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Viewing the global economy through the lens of geopolitics

Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Pakistan and Iran Seek China’s Help in Peace Talks With US

Appeals to China. Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and army chief Field Marshal Asim...

China’s Lackluster Economic Data

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(click to enlarge) China’s economy continues to face a difficult balance as weak domestic demand, a prolonged property downturn and external geopolitical risks weigh on...

Lingering Volatility in Energy Markets

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(click to enlarge) According to the World Bank Commodity Markets Outlook, energy markets remain highly volatile amid the Iran war and continued disruption risks in...

Ship Traffic Around Southern Africa Resurges

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(click to enlarge) Tanker traffic around the Cape of Good Hope has surged to its highest levels since early 2025 as conflict in the Middle...

Global Economic Trends

(click to enlarge) Though global economic growth has stabilized since the 2020 pandemic meltdown, it remains below pre-pandemic averages and unevenly distributed across regions. After...

Latest Analysis

A Critical Point in the Iran War

After three months, the war in Iran has reached a critical point. The conflict itself has become frozen in a way. The Islamic Revolutionary...

The Meaning of Memorial Day

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Editor's note: To mark Memorial Day in the United States, we are republishing this...

George Answers Your Questions: After the US-China Summit

After the US-China Summit May 18, 2026 Question: I am not seeing the bits about China...

The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

The Diffusion of Technology Is Changing Warfare

For decades, modern force projection depended on the assumption that rear areas could be...

America’s Obsession With Cuba

Cuba and the United States have had a long history with each other. In...

Russia’s High Expectations for Putin-Xi Meeting

Russian President Vladimir Putin arrived in China on May 19, just a few days...

Turkey’s Turkic Strategy Meets Eurasian Constraints

The United States continues to pursue a strategy of offloading security responsibilities to regional...

After the US-China Summit

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The summit between presidents Xi Jinping and Donald Trump took place on May 14....

George Answers Your Questions: The Week the New Global Reality Showed Itself

The Week the New Global Reality Showed Itself May 11, 2026 and The Significance of the Trump-Putin...

Prospects for a New Middle East Order

After the fall of Saddam Hussein’s regime in 2003, a new Middle East order...

Mali and the Collapse of Russia’s Security Guarantee

When Russian state-backed mercenaries started moving into Mali in late 2021 to help the...
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George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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A Critical Point in the Iran War

After three months, the war in Iran has reached a critical point. The conflict itself has become frozen in a way. The Islamic Revolutionary...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

America’s Obsession With Cuba

Cuba and the United States have had a long history with each other. In 1818, Spain opened Cuba to international trade, and the United...

Daily Memo: US Support for Europe, Chinese Purchases of American Goods

Shifting responsibility. The U.S. will inform NATO allies this week that it plans to reduce the number of U.S. forces available in case of...

Russia’s High Expectations for Putin-Xi Meeting

Russian President Vladimir Putin arrived in China on May 19, just a few days after U.S. President Donald Trump wrapped up his own three-day...

Lingering Volatility in Energy Markets

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(click to enlarge) According to the World Bank Commodity Markets Outlook, energy markets remain highly volatile amid the Iran war and continued disruption risks in...

Daily Memo: Putin in Beijing, Russian Drills

Busy visit. Russia and China will sign about 40 agreements during Russian President Vladimir Putin’s visit to Beijing on May 19-20. On the second...

Turkey’s Turkic Strategy Meets Eurasian Constraints

The United States continues to pursue a strategy of offloading security responsibilities to regional partners. Implicit in that strategy is the expectation that these...