Iran, anonymous sources told NBC News. One option includes...

Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

The war in Iran continues, its outcome uncertain and length unknown. And though the conflict has already affected the global system significantly, things are...

George Answers Your Questions: Geopolitics, War and Iran

Geopolitics, War and Iran March 17, 2026 Question: Why are you saying that there was a miscalculation? Trump has repeatedly said this would take 4-5 weeks....

Cuba’s Energy Crisis

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(click to enlarge) Cuba's energy crisis has been going on for years but is now taking on a geopolitical dimension. The country's electricity infrastructure has...