Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Iran-Backed Militants Brace for Strikes

Preparations. Iran-backed militias in Iraq over the past few days have reportedly begun moving...

Russia’s Severe Labor Crunch

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(click to enlarge) The Kremlin needs higher production to meet the needs of the domestic economy, sustain exports and supply the military, but a severe...

Trade Trends in Latin America and the Caribbean

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(click to enlarge) Last year, several countries across Latin America and the Caribbean saw substantial swings in export numbers. Argentina experienced an 18.1 percent increase...

Resurrection of the Keystone XL Pipeline

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(click to enlarge) U.S. President Donald Trump has announced plans to revive the Keystone XL Pipeline, reversing the Biden administration’s efforts to cancel it. The...

Ukraine’s Biggest Backers

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(click to enlarge) NATO states near Russia view Ukraine’s defense as essential to their own security, and the aid data bears this out. For the...

Latest Analysis

The Limits of a US-Russia Detente

The wars in Ukraine and the Middle East are linked, at least in U.S. efforts to resolve them. In many ways, a contiguous shatter...

Engineering an End to the Ukraine War

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When the United States entered talks with North Vietnam near the end of the...

Vietnam’s Plan to Become a Middle Power

Vietnam and Indonesia last week elevated their bilateral relationship to a so-called comprehensive strategic...
2025 Forecast:
The World Without an Anchor

The international order is about to get less orderly.

Europe Faces Defining Moment in Its Defense Strategy

NATO military chiefs and European defense ministers gathered in Paris last week to coordinate...

Graphic Essay: The Evolution of NATO

For the past 75 years, NATO has been the de facto defender of Europe....

Turkey and Turmoil in Europe and the Middle East

Massive changes on Turkey’s northern and southern flanks are reshaping its strategic landscape. U.S.-Russia...

Military Challenges and Opportunities in the Arctic

The U.S.-Russia talks to end the conflict in Ukraine are really about redefining the...
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George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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Engineering an End to the Ukraine War

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When the United States entered talks with North Vietnam near the end of the Vietnam War, it hadn’t been militarily defeated, but it had...

The Storm Before the Calm

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Forecasts

The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Regional Directory

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

George Friedman Reacts to Comments: Putin’s Weakness, Trump’s Strategy, and NATO’s Future

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George Friedman returns to the Mauldin Economics' Global Macro Update to explain why Russia cannot realistically wage war in Europe, NATO's diminishing relevance, and how the current flurry of activity in the White House compares to Roosevelt's first hundred days in office.

Daily Memo: Ukraine and Turkey Seek to Boost Economic Ties

Turkish ties. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy met with Turkey’s trade and agriculture ministers as well as representatives of Turkish business to discuss opportunities for...

Graphic Essay: The Evolution of NATO

For the past 75 years, NATO has been the de facto defender of Europe. Virtually every country on the Continent has its own armed...

China’s Power Projection: A Message to Australia and the U.S. | ClubGPF Podcast+ Bonus

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As the world watches the Transatlantic Alliance continue to strain, America’s allies to the West are wondering what it all means for them. Analysts Victoria Herczegh and Ronan Wordsworth joined host Christian Smith in our recent Podcast+ episode for ClubGPF members to discuss what Trump's second term means for Australia, AUKUS, and the Indo-Pacific at large. In this clip, the analysts share their thoughts on China's unusual military presence in the Tasman Sea off the coasts of Australia and New Zealand.

Daily Memo: Poland Requests Nuclear Cover

Polish proposal. In a new interview with the Financial Times, Polish President Andrzej Duda called on the United States to deploy nuclear weapons in...

Turkey and Turmoil in Europe and the Middle East

Massive changes on Turkey’s northern and southern flanks are reshaping its strategic landscape. U.S.-Russia diplomacy has important implications for European security, creating an opening...

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