Geopolitical Futures

(click to enlarge) Though global economic growth has stabilized since the 2020 pandemic meltdown, it remains below pre-pandemic averages and unevenly distributed across regions. After an initial surge, recent data suggests the recovery has plateaued, consistent with projections from the International Monetary Fund that the global economy is entering a phase of “weak but stable” […]

Toward an economic understanding. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi spoke with U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio on April 30. He called on both sides to prepare for key...

Naval project. Ten European countries have signed a statement of intent on establishing the terms for the Northern Navies Initiative, the head of Britain’s Royal Navy, Gen. Gwyn Jenkins,...

What are the most critical events happening in the world related to geoeconomics, and how do they relate to geopolitics? This week's ClubGPF live discussion brought together GPF Chairman George Friedman and Chief Geoeconomist Antonia Colibasanu for a focus on what we've been looking at in the world of geoeconomics as well as our upcoming product, GeoEconomic Lens. Club members asked about the future of the Strait of Hormuz, the shifting landscape of oil production and renewable energy, and naval power/control of the oceans as a critical intersection of geoeconomics and geopolitics.

Major Pacific exercise. A record number of countries, 31, will participate in this year’s U.S.-led Rim of the Pacific (RIMPAC) naval exercise. The five-week drill near the Hawaiian Islands...

New PM-designate. Iraq’s top political bloc named businessman Ali al-Zaidi as its candidate for prime minister. The Coordination Framework, a coalition of Iran-aligned Shiite parties, had previously indicated it would...