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From the Desk of George Friedman

China’s Search for a Negotiated Settlement

Last week, China celebrated the 100th anniversary of the founding of the Communist Party. The celebration included a plan for the invasion of Taiwan,...

China, Russia and the Strategy of Indirection

Europe was the primary battleground of the Cold War. NATO adopted a defensive strategy because it saw no value in conquering Eastern Europe and...

US Withdrawal From the Middle East

The United States is withdrawing air defense capabilities from several Arab countries, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait and Jordan, with most of the withdrawals...

What Does It Mean to Rejoin Europe?

U.S. President Joe Biden’s trip to Europe has thus far pivoted around the single issue on which almost the entire world agrees: Biden is...

Russia as a Developing Nation

Richard Moore, who heads Britain’s foreign intelligence service, or MI6, was quoted in the Sunday Times as saying that “Russia is an objectively weakening...

An Obituary for My Friend

In 2003, I received a call from someone named Jim Hornfischer, a literary agent whom I had never heard of or met, but who...

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