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From the Desk of George Friedman

Belarus’ Next Episode

Public demonstrations against Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko have intensified. Looked at casually, it seems unlikely that his presidency can survive. If the protesters are...

Eternal Brexit

In 2016, the British government called for a referendum on whether the United Kingdom should remain a member of the European Union. The British...

Nothing Has Changed With Taiwan

On Aug. 17, 1982, U.S. Secretary of State George Shultz sent a memo via an American diplomat to the Taiwanese government. On Monday, just...

The Poisoning of Navalny

Alexei Navalny, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s highest-profile political opponent, remains alive in a German hospital after being poisoned in the Russian town of Tomsk....

Of Belarus, China and Watching a Perfect Game Pitched

There are moments in history when disparate global events combine to change the shape of the global system. People like me long for these...

The Geopolitics of the Belarusian Election

Belarus, whose recent elections are making waves throughout the media, has been a pending flashpoint in Europe for some time. The reasons for this...