Daily Memo: OPEC+ Delays, Japan Mobilizes

OPEC+ pause. Saudi Arabia and Russia have delayed an OPEC+ meeting intended to negotiate production cuts. Instead of meeting on Monday as promised, the oil cartel will meet Thursday. The delay caused a significant drop in oil market prices; Brent crude fell more than 3.2 percent and U.S. crude fell 3 percent, with prices for […]

Daily Memo: Price Wars and Setbacks

Even success stories such as Singapore are struggling to contain their COVID-19 outbreaks.

Daily Memo: The US Surpasses China

There are more confirmed coronavirus cases in the U.S. than in any other country.

The Coronavirus and the Rural-Urban Divide

The pandemic will deepen differences between the urban and the rural.

Daily Memo: Some Optimism Amid Lockdowns

Italy recorded its second straight day of reduced cases.

Quarantine and the Supply Chain

FREE
The global medical community appears to have devised a strategy for mitigating the coronavirus that depends largely on quarantine, or limiting contact among the...

Daily Memo: A Busy Weekend for Turkey

Ankara has launched a new operation in Syria and is testing the EU’s patience on immigration.

Daily Memo: Belarus and Russia Cut a Deal, Coronavirus Update

Minsk and Moscow have a ways to go before relations are back to normal.

Daily Memo: The Limits of the Coronavirus, Global Security Issues, the...

The grimmest estimates can be helpful for policymakers to know what they need to prepare for.

Daily Memo: Idlib Tests Turkey’s Patience, India-Australia Cooperation, North Korea Low...

Turkey accused Russia of failing to live up to its promises, and the Bank of Korea said Pyongyang was running out of cash.

Geopolitical Futures’ Forecast for 2020

Introduction A year is an arbitrary moment. It is short, its length determined by a planet’s rotation around a sun. It is merely a moment in a longer and more complex tale in which figures who tower for a time pass by unnoticed, when the triumphs and tragedies that rivet us all fade away, all […]

Forecast Tracker: 2019 Year-End Review

(click to enlarge) Scale: Hit, Partial Hit, Inconclusive, Partial Miss, Miss A Cycle Ends The U.S. and China will reach a deal on trade, but it won’t end the trade war. Hit China and the U.S. were seemingly inches from a deal for nearly the entire year, but they repeatedly struggled to push negotiations across […]