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From the Desk of George Friedman

China as a Third World Country

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There is much discussion about the surging Chinese economy and the expanding international influence of China. There is no question that China’s economy has...

On the Suez Canal and Chokepoints

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I’ve often written about chokepoints – those narrow passageways, on land or at sea, that are essential for the movement of goods and people...

Russia, China and the United States: First Shots

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Any time there is a new U.S. president, major powers set out to test him and lay the groundwork for future bargaining in potential...

China’s Strategic Standpoint

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One of the hardest problems of foreign policy is developing an accurate evaluation of a potential adversary’s intentions and capabilities, which are frequently separate...

B-52s in the Middle East

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For all the world’s vastness and complexity, my attention is constantly drawn back to the Middle East, where there is much to think about....

The US, Iran and Bargaining Positions

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The Iranian government has announced that it will not attend the first round of negotiations over restoring the agreement that limited its ability to...

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