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From the Desk of George Friedman

America’s Wars and Failures

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Sixty years ago, in 1962, the United States made the decision to go to war in Vietnam, deploying major ground and air forces to...

Russia, US and Ukraine: The State of Play

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When nations negotiate, a quiet settles in before the threats begin. Such is the case now between the U.S. and Russia, which will soon...

The Russian Treaty Proposal

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We have been operating with a model of Russia. Having lost its non-Russian territories with the breakup of the Soviet Union, Russia is missing...

The Republic of COVID-19

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The emergence of the omicron variant drives home an essential point: There is no evidence that the COVID-19 pandemic will end. It might, but...

Russia and Ukraine: War or Bluff?

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Two weeks ago, I wrote an analysis of Russian strategy titled “Russia’s Move.” Here’s a brief recap: When the Soviet Union collapsed, it lost...

The Debate Over America First

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Since the 1930s, there has been a debate in the United States over a foreign policy based on “America First,” a nationalistic policy that...

Russia’s Move

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Russia is not a trustful country – for good reason. Germany invaded it twice in the 20th century, France invaded it once in the...

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