United States

Killer Facebook

Social media began as an oddity growing out of another oddity, the internet. It has grown into a powerful global force, both instrumental in...

Brief: Russia Tries to Block US Plans for Central Asia

Background: Since the United States began withdrawing its troops from Afghanistan, the Taliban have been gaining strength and neighboring countries have been increasingly concerned...

The Road to 2040: A Summary of Our Forecast


Dec. 2, 2015 We look into the future and forecast what the world will look like in a quarter of a century. We predict several disruptions in the global structure by 2040 and conclude that much of the instability over the next 25 years will be focused in the European and Asian continents.

Here is a summary of some of our key predictions for the next 25 years.

The Road to 2040

Dec. 2, 2015 We look into the future and forecast what the world will look like in a quarter of a century. We predict several disruptions in the global structure by 2040 and conclude that much of the instability over the next 25 years will be focused in the European and Asian continents.

Brief: US Sides With Southern Europe on EU Spending Rules

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic devastated European economies, but it also created opportunities for the bloc to reform its fiscal rules. The existing framework, which...

Biden and Merkel to Meet

U.S. President Joe Biden and German Chancellor Angela Merkel are scheduled to meet Thursday in Washington, where they are expected to discuss issues such...

Brief: Cuban Protests

Background: The Cuban government is one of few relics of the Cold War still standing. The communist government put in place by Fidel Castro...

A New Reality Emerges in Afghanistan

The security situation in Afghanistan has been deteriorating since the United States and NATO began to withdraw their forces earlier this year. In early...

The 20-Year War

On Sept. 11, 2001, a special operations team created by al-Qaida attacked the United States, hijacking commercial airplanes to target psychologically significant structures. I...

Brief: A Potential Russian Naval Base Divides Sudan

Background: The Red Sea and Indian Ocean are important energy and trade routes, and thus competition for access to them among the great powers...

China’s Search for a Negotiated Settlement

Last week, China celebrated the 100th anniversary of the founding of the Communist Party. The celebration included a plan for the invasion of Taiwan,...

China, Russia and the Strategy of Indirection

Europe was the primary battleground of the Cold War. NATO adopted a defensive strategy because it saw no value in conquering Eastern Europe and...

Daily Memo: Europe Shoots Down Summit With Russia

EU goings-on. On Thursday, the EU rejected a proposal submitted by France and Germany for a summit with Russia. Poland and the Baltics states...

Brief: Russians Arrested in Chad

Background: Outside powers, particularly France and Russia, are jockeying for influence in Central and West Africa. Paris has a leg up in the region,...

US-Mexico Border Security: A Modern Version of an Old Problem

U.S.-Mexico defense and security cooperation is a geopolitical conundrum. Geography dictates that the two countries must work together to address security concerns across their...

US Withdrawal From the Middle East

The United States is withdrawing air defense capabilities from several Arab countries, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait and Jordan, with most of the withdrawals...

Recent Articles

The Geopolitics of the United States

The United States needed to expand west to the Pacific coast in order to ensure strategic depth, generate economic activity and development and reduce the presence of any threat on its western front.

The rich agriculture area between the Rockies and Appalachian Mountains has an intricate river system favorable for exports through New Orleans Port via the Mississippi River.

North America can only be threatened from the sea and therefore control of the seas plays an important element of American strategy.

After the Soviet Union fell, the United States had no strategic challenger. The US remains the world’s super power and actively works to prevent the emergence of any potential regional power that could one day challenge it.

Read Regional Assessment

Required Reads: United States

From our 2021 Forecast...

Washington is now engaged in a massive redefinition of its foreign policy. The growing selectivity of American involvement will be the primary reality of 2021, even if the rhetoric does not match it.

United States in our Memos

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Latest Posts

The Volatile Global Food Supply

(click to enlarge) The pandemic has aggravated an already alarming situation regarding the cost and accessibility of food worldwide, as the director general of the...

Daily Memo: The US and Philippines Reportedly Reach Key Deal

Agreement reached. The U.S. and the Philippines may have finally put to rest concerns over one of the biggest threats to their Mutual Defense...

COVID and Cars

We have moved into the true second phase of the COVID-19 pandemic. Previous phases were merely passing bubbles. This one appears real. Until now,...

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