HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

George Answers Your Questions: The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks

The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks May 4, 2026 Question: Russian President Vladimir Putin wants only a one-day ceasefire for his May 9 celebration, but there are not any signs that Putin wants to end this war. Why can’t you accept that he is delusional, and while every Russian bureaucrat understands Russia needs to end […]

The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks

Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin held a 90-minute telephone conversation on April 29 – notably, at Putin's behest. Past conversations of this kind...

George Answers Your Questions: The Iran War and How It Ends

The Iran War and How It Might End April 27, 2026 Question: The IRGC is dependent on money from oil sales and supplies from China. If...

The Iran War and How It Might End

The U.S.-Israel war against Iran was to a great extent predictable. The United States feared Iran becoming a nuclear power. Israel feared that as...

George Answers Your Questions: Japan, Australia and a New Regional Order

Japan, Australia and a New Regional Order April 20, 2026 Question: Isn't another supporting argument "securing" the symbiotic relationship between Australia's natural resources and Japan's industrial...

War, Oil and Energy Diversification

As I have written in the past, I am neutral on the matter of hydrocarbon-induced global warming, simply because, given my ignorance on the...

Japan, Australia and a New Regional Order

We have written a great deal on the evolution of U.S.-China relations, and we expect them to evolve further after the upcoming summit between...

George Answers Your Questions: Hungary and the Iran War

War and the Principles of the Negotiation Process April 13, 2026 Question: Your latest analysis finally introduces the true vector of this conflict: China. However, applying...

Speculating on South America’s Extraordinary Future

This is not a forecast. A forecast is a prediction, the validity of which my ego and I are professionally responsible for. What I...

Hungary and Europe

Viktor Orban, after 16 years as prime minister of Hungary, has lost an election and will soon be replaced by Peter Magyar. Orban was...

War and the Principles of the Negotiation Process

All wars end. Sometimes, the end is reached when one side achieves its goals, which can range from a limited victory to the conquest...

George Answers Your Questions: The Crisis of NATO, and China and the Iran Negotiations

The Crisis of NATO April 8, 2026 Question: For decades NATO has maintained that it is a defensive alliance, and this has been a central argument...

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