Americas

Washington Remains Committed to Venezuela’s Transition

It’s no secret that the United States wants regime change in Venezuela. Since 2019, Washington has intensified its efforts toward that end by boosting...

The Big Picture of Mexican Exports

Mexico’s economy made headlines late last week when the latest data from the U.S. Commerce Department showed that, for the first time in more...

The World in 2024

Editor's note: Below are the compiled links to our entire 2024 annual forecast. Please follow the links for quick navigation, or download the PDF...

How Mexico Plans to Reclaim Its Economy

In Mexico, security and economic recovery are intertwined. Politicians and citizens alike understand that the country’s powerful criminal groups threaten both, and though they...

2024 Annual Forecast: Latin America

Forecasting national behavior is built on continuums. One continuum is a nation’s history. Another is our analytic method. Simply looking at nations will not...

Argentina’s New President Takes a Gamble

Argentine President Javier Milei entered office less than three weeks ago, but already he has introduced a raft of changes beyond the house cleaning...

How New Zealand Could Save the Five Eyes

New Zealand’s new government was elected in October but has already signaled what its foreign policy will look like – and it revolves around...

A Border Dispute Pits US Interests Against Each Other

The leaders of Venezuela and Guyana met on Dec. 14 in St. Vincent and the Grenadines for talks meant to ease tensions along their...

What Argentina’s Presidential Election Really Means

Argentina held a presidential election on Sunday that could be considered a referendum on the national economy. Argentina abounds with natural resources and potential...

Panama’s Post-Canal Economy Takes Shape

Throughout 2023, the Panama Canal Authority has introduced various restrictions on the size and frequency of vessels transiting the canal amid an extended period...

Daily Memo: Gaza Border, US Deployment

Gaza border opens. The Rafah border crossing between Gaza and Egypt has reopened. This comes after the Gaza Borders and Crossings Authority released a...

The Race to Dominate Seabed Mining

The world can’t get enough of critical minerals. From 2017 to 2022, green energy projects alone boosted demand for lithium by roughly 200 percent,...

Colombia and Mexico Push a New Drug Control Strategy

Mexico and Colombia are jointly adjusting their anti-drug policy, with potential implications for the regional power balance and relations with the United States. For...

Will Cuba Open Up Again?

Diplomatic exchanges don’t carry much geopolitical weight by themselves. Even the truly monumental moments in international affairs are made possible by months if not...

Trials Ahead for the USMCA

The world has changed dramatically since the new free trade agreement governing North America came into force three years ago. Conveniently enough, members of...

Five Eyes in Our Time

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A few years ago, I was invited to a military meeting in Australia. When I walked into the room, I expected to see Australian...

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Colonial governance, production systems and transportations routes heavily shaped the economic and political development of the region well in to its post-colonial era of independence.

The Western Hemisphere has been dominated by the United States since the start of the 20th Century.

South America has struggled to produce a regional leader partly because no single country embodies the necessary qualities to become one. Brazil has the most potential, thanks to the size of its of territory, population, natural resource deposits and economy. Argentina is a counterweight to Brazilian influence in.

The modern governments are actually young and relatively inexperienced democracies. They are still refining their social contracts with their citizens.

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Required Reads: The Americas

From our Forecast...

The U.S. will rely on public-private efforts to secure its influence in the region. It will also welcome economic engagements from allied nations like Japan or South Korea.

Americas in our Memos

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European Farmer Protests

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(click to enlarge) Farmer protests have recently surged across Europe, shaking its agricultural heartlands. In Poland, a deep and broadening coalition of farmers is forming...

Daily Memo: Armenia Pulls Away From Russia

Defiant. Armenia has suspended its participation in the Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organization, Armenian Prime Nikol Pashinian said in a new interview with France24....

Turkey’s Meager Influence in the Middle East

Despite its significant size, stature and history, Turkey has been unable to shape the outcome of the major regional conflict that followed Hamas’ Oct....

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