United States

Saudi Arabia Hedges Its Bets

Last weekend, Saudi Arabia ditched the comprehensive defense pact it had been pursuing with the U.S. in favor of a smaller, more limited military...

Do the New Missiles in Ukraine Matter?

By Andrew Davidson On Nov. 17, the United States greenlit the use of Army Tactical Missile Systems in Ukraine. The stipulations of use and number...

It’s Hard to Quit the USMCA

Danielle Smith, the premier of Canada's province of Alberta, urged the federal Canadian government on Nov. 17 to adopt separate bilateral free trade agreements...

Trump’s Place in US Political Cycles

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As I wrote in my most recent book, “The Storm Before the Calm,” we tend to use presidencies as benchmarks to help us locate...

Graphic Essay: Energy Market Volatility

For many countries, including major geopolitical players, energy resources rank among the most politically and economically sensitive commodities. Prices for these resources are shaped...

US Trade Policy Under Trump

Today's global trade patterns are very different from when Donald Trump began his first term as U.S. president in 2017. The first Trump administration...

The US Election and Its Impact on the Middle East

Editor’s note: Yesterday was election day in the United States. We at GPF tend to avoid the pontifications and predictions of electoral politics, not...

Middle Powers, Polarity and the International System

The great power competition currently underway has created space for second-tier states, or middle powers, to emerge as strong as ever. Alarmed by the...

Graphic Essay: Developing Southern Mexico

One of Mexico’s defining challenges as a country is the stark economic divide between its northern and southern regions. This disparity makes it extremely...

Graphic Essay: Emerging Technologies

From the wheel to the internal combustion engine, new technologies have, for better or worse, fundamentally transformed our society. The emerging technologies listed have...

For the Quad, Economics Is Security

The Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, a loose affiliation comprising the United States, Australia, Japan and India and known more commonly as the Quad, plays an...

The Geopolitics Behind a Normal Meeting

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Small things can reveal much larger geopolitical truths. Such is the case of a recent meeting of the U.S.-China financial working group. The group,...

Graphic Essay: The Fight Against Global Hunger

Last year, approximately 30 percent of the world’s population experienced moderate to severe food insecurity. This means some 2.3 billion people “compromised on the...

The US Makes Its Own Semiconductor Supply Chains

The semiconductor business is booming. According to estimates published in 2023 by consulting firm McKinsey & Company, the semiconductor market will exceed $1 trillion...

US Strategy in Europe

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One of the most important outcomes of the U.S. presidential race may be how it affects the United States' relationship with Europe. Donald Trump...

Searching for a Cause

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The instability in the United States predicted by our model continued this weekend with the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump. It should...

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The Geopolitics of the United States

The United States needed to expand west to the Pacific coast in order to ensure strategic depth, generate economic activity and development and reduce the presence of any threat on its western front.

The rich agriculture area between the Rockies and Appalachian Mountains has an intricate river system favorable for exports through New Orleans Port via the Mississippi River.

North America can only be threatened from the sea and therefore control of the seas plays an important element of American strategy.

After the Soviet Union fell, the United States had no strategic challenger. The US remains the world’s super power and actively works to prevent the emergence of any potential regional power that could one day challenge it.

Read Regional Assessment

From our Forecast...

The United States is entering a period of domestic disorder that will last a decade or so. The crisis will not affect U.S. foreign policy, even if it looks like it will.

United States in our Memos

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Latest Posts

Daily Memo: Ethiopia and Somalia Agree to Squash Feud

Path to peace? Ethiopia and Somalia agreed to end their feud over Addis Ababa’s signing in January of a port access deal with the...

Romania Takes an Election Mulligan

Romania’s 2024 presidential election was annulled earlier this month due to foreign interference. In the first round, held on Nov. 24, independent candidate Calin...

Daily Memo: Macron Headed for Warsaw, Russia-China Talks

France and Poland. French President Emmanuel Macron will fly to Warsaw on Thursday, reportedly to discuss a plan for a possible European postwar peacekeeping...

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