Americas

Washington’s New Economic Strategy in Latin America

A few weeks ago, the head of the U.S. National Security Council – not a State Department official, as would normally be the protocol...

The Trouble With a Premature Vaccine

Hope is beginning to fade that the world will have a safe and effective coronavirus vaccine before the predicted “second wave” arrives that will...

What We’re Reading: Making America and the Caucasus

American Nations: A History of Eleven Rival Regional Cultures by Colin Woodard There’s no denying a deep social divide exists in the United States. Most anyone...

Look North: A Short History of US-Colombian Relations

Colombia is among the United States’ closest allies in the Western Hemisphere. For the past 200 years, the two countries have partnered in mutually...

Vaccine Nationalism Is an Exaggerated Threat

Nationalism is all the rage these days. Following decades of globalization, the pendulum has begun to swing back the other direction, triggering fears that...

The Truth About the US-China Thucydides Trap

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We remember Thucydides as a historian thanks to his documentation of the Peloponnesian War, but we often forget that he was also a philosopher....

How Paraguay Gets By

Not all countries are created equal. Geopolitics revolves around power – its acquisition, maintenance and loss relative to other countries. How much power a...

Will the Coronavirus Forge a Brave New World?

Of all the major geopolitical players on the planet, Mother Nature may be the toughest adversary. Nature has neither imperatives nor constraints to guide...

Latin America’s Place in the World

Whether they like it or not, most countries are drawn into the international system in one way or another. For this reason, introducing the...

Mother Nature as a Geopolitical Force

History is biased, and not just because the victors tend to write it. The study of history is largely the study of humankind –...

Colonial governance, production systems and transportations routes heavily shaped the economic and political development of the region well in to its post-colonial era of independence.

The Western Hemisphere has been dominated by the United States since the start of the 20th Century.

South America has struggled to produce a regional leader partly because no single country embodies the necessary qualities to become one. Brazil has the most potential, thanks to the size of its of territory, population, natural resource deposits and economy. Argentina is a counterweight to Brazilian influence in.

The modern governments are actually young and relatively inexperienced democracies. They are still refining their social contracts with their citizens.

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Required Reads: The Americas

From our 2020 Forecast...

Brazil will use its weight and dominance in Mercosur to get Argentina to fall in line with Brasilia’s desired trade policies. There will likely be much resistance, and Brazil will then shift to questioning the utility of Mercosur to get Argentina to fall in line.

Americas in our Memos

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Latest Posts

What We’re Reading: Superpowers and Scary Stories

Superpower Showdown: How the Battle Between Trump and Xi Threatens a New Cold War By Bob Davis and Lingling Wei “Superpower Showdown” provides a broad overview...

The US Eyes a Settlement Over Nagorno-Karabakh

Background: Russia and Turkey support opposing sides in the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh, a predominantly Armenian enclave inside Azerbaijan where fighting flared last month. Moscow...

Daily Memo: Japan’s Energetic Diplomacy, Sino-Russian Gas Trade

Suga in Vietnam. New Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga isn’t wasting time taking advantage of Southeast Asian countries’ desire for deeper regional involvement from...