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From the Desk of George Friedman

Belarus’ Next Episode

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Public demonstrations against Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko have intensified. Looked at casually, it seems unlikely that his presidency can survive. If the protesters are...

Eternal Brexit

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In 2016, the British government called for a referendum on whether the United Kingdom should remain a member of the European Union. The British...

Nothing Has Changed With Taiwan

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On Aug. 17, 1982, U.S. Secretary of State George Shultz sent a memo via an American diplomat to the Taiwanese government. On Monday, just...

The Poisoning of Navalny

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Alexei Navalny, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s highest-profile political opponent, remains alive in a German hospital after being poisoned in the Russian town of Tomsk....

Of Belarus, China and Watching a Perfect Game Pitched

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There are moments in history when disparate global events combine to change the shape of the global system. People like me long for these...

The Geopolitics of the Belarusian Election

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Belarus, whose recent elections are making waves throughout the media, has been a pending flashpoint in Europe for some time. The reasons for this...