Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: US-Iran Negotiations Underway, Armenia and Russia Discuss Ties

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Meeting in Muscat. Nuclear talks between the U.S. and Iran have begun in Oman....
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Weekly Graphic

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Americas

The Growing Crisis in Cuba

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) This week, Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel warned citizens of the need to sacrifice as adjustments are made in energy and food distribution...
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Europe

Uneven Growth Continues to Plague Europe

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Gross domestic product in the European Union grew 0.4 percent in the third quarter of 2025 relative to the previous quarter, demonstrating...
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Europe

Greenland’s Past and Future

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) In the coming weeks, U.S., Danish, Greenlandic and NATO officials will meet to discuss a possible deal regarding the future of Greenland....
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Middle East and North Africa

How Demographics Complicate Iran’s Situation

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) In Iran, a prolonged period of high inflation has combined with a collapse in the value of the rial to produce mass...
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Latest Analysis

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Iran’s Regime Is Headed for a Hard Landing

AnalysisKamran Bokhari -
The 47th anniversary of Iran’s 1979 revolution is less than a week away, but...
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Washington’s Red Lines in Latin America

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
There’s evidence to suggest that the United States and China are gradually getting closer...
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The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

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Chokepoints in Space Power

AnalysisAndrew Davidson -
Outer space isn’t as accessible as people tend to think. Some 80 nations operate...
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The US, Canada and the Nature of Middle Powers

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AmericasGeorge Friedman -
If nations were thought of as individuals, then the relationship between the United States...
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George Answers Your Questions: The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War Jan. 26, 2026 Question: Will a weakened Russia drift...
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Daily Memo: Iran’s IRGC Set to Launch Drills

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Iranian preparations. The naval forces of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps will conduct live-fire...
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George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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The US, Canada and the Nature of Middle Powers

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George Friedman -
If nations were thought of as individuals, then the relationship between the United States and Canada would be that of two humans living side...
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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

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US Bargaining With China and Russia

Analysis Kamran Bokhari -
With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...
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American Naval Policy and China

Analysis George Friedman -
Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...
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Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

Analysis Antonia Colibasanu -
One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...
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Ukraine Peace Talks: Will Putin Accept a Loss?

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PodcastGeopolitical Futures -
This week, leaders from Russia, Ukraine and the United States will meet in Abu Dhabi for another round of peace talks aimed at ending the war in Ukraine; a conflict which has continued for four years this month. After so much fighting, what does Russia still hope to get out of negotiations, and is it willing to concede after not reaching its goals? Russia's economy has suffered immensely as a result of the war and by several measures simply can no longer be considered a major power on the world stage.
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Daily Memo: Washington and Tehran Plan for Istanbul Meeting

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Meeting in Turkey. Several countries will participate in U.S.-Iran talks in Istanbul on Friday, according to a Reuters report. Qatar, Oman, Saudi Arabia, the...
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Chokepoints in Space Power

AnalysisAndrew Davidson -
Outer space isn’t as accessible as people tend to think. Some 80 nations operate or have operated satellites, but less than 15 of them...
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Daily Memo: US-Iran Dialogue, Russia-China Meeting

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
U.S.-Iran dialogue. Ankara is working to establish a channel of indirect communication between the United States and Iran, Saudi newspaper Asharq Al-Awsat reported. On...
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The US, Canada and the Nature of Middle Powers

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AmericasGeorge Friedman -
If nations were thought of as individuals, then the relationship between the United States and Canada would be that of two humans living side...
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George Answers Your Questions: The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War Jan. 26, 2026 Question: Will a weakened Russia drift toward the North Korean and Iranian models of instability, propped...
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