United States

For the US, 2024 Isn’t 1973

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Editor’s note: The rash of student protests throughout the United States is, however you feel about them, a result of America’s unwavering support for...

European Views on US Global Posture

The notion that all countries operate within constraints is one of the main pillars of geopolitics. It came up repeatedly during my recent visit...

How Different Countries Respond to Terrorism

The fallout from Hamas’ Oct. 7 rampage through Israel and the March 22 massacre at Crocus City Hall near Moscow are dreadful reminders of...

Daily Memo: France Calls Out Azerbaijan, Russian Peacekeepers Go Home

French blowback. France recalled its ambassador to Azerbaijan for consultations after accusing Baku of taking “unilateral actions damaging to the relationship between our two...

US Strategy and the Iran Strike

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The U.S. has adopted a national strategy designed to use force without risking casualties of its own. This strategy has been on full display...

Geopolitics and the Moon

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The moon will soon totally eclipse the sun – an event rare enough to be measured in centuries. This is a suitable occasion, then,...

Is Vietnam Facilitating US-North Korea Talks?

North Korea lies athwart the interests of the world’s most important geopolitical actors – namely, the United States, China and Russia. The government in...

Our Trip to the Western Pacific

My wife and I are returning from a six-week trip spanning New Zealand, Australia and Japan. The trip’s purposes were both personal and work-related....

Jihadists Exploit US Conflicts with Russia and Iran

Five years after losing the last stronghold of its defunct caliphate in the Levant, the Islamic State is making a comeback. The group’s center...

What Washington’s Departure From Niger Means

The U.S. responded to the Sahel’s string of military coups, especially in Niger, fairly pragmatically. Washington initially refused to call events in Niamey a...

America Approaches the Crisis

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We have recently discussed China's problems, Russia's ability to defeat Ukraine, the economic condition of Europe and the wars of the Middle East. All...

The Risks of a New Space Race

Alarm bells rang out in the United States when Chairman of the House Intelligence Committee Michael Turner went public about the threat of Russia...

Against Russian Allies in Latin America, the US Makes Its Moves

Last week, Russia laid out a broad strategy and list of priorities for key partners in Latin America. The announcement was precipitated by two...

Europe’s Strategic Moment

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It’s been two years since Russia invaded Ukraine, so it’s time to lay out the strategic situation as I see it. In February 2022,...

A US-Iran War

The Biden administration has plainly stated its wish to avoid a direct conflict with Iran, but soon it may not have much choice. The...

The World in 2024

Editor's note: Below are the compiled links to our entire 2024 annual forecast. Please follow the links for quick navigation, or download the PDF...

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The Geopolitics of the United States

The United States needed to expand west to the Pacific coast in order to ensure strategic depth, generate economic activity and development and reduce the presence of any threat on its western front.

The rich agriculture area between the Rockies and Appalachian Mountains has an intricate river system favorable for exports through New Orleans Port via the Mississippi River.

North America can only be threatened from the sea and therefore control of the seas plays an important element of American strategy.

After the Soviet Union fell, the United States had no strategic challenger. The US remains the world’s super power and actively works to prevent the emergence of any potential regional power that could one day challenge it.

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Required Reads: United States

From our Forecast...

The United States is entering a period of domestic disorder that will last a decade or so. The crisis will not affect U.S. foreign policy, even if it looks like it will.

United States in our Memos

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Mexico Is China’s Backdoor to the US Market

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(click to enlarge) Due to the trade war between the United States and China, some Chinese companies are employing third parties to help their products...

AUKUS and the Indo-Pacific

What are the geopolitical implications of the AUKUS partnership between Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States? Although Pillar I of the initiative and the announcement of Australia’s plans to acquire nuclear-powered submarines grabbed the headlines, what does Pillar II have in store? Analysts Ronan Wordsworth and Victoria Herczegh join host Christian Smith for a discussion on the future of AUKUS and what the potential addition of Japan and New Zealand to the alliance could mean for China and the Indo-Pacific.

Daily Memo: Turkey and Russia in Nagorno-Karabakh, Iranian Influence in Africa

Nagorno-Karabakh update. A joint Turkish-Russian monitoring center in Nagorno-Karabakh has closed, six months after Azerbaijan recaptured the region from ethnic Armenian forces. The center...

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The Geopolitics of the American President

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