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From the Desk of George Friedman

Russian Options

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Last week, I discussed the nature of tactical nuclear weapons. They are built for tactical effect, not strategic effect. Strategic nuclear weapons, such as...

The War

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During World War II, one needed to say only “the war” for others to know what was being discussed. We have reached the same...

America’s Institutional Crisis

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In my latest book, “The Storm Before the Calm,” I predicted that the U.S. would go through a massive social crisis in the 2020s....

The German Weapons Shortage

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Germany’s foreign minister suggested this week that Germany cannot send more of its own weapons to Ukraine because it has deficient supplies. If this...

The Permanence of War and Peace

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Last week my friend and colleague, Jacek Bartosiak, wrote a piece for GPF titled “The Scalable World War Ahead,” in which he warned that...

China and Russia’s Strategic Problem

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The war in Ukraine, now about 6 months old, is strategically important for a variety of reasons. If Russia defeats Ukraine and takes control...

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