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What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: US-Iran Talks Resume, BRICS Expansion

Americas Geopolitical Futures -
Back at the table. U.S. and Iranian negotiators arrived in Doha on Tuesday to...
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Weekly Graphic

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Weekly Graphic

Tracking Global Investment

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) 2021 turned out to be quite positive for foreign direct investment, despite the ongoing recovery from the pandemic, quarantines and difficulties in...
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Middle East and North Africa

Cycles of Turmoil

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Political leadership in Arab countries is often a poisoned chalice. Violence and upheaval have been hallmarks of political transition in the Middle...
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Americas

Exerting Economic Influence in Latin America

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(click to enlarge) In recent years, the U.S. has leaned more heavily on using economic engagement and economic warfare to exert influence over other countries....
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Americas

The Global Economy Rebounds, Stumbles Again

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(click to enlarge) Economic data for the past two years – that is, the majority of the COVID-19 pandemic – has finally been processed and...
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A New Phase in the Ukraine War

AnalysisRidvan Bari Urcosta, Allison Fedirka -
Wars tend to unfold in phases, though it’s never clear how many phases there...
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The Turkish Opposition’s Plan to Unseat Erdogan in 2023

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
Turkey is set to hold presidential elections in June 2023. They will come at...
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Forecasts From George Friedman’s Book:
The Next 100 Years

(published 2009)

"For the next generation until roughly 2020, Russia’s primary concern will be reconstructing the Russian state and reasserting Russian power in the region... The Russians must dominate Belarus and Ukraine for their basic national security... If they were to fall into an enemy’s hands –for example, join NATO- Russia would be in mortal danger."

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Featured Analysis

The Future of NATO’s Strategic Concept

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Antonia Colibasanu -
2022 will bring two major diplomatic events for the trans-Atlantic community. First, in March, the European Union will adopt its Strategic Compass, a document...
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The Paradox of a Strong Ruble

AnalysisEkaterina Zolotova -
After a precipitous fall at the beginning of the war in Ukraine and the...
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The Evolution of Great Powers

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
The evolution of military power is one of the most important if underrated geopolitical...
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No Break With the US After Colombian Election

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
Colombia has elected a new president, and the moment of truth has arrived. The...
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Israel Calls Hezbollah’s Bluff

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
Earlier this month, the Israeli-contracted Energean Power gas rig reached the Suez Canal from...
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Warsaw to Budapest

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George Friedman -
The trip from Warsaw to Budapest is a trip between two realities. Warsaw is not quite on a war footing but exudes a desire...
More from George Friedman

The Storm Before the Calm

Plus Bonus Chapters

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A Bloomberg Best Books of 2020

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Regional Directory

Forecasts

The World in 2022

This year, pandemic-induced shortages and supply disruptions frame all other trends in the international system.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2021

Economic and political fallout from COVID-19 responses will remain the primary driver of events in 2021.

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Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Forecasts

Media / Interviews

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Stirile TV: The Other War, From Hunger to Overthrows of Regimes

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
We have two wars - the struggle in Ukraine and the economic war with Russia. The economic war with Russia I expect him to...
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RealClearDefense: Struggling to Find the Exit From War

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
French President Emmanuel Macron said last week that an off-ramp must be found for Russian President Vladimir Putin in Ukraine. This is not a...
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RealClearDefense: Why Iran Won’t Compromise in Nuclear Talks

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
A year after the start of Iran nuclear negotiations in Vienna, talks ended unsurprisingly without an agreement on the core issues. Although Iran needs...
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Trending Content

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The Turkish Opposition’s Plan to Unseat Erdogan in 2023

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
Turkey is set to hold presidential elections in June 2023. They will come at a difficult time for President Recep Tayyip Erdogan as he...
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Daily Memo: Drones Strike Russian Refinery, Black Sea Security

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Drone attack. A Russian oil refinery near Ukraine was attacked by two drones, causing a fire and halting operations. The attack is believed to...
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The Paradox of a Strong Ruble

AnalysisEkaterina Zolotova -
After a precipitous fall at the beginning of the war in Ukraine and the imposition of large-scale Western sanctions, the Russian ruble has surged...
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Daily Memo: Salman in Egypt, Natural Gas for Lebanon

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
Regional tour. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman arrived in Egypt for talks on bilateral cooperation and global issues. The two countries signed 14...
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The Evolution of Great Powers

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
The evolution of military power is one of the most important if underrated geopolitical changes happening in the world today. Throughout the 20th century,...
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Daily Memo: Lithuania Blocks Kaliningrad Imports

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
No-go. Lithuania banned the transportation of EU-sanctioned goods to Russia's exclave of Kaliningrad through its territory after consultations with the European Commission. Russian presidential...
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