Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: On US Weapons Supplies

Replenishing stocks. The Pentagon is reportedly planning to request funds from Congress to replenish...

Disrupted Oil Operations in the Persian Gulf

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(click to enlarge) Though oil prices have surged since the start of fighting in the Middle East, investors are still hopeful that the war will...

The Chokepoint at the Center of the US-Iran Standoff

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(click to enlarge) Brent crude prices have risen modestly in recent weeks, climbing into the low $70s after several months of relative stability. The move...

Global Growth Expected to Slow in 2026

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(click to enlarge) According to the World Bank's Global Economic Prospects report, the global economy in 2025 demonstrated greater resilience than expected, given trade tensions...

Threats to New US-Canada Bridge

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(click to enlarge) Canada finds itself in a difficult position when it comes to its two largest trading partners, the U.S. and China. Ottawa and...

Latest Analysis

China’s Strategic Restraint in the Iran War

Despite the outbreak of war in the Middle East, high-level U.S. and Chinese trade negotiations are proceeding as planned. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent,...

Russia’s Limited Gains From the Middle East War

The war in the Middle East and resulting restrictions on hydrocarbon supplies through the...

Iran After the War

U.S. President Donald Trump said March 3 that he thinks a "more moderate," popular...

The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

Economic Implications of the Iran Attacks

The economic fallout from U.S. and Israeli strikes against Iran is starting to take...

An Early Military Analysis of the Iran Operation

The opening phase of Operation Epic Fury was a coordinated strike campaign aimed at...

First Thoughts on the Attack on Iran

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At about 9:30 a.m. local time on Saturday, the United States and Israel launched...

George Answers Your Questions: On Nuclear Weapons, and Tariffs and the Supreme Court

George Answers Your Questions: European Nuclear Umbrella, Risks of a United Europe Feb. 21, 2026 Question:...
From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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First Thoughts on the Attack on Iran

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At about 9:30 a.m. local time on Saturday, the United States and Israel launched a surprise attack on Iran. It did not seem to...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

Partners

All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

George Friedman on America’s Real Iran Goals: Regime Change or Regional Reset?

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The ongoing US-Israeli strikes on Iran, which began over the weekend, come after a protracted period of tension, negotiations and military build-up. Tehran has now said it will attack U.S. assets in the region in response to the U.S. and Israeli strikes, which killed several top Iranian officials and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. So why, in a world where the U.S. is trying to withdraw from anything outside the Western Hemisphere, does the U.S. still care about Iran? Talking Geopolitics host Christian Smith is joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman to discuss how we got here, intelligence failures, and the future of the Iranian regime, which could look quite different or remain just a new version of the same.

Daily Memo: Fallout From the Attack on Iran

Developments. A flurry of activity has followed the U.S. and Israel’s launch of strikes against Iran over the weekend. Iranian attacks on Gulf countries...

An Early Military Analysis of the Iran Operation

The opening phase of Operation Epic Fury was a coordinated strike campaign aimed at disrupting Iran’s command continuity and degrading its retaliatory capability. Official...

First Thoughts on the Attack on Iran

FREE
At about 9:30 a.m. local time on Saturday, the United States and Israel launched a surprise attack on Iran. It did not seem to...

George Answers Your Questions: On Nuclear Weapons, and Tariffs and the Supreme Court

George Answers Your Questions: European Nuclear Umbrella, Risks of a United Europe Feb. 21, 2026 Question: Good response on Europe’s nuclear umbrella, but many observers forget...

The Chokepoint at the Center of the US-Iran Standoff

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(click to enlarge) Brent crude prices have risen modestly in recent weeks, climbing into the low $70s after several months of relative stability. The move...