HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

George Answers Your Questions: Hungary and the Iran War

War and the Principles of the Negotiation Process April 13, 2026 Question: Your latest analysis finally introduces the true vector of this conflict: China. However, applying the Vietnam model to this balance of power generates an error in the fundamental mechanics of the clash. You define the American dilemma through the logic of a war […]

Hungary and Europe

Viktor Orban, after 16 years as prime minister of Hungary, has lost an election and will soon be replaced by Peter Magyar. Orban was...

War and the Principles of the Negotiation Process

All wars end. Sometimes, the end is reached when one side achieves its goals, which can range from a limited victory to the conquest...

George Answers Your Questions: The Crisis of NATO, and China and the Iran Negotiations

The Crisis of NATO April 8, 2026 Question: For decades NATO has maintained that it is a defensive alliance, and this has been a central argument...

The Crisis of NATO

The crisis of NATO was triggered by the collapse of the Soviet Union. The alliance was created to protect the regions of Europe occupied...

China and the Iran Negotiations

The United States and Iran have been engaged in indirect negotiations in Pakistan on ending the Middle East conflict. Indirect talks are always complex...

George Answers Your Questions: The Future of War Is Here

The Future of War Is Here March 30, 2026 Question: How can you say the Russian soldiers are “trained, brave and capable,” as the Russian soldiers...

The Future of War Is Here

In my book “The Future of War,” which was published in 1996, I wrote that the future of warfare would be based on unmanned...

George Answers Your Questions: Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe March 23, 2026 Question: Isn’t the Trump administration’s real goal in the Iran war to limit China’s future capability to...

Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

The war in Iran continues, its outcome uncertain and length unknown. And though the conflict has already affected the global system significantly, things are...

George Answers Your Questions: Geopolitics, War and Iran

Geopolitics, War and Iran March 17, 2026 Question: Why are you saying that there was a miscalculation? Trump has repeatedly said this would take 4-5 weeks....

Geopolitics, War and Iran

In 1940, the United States placed Japan in a difficult position. Japan was a country with very limited resources. It had to import oil,...

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