Geopolitical Futures

Geopolitical Futures (GPF) was founded in 2015 by George Friedman, international strategist and author of The Storm Before the Calm and The Next 100 Years. GPF is non-ideological, analyzes the world and forecasts the future using geopolitics: political, economic, military and geographic dimensions at the foundation of a nation.

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Daily Memo: US Sanctions on Iran, Germany’s Slow Recovery

Russian drills. The Caucasus 2020 military drills began on Monday in Russia’s Southern Military District. Roughly 80,000 personnel from Russia’s air, naval and special forces, as well as the...

Global Economic Recovery Projections

(click to enlarge) The world is in a huge economic hole thanks to the coronavirus pandemic, and the pace of recovery will almost certainly vary wildly from one country to...

Daily Memo: TikTok’s Time Is Up

Clock ticking for TikTok. The Trump administration announced Friday that it will ban U.S. business transactions with China-owned social apps WeChat and TikTok effective on Sunday. This effectively means...

Daily Memo: Europe’s Response to Belarus and Russia

Burning bridges. The European Parliament adopted on Thursday a resolution calling for an investigation into the poisoning of Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny and refusing to recognize Belarusian President...

Daily Memo: The WTO Sides With Beijing

The WTO rules against U.S. tariffs. China won a big case against U.S. tariffs at the World Trade Organization, giving Beijing some moral high ground with which to reinforce...

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China’s President Is in Trouble

The Chinese president has failed to manage the country’s relationship with its most important trade partner.

The Truth About the US-China Thucydides Trap

We remember Thucydides as a historian thanks to his documentation of the Peloponnesian War, but we often forget that he was also a philosopher. And like all great philosophers, he has many things to teach us, even if his teaching is inappropriately applied. Thousands...

The New US Strategy to Remove Maduro in Venezuela

The Venezuelan president is motivated now more than ever to accept a transition deal.