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From the Desk of George Friedman

Shifts in the Western Pacific

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Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. visited Washington last week, where he signed what is essentially a collective defense agreement. In doing so, he sealed...

The Russian Mystery

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There are too many unknowns to count in the Ukraine war. From the upcoming spring offensive to covert U.S. intelligence operations, mysteries abound. But...

Chinese-Philippine Confrontation

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The Philippine coast guard reported last week that two of its ships were involved in a confrontation with the Chinese navy in the South...

Victory Day

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We are a few weeks away from the anniversary of Victory Day, which marks the Soviet Union’s defeat of Nazi Germany. The annual parade...

The Logic of American Strategy and War

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In recent weeks I have focused on the social and economic evolution of the United States. Obviously, we also need to discuss U.S. strategic...

The American Crisis Intensifies

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As I ooze back to consciousness after COVID-19 had me in its grip for the past few weeks, it has occurred to me that...

The Technology of Taming Weapons

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The massive spring offensive against Ukraine that Russia threatened has not materialized. This does not mean it won’t happen, but it raises serious questions....

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