Americas

Strategic Projects Under Consideration in Canada

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(click to enlarge) The Canadian government is making a strong push to improve the country’s strategic independence. The government of Prime Minister Mark Carney has...

A Tale of Two Elections

In the space of a week, two of the United States’ closest historical allies held elections over which the shadow of Washington loomed large....

America’s New Threat Assessment

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(click to enlarge) The 2025 Annual Threat Assessment from the U.S. Intelligence Community presents a detailed overview of a rapidly evolving threat landscape defined by...

As Trade Changes, So Does US Defense

Reports from around the world suggest U.S. military policy is at odds with itself. On the one hand, the United States has pledged to...

Defense Industry Winners and Losers Amid Trump Tariffs

For years, Europe has been notoriously slow in developing a coherent strategy for its defense industry. And it never really had a reason to...

The Risks of the United States’ Latin America Policy

The past couple of months have shown, for better or worse, that Latin America will figure more prominently in U.S. foreign policy under the...

Military Challenges and Opportunities in the Arctic

The U.S.-Russia talks to end the conflict in Ukraine are really about redefining the overall U.S.-Russia relationship, a process that will require both to...

Trade Trends in Latin America and the Caribbean

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(click to enlarge) Last year, several countries across Latin America and the Caribbean saw substantial swings in export numbers. Argentina experienced an 18.1 percent increase...

Resurrection of the Keystone XL Pipeline

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(click to enlarge) U.S. President Donald Trump has announced plans to revive the Keystone XL Pipeline, reversing the Biden administration’s efforts to cancel it. The...

El Salvador’s Newfound Value to the US

There may be more than meets the eye behind U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s recent visit to El Salvador. Headlines focused on the...

The World in 2025

Editor's note: Below are the compiled links to our entire 2025 annual forecast. Please follow the links for quick navigation, or download the PDF...

Aluminum Prices and US Tariffs

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(click to enlarge) U.S. tariffs on Canada and Mexico, if implemented, will likely disrupt the global aluminum market. A similar pattern emerged during U.S. President...

2025 Forecast: United States

The United States’ goal is to preserve national security, economic well-being and internal stability in a world filled with countries pursuing the same ends,...

2025 Forecast: A World Without an Anchor

Throughout history, world order has been shaped by great powers. In the competition with them – and sometimes among them – lesser powers would...

A Coming Showdown Between the US and Venezuela

Last week, two seemingly independent events – the declaration of a state of emergency by the government in Bogota and the United States’ planned...

Graphic Essay: Argentina’s Milei Races Against Time

Argentina’s economy has undergone dramatic changes since President Javier Milei took office over a year ago. His “shock therapy” reforms, aimed at addressing the...

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Colonial governance, production systems and transportations routes heavily shaped the economic and political development of the region well in to its post-colonial era of independence.

The Western Hemisphere has been dominated by the United States since the start of the 20th Century.

South America has struggled to produce a regional leader partly because no single country embodies the necessary qualities to become one. Brazil has the most potential, thanks to the size of its of territory, population, natural resource deposits and economy. Argentina is a counterweight to Brazilian influence in.

The modern governments are actually young and relatively inexperienced democracies. They are still refining their social contracts with their citizens.

Read Regional Assessment

From our Forecast...

The U.S. will rely on public-private efforts to secure its influence in the region. It will also welcome economic engagements from allied nations like Japan or South Korea.

Americas in our Memos

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Daily Memo: Israel-Iran Conflict Continues, US Pushes Diplomacy

Israel-Iran latest. Israel and Iran continued to exchange missile and drone fire overnight. Israel reportedly requested U.S. participation in a joint military campaign against...

Ukraine and Russia, Israel and Iran: Searching for the Significant

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The Ukrainian drone attack on Russia at the beginning of this month and the Israeli attack on Iran have some striking similarities. 1. Both attacks...

Strategic Projects Under Consideration in Canada

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(click to enlarge) The Canadian government is making a strong push to improve the country’s strategic independence. The government of Prime Minister Mark Carney has...

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