Israel/Palestine Conflict

The fighting that erupted between Israel and Hamas on Oct. 7 was no ordinary flare-up. It shattered the relative calm observed in the Middle East over the past few of years – a result of Israel’s efforts to reclaim its international status; of Iran’s efforts to reconcile with its neighbors; and of new alignments slowly forming among erstwhile enemies. Regional leadership and power dynamics are directly at stake, as is the potential shape of the Middle East itself.

Featured Content

The State of the Israeli-Gaza Conflict

Analysis George Friedman -
The origins of the modern Arab-Israeli conflict are pretty well known. Gaza, the narrow strip of land running to the Sinai Peninsula, was originally...
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The Drumbeat of War in the Middle East

Analysis Hilal Khashan -
Threats of impending war have permeated the Middle East since Israel’s establishment in 1948. Though Egypt made peace with Israel in 1978 and Jordan...
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The Eclipse of the Palestinian Question

Analysis Hilal Khashan -
Until the 1970s, the Palestinian question had preoccupied the Arab world since the creation of Israel in 1948. Public figures and ordinary Arabs were...
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West Bank Violence Stalls Arab-Israeli Normalization

Analysis Hilal Khashan -
Last month, three senior U.S. officials visited Israel and the Palestinian Territories to try to avert a third Palestinian intifada. National Security Adviser Jake...
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Recent Analysis: Israel & Palestine

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For the US, 2024 Isn’t 1973

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Analysis George Friedman -
Editor’s note: The rash of student protests throughout the United States is, however you feel about them, a result of America’s unwavering support for...
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Israel’s Iron Wall Doctrine

Analysis Hilal Khashan -
Zeev Jabotinsky was a highly influential figure in Israeli history as a co-founder of the Jewish National Fund and the Jewish Legion who served...
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Daily Memo: Strike on Iran, Security Concerns in Russia

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Retaliation. Israel launched an airstrike on Iran early Friday morning in response to Iran’s attack on Israeli targets on April 14. An Iranian air...
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For Iran and Israel, There’s No Going Back

Analysis Kamran Bokhari -
A decades-old norm was broken April 13 when Iran fired hundreds of drones and missiles at Israel from its own territory, instead of relying...
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Daily Memo: Poland on European Air Defense, Scholz in Beijing

Americas Geopolitical Futures -
European defense. Poland is considering joining a project to build a European air defense system similar to Israel’s Iron Dome, Prime Minister Donald Tusk...
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Daily Memo: Iran Preps for Economic Retaliation, China Stands With North Korea

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Economic retaliation. One day after an unprecedented drone and missile attack against Israel, Iran’s president called on government departments to redouble their efforts and...
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US Strategy and the Iran Strike

FREE
Analysis George Friedman -
The U.S. has adopted a national strategy designed to use force without risking casualties of its own. This strategy has been on full display...
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Daily Memo: AUKUS Expansion, Beijing-Taiwan Relations

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Expanding alliance. South Korea, New Zealand and Canada are under consideration as potential partners on high-tech projects with the AUKUS security grouping, according to...
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Iran’s Strategic Patience Dilemma

Analysis Hilal Khashan -
Iran faces a dilemma in the wake of the Israeli attack last week on its consulate in Damascus, which killed seven senior officers of...
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Daily Memo: Eurasian Security Cooperation, Turkey-Israel Spat

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
NATO not welcome. Russia and China agreed to discuss greater security cooperation in Eurasia to resist U.S. pressure, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said...
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Daily Memo: US Reassures Azerbaijan, Israel Prepares Its Troops

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Clarification. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken reassured Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev that a meeting of the U.S., the EU and Armenia set for...
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Israel and Iran Step Toward the Brink

Analysis Kamran Bokhari -
Iran has sworn that it will answer Israel’s recent airstrike on Tehran’s diplomatic compound in Syria, raising concerns over a wider conflict in the...
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Latest Posts

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Audio & Video

Turmoil in the Middle East | ClubGPF Preview with George Friedman and Hilal Khashan

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Video Geopolitical Futures -
Middle East expert Hilal Khashan wrote in his January 23rd piece titled ‘The Middle East as a Powder Keg’ that resolving the region’s issues will be on hold pending resolution of the conflict in Gaza. In a recent ClubGPF live discussion, Dr. Khashan was joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman to discuss current conditions, why Israel is reluctant to make any kind of deal, and what a Palestinian state could look like if one was created.
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The Leighton Smith Podcast: George Friedman on Storms, Wars and the Potential for Peace

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Podcast Geopolitical Futures -
On this episode of NewstalkZB's Leighton Smith Podcast, GPF Chairman George Friedman is in studio to discuss the current wars raging in the Middle East and Ukraine, how peace might come to Ukraine, as well as the role of space in warfare.
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