Geopolitical Futures

Geopolitical Futures (GPF) was founded in 2015 by George Friedman, international strategist and author of The Storm Before the Calm and The Next 100 Years. GPF is non-ideological, analyzes the world and forecasts the future using geopolitics: political, economic, military and geographic dimensions at the foundation of a nation.

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Brief: After the Ultimatum in Belarus

Background: Belarus remains unstable. Neither President Alexander Lukashenko nor the political opposition has much of an advantage. An ultimatum set by Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, the former presidential candidate and opposition...

Daily Memo: Nearing the End of Brexit?

Brexit talks are back on. After a nearly one-week hiatus, negotiations on a trade agreement between the United Kingdom and the European Union resumed Thursday in London. Negotiators agreed...

Brief: Russia and Ukraine Sit Down to Discuss Trade

Background: The Kremlin has in recent years used all the tools at its disposal to regain lost influence over the post-Soviet republics. In Ukraine, which Russian troops invaded in...

Daily Memo: Western Naval Cooperation, Helping Taiwan

Western naval cooperation. The U.S. and British navies are preparing to sign an agreement to dramatically boost interoperability and technological integration, according to the head of U.S. naval operations....

The US Eyes a Settlement Over Nagorno-Karabakh

Background: Russia and Turkey support opposing sides in the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh, a predominantly Armenian enclave inside Azerbaijan where fighting flared last month. Moscow backs Armenia (on paper, at...

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China’s President Is in Trouble

The Chinese president has failed to manage the country’s relationship with its most important trade partner.

The Truth About the US-China Thucydides Trap

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We remember Thucydides as a historian thanks to his documentation of the Peloponnesian War, but we often forget that he was also a philosopher. And like all great philosophers, he has many things to teach us, even if his teaching is inappropriately applied. Thousands...

The New US Strategy to Remove Maduro in Venezuela

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The Venezuelan president is motivated now more than ever to accept a transition deal.