United States

A Convocation of Spies

Over the past weekend, major global media outlets revealed that the heads of intelligence of about two dozen countries held a (formerly) secret meeting...

How the Ukraine War Gave Venezuelan Oil an Opening

For years, the Venezuelan economy has been largely disconnected from Western markets. The war in Ukraine, however, initiated a sort of restructuring of the...

The US, Immigration and Hemispheric Security

Immigration is a politically divisive issue in the United States. It’s easy enough to explain, even if it’s difficult to legislate: The U.S. has...

Transitional Presidencies

Lately I’ve been focused on the predictability of U.S. political transitions, which occur every 50 years or so and which indicate that we are...

The Logic of American Strategy and War

In recent weeks I have focused on the social and economic evolution of the United States. Obviously, we also need to discuss U.S. strategic...

The American Crisis Intensifies

As I ooze back to consciousness after COVID-19 had me in its grip for the past few weeks, it has occurred to me that...

The Necessity of the Iraq War

I recently rose from a slumber to discover that many of the learned had risen up to declare the U.S. war in Iraq not...

After Silicon Valley Bank

When I wrote in January that one of the major trends for the next few years would be how the tech industry restructures itself,...

The Ukraine War, One Year In

It’s been a year since Russia invaded Ukraine, and what many believed would be a short-lived conflict rages on. That’s not to say it’s...

The Bigger Picture Around Juniper Oak

In late January, U.S. and Israeli forces staged a military exercise called Juniper Oak, their largest, most complex exercise to date. Planned in just...

Mysterious Balloons

The relationship between nations is always complex and sometimes difficult to understand. Sometimes it enters the realm of the bizarre. And then, at the...

Mexico Will Benefit From Washington’s Chip Focus

The United States is prioritizing the creation of a regional semiconductor production chain to give itself alternatives to Asian firms, especially those with ties...

On the Leaks of a War With China

Over the past few days, two senior U.S. officials – Gen. Mike Minihan, the head of the U.S. Air Force Mobility Command, and Michael...

Forecast for 2023

Our 2023 Annual Forecast, like those before it, is an attempt to provide a sense of the direction of the world. We do this...

Tech and Geopolitical Cycles

There have been seemingly endless reports of massive layoffs in the tech industry. Partly they are due to economic circumstances, of course, but overlooked...

Don’t Forget About Water in 2023

On Jan. 16, the Chinese Ministry of Water Resources announced that Beijing invested more than 1 trillion yuan ($148 billion) on water resource management...

Latest Posts

The Geopolitics of the United States

The United States needed to expand west to the Pacific coast in order to ensure strategic depth, generate economic activity and development and reduce the presence of any threat on its western front.

The rich agriculture area between the Rockies and Appalachian Mountains has an intricate river system favorable for exports through New Orleans Port via the Mississippi River.

North America can only be threatened from the sea and therefore control of the seas plays an important element of American strategy.

After the Soviet Union fell, the United States had no strategic challenger. The US remains the world’s super power and actively works to prevent the emergence of any potential regional power that could one day challenge it.

Read Regional Assessment

Required Reads: United States

From our Forecast...

The United States is entering a period of domestic disorder that will last a decade or so. The crisis will not affect U.S. foreign policy, even if it looks like it will.

United States in our Memos

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More from the United States

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Latest Posts

A Convocation of Spies

Over the past weekend, major global media outlets revealed that the heads of intelligence of about two dozen countries held a (formerly) secret meeting...

Daily Memo: Polish Protests, Turkish Deployment

Uproar in Poland. Hundreds of thousands of anti-government protesters took to the streets of Warsaw and other cities on Sunday, the 34th anniversary of...

Germany Sneezes, Europe Catches a Cold

In the first three months of the year, Germany’s economy fell short of low expectations of zero growth. Instead, gross domestic product shrank for...

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