Eurasia

Russia’s Chechnya Problem

By Andrew Ryvkin For over a century, Chechnya has been Russia’s most volatile republic. Rumored to be terminally ill, its leader, Ramzan Kadyrov, who built...

Russia’s Limitations in the Caucasus

Parliamentary elections will be held in Armenia on June 7. The Civil Contract party, led by current Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, who has been...

Daily Memo: Hungary-Ukraine Deal, Iraqi Disarmament Plans

One step closer. Hungary and Ukraine have reached a deal that could pave the path for the latter to begin accession negotiations with the...

The Fog of Economic War

Military theorist Carl von Clausewitz described war as a realm permeated by friction, incomplete information and uncertainty. The “fog of war,” as it has...

Russia’s High Expectations for Putin-Xi Meeting

Russian President Vladimir Putin arrived in China on May 19, just a few days after U.S. President Donald Trump wrapped up his own three-day...

George Answers Your Questions: The Week the New Global Reality Showed Itself

The Week the New Global Reality Showed Itself May 11, 2026 and The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks May 4, 2026 Question: I believe this is the first time...

Mali and the Collapse of Russia’s Security Guarantee

When Russian state-backed mercenaries started moving into Mali in late 2021 to help the military government defeat the country’s jihadists and separatists, they bore...

The Week the New Global Reality Showed Itself

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Last week, I wrote about the phone call Russian President Vladimir Putin made to U.S. President Donald Trump, during which he proposed a new...

George Answers Your Questions: The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks

The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks May 4, 2026 Question: Russian President Vladimir Putin wants only a one-day ceasefire for his May 9 celebration, but there...

Damage Control Ahead of Russia’s Elections

The first days of May are traditionally difficult for Moscow drivers. With the arrival of warmer weather, traffic begins to pick up, and streets...

America’s Simultaneous Management of China, Russia and Iran

That the United States is engaged in high-stakes negotiations with China, Russia and Iran – all at the same time – is a rare...

Daily Memo: European Leaders Gather in Yerevan

Partners abroad. European leaders are gathering on Monday for a summit of the European Political Community, a forum created in 2022 at the initiative...

The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks

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Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin held a 90-minute telephone conversation on April 29 – notably, at Putin's behest. Past conversations of this kind...

Global Economic Trends

(click to enlarge) Though global economic growth has stabilized since the 2020 pandemic meltdown, it remains below pre-pandemic averages and unevenly distributed across regions. After...

Ukraine Opens a New Front in Africa

In December 2025, a Russian oil tanker called the Qendil was struck by Ukrainian drones in the Mediterranean roughly 250 kilometers (155 miles) off...

Daily Memo: Ukraine Aid, Russia-China Ties

Drones for Ukraine. The U.K. will deliver at least 120,000 drones to Ukraine by the end of the year, its largest-ever drone package for...

Latest Posts

Central Asia is a highly strategic region traditionally trapped between several major powers but generally dominated by Russia, whose primary objective remains protecting the buffer zones that extend all the way to Eastern Europe.

The Russian government’s power depends on the security services, provision of economic incentives to a small group of elites and the acquiescence of the Russian population.

Ongoing regional and ethnic tensions threaten the unity of Central Asia and thus, sometimes, to the security of Russia.

Eurasia is highly exposed to Russia economically, especially when it comes to currencies, remittances and labor. Nevertheless, as the Russian economy weakens, partly due to the exporters’ crisis, its financial troubles are contributing to Central Asia’s slow destabilization.

While Russia is the dominant force, the economic slowdown in China, which is a major benefactor of much of Eurasia, is a major risk for Central Asian economies.

Regional Assessment of Russia

Regional Assessment of Central Asia

From our Forecast...

Russia will continue to conduct covert and non-military operations to take control and maintain control of its buffers.

Eurasia in our Memos

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Daily Memo: Doubts About Iran’s Nuclear Pledges, Alarmingly Low Oil Reserves

Internal discord. CIA Director John Ratcliffe told President Donald Trump and other senior officials that U.S. intelligence has serious doubts about Iran’s willingness to...

The Tension Between the Geopolitical and the Political in the Iran War

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The agreement reached Sunday between Iran and the United States does not end the war. It is essentially a 60-day ceasefire agreement, during which...

Daily Memo: US-Iran Deal, French Diplomacy in North Africa

Making it official. The United States and Iran will take part in an official signing ceremony on June 19 for the peace agreement reached...