Americas

Mexico Considers a New Foreign Policy Path

On June 2, Mexican voters will go to the polls to select their next president. At a time when the dominant geopolitical players around...

Don’t Expect Too Much From Venezuela’s Elections

The Venezuelan opposition has unexpectedly united around a single candidate: Edmundo Gonzalez. And though this is good news for a movement that has long...

How Different Countries Respond to Terrorism

The fallout from Hamas’ Oct. 7 rampage through Israel and the March 22 massacre at Crocus City Hall near Moscow are dreadful reminders of...

In Upcoming Elections, Mexico Weighs Its Political Future

The biggest question facing Mexico in the upcoming presidential election is how the country can balance democratic governance while also supporting strong centralized authority....

No One Wants Responsibility for Haiti

Though Washington is preoccupied with the war in Ukraine, strained trade relations with China and a potential regional conflict in the Middle East, U.S....

Against Russian Allies in Latin America, the US Makes Its Moves

Last week, Russia laid out a broad strategy and list of priorities for key partners in Latin America. The announcement was precipitated by two...

Washington Remains Committed to Venezuela’s Transition

It’s no secret that the United States wants regime change in Venezuela. Since 2019, Washington has intensified its efforts toward that end by boosting...

The Big Picture of Mexican Exports

Mexico’s economy made headlines late last week when the latest data from the U.S. Commerce Department showed that, for the first time in more...

The World in 2024

Editor's note: Below are the compiled links to our entire 2024 annual forecast. Please follow the links for quick navigation, or download the PDF...

How Mexico Plans to Reclaim Its Economy

In Mexico, security and economic recovery are intertwined. Politicians and citizens alike understand that the country’s powerful criminal groups threaten both, and though they...

2024 Annual Forecast: Latin America

Forecasting national behavior is built on continuums. One continuum is a nation’s history. Another is our analytic method. Simply looking at nations will not...

Argentina’s New President Takes a Gamble

Argentine President Javier Milei entered office less than three weeks ago, but already he has introduced a raft of changes beyond the house cleaning...

How New Zealand Could Save the Five Eyes

New Zealand’s new government was elected in October but has already signaled what its foreign policy will look like – and it revolves around...

A Border Dispute Pits US Interests Against Each Other

The leaders of Venezuela and Guyana met on Dec. 14 in St. Vincent and the Grenadines for talks meant to ease tensions along their...

What Argentina’s Presidential Election Really Means

Argentina held a presidential election on Sunday that could be considered a referendum on the national economy. Argentina abounds with natural resources and potential...

Panama’s Post-Canal Economy Takes Shape

Throughout 2023, the Panama Canal Authority has introduced various restrictions on the size and frequency of vessels transiting the canal amid an extended period...

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Colonial governance, production systems and transportations routes heavily shaped the economic and political development of the region well in to its post-colonial era of independence.

The Western Hemisphere has been dominated by the United States since the start of the 20th Century.

South America has struggled to produce a regional leader partly because no single country embodies the necessary qualities to become one. Brazil has the most potential, thanks to the size of its of territory, population, natural resource deposits and economy. Argentina is a counterweight to Brazilian influence in.

The modern governments are actually young and relatively inexperienced democracies. They are still refining their social contracts with their citizens.

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Required Reads: The Americas

From our Forecast...

The U.S. will rely on public-private efforts to secure its influence in the region. It will also welcome economic engagements from allied nations like Japan or South Korea.

Americas in our Memos

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Daily Memo: Developments in Israel

Cairo's involvment. According to a CNN report, Egypt secretly changed the terms of a deal agreed to by Israel earlier this month that could...

In New Caledonia, France Sees Foreign Meddling

French President Emmanuel Macron held an emergency meeting on May 20 with his defense and security council to discuss the unrest in the French...

Daily Memo: Gazprom in Trouble, EU-Moldova Deal

Deepening cracks. The Russian government issued a decree instructing state-owned energy firm Gazprom not to pay dividends for 2023. Earlier this month, Gazprom reported...

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