HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

US Strategy in Europe

One of the most important outcomes of the U.S. presidential race may be how it affects the United States' relationship with Europe. Donald Trump...

Searching for a Cause

The instability in the United States predicted by our model continued this weekend with the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump. It should...

The Euro-American Shift

There are certain pressures that reverberate throughout the globe that can manifest in different realms, including the economy, the military and the legal system....

Herrings and the Courts

Devoted readers will recall what I wrote in my most recent book, “The Storm Before the Calm,” and in subsequent articles here on GPF:...

A Fundamental Rift in Israel

After Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack, Israel’s intention was to annihilate the group, or at least cripple it to the point that it could no...

The World of Balance

The international system is always changing. It usually shifts one piece at a time, each one constrained by the system to dampen its impact...

In Cuba, Russia Explores a Counter

Russian warships, including what appears to be a nuclear-powered submarine, have made port in Cuba – just 90 miles or so from the U.S....

The Demographic Meltdown

Major news publications around the world are rife lately with articles noting how the decline in birth rates has reached a critical mass. Over...

Remembering D-Day

Overlooking Omaha Beach is a cemetery in which the Americans who died on D-Day were buried. To walk through this graveyard is to walk...

Russia and China, Nukes and Alliances

Last week, Moscow revived an oft-repeated threat to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine. Their use, of course, requires a few important things. They must...

Putin’s Peace Plan

Under President Vladimir Putin, Russia invaded Ukraine under the assumption that Ukraine’s defeat would be rapid and complete, bringing Russia to NATO’s eastern border....

A Government Shakeup in Moscow

The Russian government announced last week a massive shakeup of its senior staff. Several ministers in civilian sectors such as energy, agriculture, industry and...

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