Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Israel and Somaliland, the US and Iran

New representative. Israel announced it is formally accepting the appointment of an ambassador from...

Global Growth Expected to Slow in 2026

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(click to enlarge) According to the World Bank's Global Economic Prospects report, the global economy in 2025 demonstrated greater resilience than expected, given trade tensions...

Threats to New US-Canada Bridge

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(click to enlarge) Canada finds itself in a difficult position when it comes to its two largest trading partners, the U.S. and China. Ottawa and...

The Growing Crisis in Cuba

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(click to enlarge) This week, Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel warned citizens of the need to sacrifice as adjustments are made in energy and food distribution...

Uneven Growth Continues to Plague Europe

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(click to enlarge) Gross domestic product in the European Union grew 0.4 percent in the third quarter of 2025 relative to the previous quarter, demonstrating...

Latest Analysis

Israel in a New Strategic Era

With the weakening of Iran and its proxies beginning in late 2023, Israel largely neutralized the nonstate threats that had constrained it for decades,...

The Tigray Powder Keg in the Horn of Africa

Ethiopia and Eritrea are once again on the verge of conflict, just a few...

The US Supreme Court and Geopolitics

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I’d like to begin by issuing a disclaimer: I am neither a lawyer nor...

The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

George Answers Your Questions: European Nuclear Umbrella, Risks of a United Europe

Munich Security Conference and Europe’s Future Feb. 16, 2026 Question: Although the Europeans have some nuclear...

Taiwan at the Center of a Fragile US-China Rapprochement

On Monday, U.S. President Donald Trump said he was discussing the issue of arms...

Turkey’s Expanding Influence Around the Mediterranean and Red Sea

Partly propelled by its own strategic ambitions and partly facilitated by the shifting global...

Shipbuilding: A Bellwether for Geopolitical Power

Geopolitical power today is built not only through armies and alliances but through geoeconomic...
From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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The US Supreme Court and Geopolitics

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I’d like to begin by issuing a disclaimer: I am neither a lawyer nor a constitutional scholar, but I would like to share some...

The Storm Before the Calm

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Forecasts

The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

Partners

All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

Daily Memo: North Korea Launches Party Congress

Changes. North Korea's Workers' Party reshuffled its senior leadership at a congress in Pyongyang this week. Left out of key positions were a number...

Taiwan at the Center of a Fragile US-China Rapprochement

On Monday, U.S. President Donald Trump said he was discussing the issue of arms sales to Taiwan with his Chinese counterpart, a very strategically...

Why Trump is Not to Blame for Europe’s Predicament | George Friedman

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Following the 2026 Munich Security Conference, the transatlantic alliance appears to be at a crossroads. With the Russian threat failing to manifest and the U.S. shifting its strategic focus, is the "divorce" between these old allies inevitable, or is it a necessary evolution? In this episode of Talking Geopolitics, host Christian Smith is joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman to examine why the U.S. views European reliance as exploitation rather than obligation, and to explore whether Europe can finally overcome its fragmented history to build a unified defense capability.

Why Trump is Not to Blame for Europe’s Predicament | George Friedman

FREE
Following the 2026 Munich Security Conference, the transatlantic alliance appears to be at a crossroads. With the Russian threat failing to manifest and the U.S. shifting its strategic focus, is the "divorce" between these old allies inevitable, or is it a necessary evolution? In this episode of Talking Geopolitics, host Christian Smith is joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman to examine why the U.S. views European reliance as exploitation rather than obligation, and to explore whether Europe can finally overcome its fragmented history to build a unified defense capability.

Daily Memo: Israel on Alert, African Minerals

Escalation. Israeli security agencies have been placed on high alert amid reports that the U.S. is preparing to launch an attack on Iran. According to...

Turkey’s Expanding Influence Around the Mediterranean and Red Sea

Partly propelled by its own strategic ambitions and partly facilitated by the shifting global posture of the United States, Turkey is methodically expanding its...