Daily Memo
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Daily Memo: Escalation in the Middle East

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Hormuz attack. The United States destroyed six Iranian small boats after Iranian forces fired...
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Weekly Graphic

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Americas

Global Economic Trends

Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Though global economic growth has stabilized since the 2020 pandemic meltdown, it remains below pre-pandemic averages and unevenly distributed across regions. After...
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Analysis

Hungary’s Landmark Election

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Parliamentary elections in Hungary on April 12 marked an end to the 16-year rule of Viktor Orban and his Fidesz party. Peter...
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Middle East and North Africa

The Future of the Strait of Hormuz

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) The Strait of Hormuz is technically open but operationally constrained, functioning as a de facto Iranian-controlled bottleneck rather than a free transit...
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Middle East and North Africa

Global Disruption at the Strait of Hormuz

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) After the Iranian blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, traffic fell to an average of just six ships per day, compared with...
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Latest Analysis

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Damage Control Ahead of Russia’s Elections

Analysis Ekaterina Zolotova -
The first days of May are traditionally difficult for Moscow drivers. With the arrival of warmer weather, traffic begins to pick up, and streets...
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America’s Simultaneous Management of China, Russia and Iran

AnalysisKamran Bokhari -
That the United States is engaged in high-stakes negotiations with China, Russia and Iran...
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Daily Memo: European Leaders Gather in Yerevan

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Partners abroad. European leaders are gathering on Monday for a summit of the European...
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The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

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The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin held a 90-minute telephone conversation on April 29...
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George Answers Your Questions: The Iran War and How It Ends

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
The Iran War and How It Might End April 27, 2026 Question: The IRGC is dependent...
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Global Economic Trends

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Though global economic growth has stabilized since the 2020 pandemic meltdown, it...
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What Kind of Regime Will Emerge From the Iran War?

AnalysisKamran Bokhari -
The biggest question raised by the war in Iran is not how the conflict...
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From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks

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George Friedman -
Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin held a 90-minute telephone conversation on April 29 – notably, at Putin's behest. Past conversations of this kind...
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The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

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Forecasts

Press Room

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US Bargaining With China and Russia

Analysis Kamran Bokhari -
With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...
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American Naval Policy and China

Analysis George Friedman -
Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...
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Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

Analysis Antonia Colibasanu -
One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...
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Japan’s Evolving Security Posture

AnalysisVictoria Herczegh -
Earlier this month, Japan announced that it will allow the sale of lethal weapons systems to a wider group of partners abroad, explicitly framing...
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Daily Memo: RIMPAC Preview, Israeli Pessimism

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Major Pacific exercise. A record number of countries, 31, will participate in this year’s U.S.-led Rim of the Pacific (RIMPAC) naval exercise. The five-week...
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Turkey’s Ascent From Dependence to Autonomy

AnalysisAndrew Davidson -
Situated at the intersection of the Black Sea, the eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East, Turkey occupies some of the most strategically valuable land...
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Daily Memo: Iraq Ends Its Political Stalemate, SCO Summit Begins

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
New PM-designate. Iraq’s top political bloc named businessman Ali al-Zaidi as its candidate for prime minister. The Coordination Framework, a coalition of Iran-aligned Shiite parties,...
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A Century of Lebanese-Israeli Talks Without Peace

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
For a century, Lebanese-Israeli negotiations have failed to bring about peace. Since its founding in 1920, Lebanon has refused to recognize Israel or support...
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ClubGPF Pod+ Clip: Looking Through a GeoEconomic Lens

PodcastGeopolitical Futures -
How do global economic structures help nations maintain internal stability while projecting strategic power? In this exclusive clip of our latest ClubGPF’s Podcast+ episode, Senior Analyst and Chief GeoEconomist Antonia Colibasanu joins host Christian Smith for a primer on geoeconomics, a discussion on the statecraft at play at the Strait of Hormuz and in US tariff policy, and to introduce Geopolitical Futures’ new product, GeoEconomic Lens.
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