Americas

The World Ocean Versus the Continent

For centuries, the power that controls the seas – the “World Ocean” – has successfully stymied continental rivals and dictated the rules of world trade. The...

Fertilizers and Food Insecurity

Next week is Thanksgiving, a U.S. holiday that celebrates, and is celebrated with, food. This year, however, Americans are reckoning with rising food prices....

Canada, Mexico and America’s Reality

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The United States lives in a fundamentally unique geopolitical reality. It’s the only major power that doesn’t face the risk of a land war,...

A Long-Term US Strategy for Latin America

When U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken admitted last month that the U.S. had a mixed record on improving civilian security in Latin American...

Forecasting Time

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Around November each year, we at GPF begin our forecasting process for the coming year. In a real sense, we are always forecasting, as...

For Brazil, a Bad Year Could Get Worse

It’s clear something is off in trade logistics when the best available method of moving 9,000 kilograms (20,000 pounds) of coffee from Brazil to...

Explanations for the Labor Shortage

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The current breakdown of the global supply chain threatens to change the future of the world. If this worsens, the fabric of the global...

Mexico’s Moment

The stars have aligned to present Mexico with the unique opportunity, however slight, to improve its position relative to the United States. Mexico’s proximity...

On Geoeconomics

Last week, I spoke and moderated at several conferences in person – a rare thing since the pandemic began – whose topics ranged from...

Mercosur’s Changing Trade Patterns

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(click to enlarge) In 1991, Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay established Mercosur to increase their participation in global trade and improve their negotiating positions with...

Brief: Uruguay Breaks With Mercosur

Background: South America’s two largest economies, Brazil and Argentina, led efforts in 1991 to establish the Southern Common Market, known as Mercosur, with Paraguay...

Chile: Under Pressure at Home and Constrained Abroad

For a generation, Chile has been an outlier in Latin America. Between its economic development, per capita gross domestic product, strong institutions and general...

Outside Powers Shape Venezuelan Negotiations

From Aug. 13 to Aug. 14, delegations from the Venezuelan government and opposition coalition met in Mexico to conduct their first round of negotiations...

Mexico’s Search for Leverage

Mexico’s geographic position is a blessing and a curse. The country benefits from its proximity to the United States, which absorbs a ton of...

The Costs and Benefits of Patronizing Cuba

In February, we wrote that Cuba’s economy was reaching a breaking point and that the government was looking for a patron to ensure its...

Brief: 3 Cuban Generals Are Dead

Background: The Cuban government’s staying power rests on its ability to maintain social order, often through repressing dissent and controlling the economy. Its control...

Recent Articles

Colonial governance, production systems and transportations routes heavily shaped the economic and political development of the region well in to its post-colonial era of independence.

The Western Hemisphere has been dominated by the United States since the start of the 20th Century.

South America has struggled to produce a regional leader partly because no single country embodies the necessary qualities to become one. Brazil has the most potential, thanks to the size of its of territory, population, natural resource deposits and economy. Argentina is a counterweight to Brazilian influence in.

The modern governments are actually young and relatively inexperienced democracies. They are still refining their social contracts with their citizens.

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Required Reads: The Americas

From our 2021 Forecast...

Countries will be unable to climb out of the economic setbacks brought on by the pandemic. Few outside parties will be able to capitalize on this opportunity to expand influence.

Americas in our Memos

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More from the Americas

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Latest Posts

Intelligence and Love

In the Bible, Matthew 5:44 enjoins you to love your enemies. The Jewish Passover Seder begins with the words, “Remember Laban the Syrian who...

Daily Memo: Turkish Protests, EU Sanctions on China

Freefall. Protests broke out in several cities in Turkey over the collapse of the Turkish lira. On Tuesday, the lira fell to more than...

The World Ocean Versus the Continent

For centuries, the power that controls the seas – the “World Ocean” – has successfully stymied continental rivals and dictated the rules of world trade. The...

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