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From the Desk of George Friedman

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Geopolitics and Philosophy

After last week’s piece on Aristotle’s four virtues, I received one reader response asking that I write on geopolitics rather than philosophy. One is enough to justify a serious reply. Most people equate the term “geopolitics” with international relations, perhaps with a tilt toward armed conflict. When people in the financial sector, for instance, point […]

China’s President Is in Trouble

The Chinese president has failed to manage the country’s relationship with its most important trade partner.

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Passion and Aristotle’s Four Virtues

Aristotle’s virtues, like passion, have a complex and important relationship to geopolitics.

The End of the Afghan War?

There is no winning in Afghanistan, only perpetual engagement.

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Millennials

Every generation believes it’s different than those that came before. Then, reality sets in.

The US, China and Japan: Grand Strategies

All three countries are competing for power in the Pacific.

George Friedman’s Thoughts: The Problem With Passion

Passion obscures the subtlety and complexity of the things we care about.

1989-1992: A Global Pivot

It was a time that changed everything.

Recession, Synchronized and Desynchronized

Three of the world's largest economies are showing signs of a downturn.

George Friedman’s Thoughts: China and a Global Economic Contraction

The protests in Hong Kong must be understood in the context of a global economic slowdown.