Eurasia

The Outer Space Treaty and the Race for Space Control

In September, the United States publicly acknowledged for the first time that it operates weapons in orbit. The announcement confirmed how far the military...

How Geography Limits Russo-Chinese Military Cooperation

The prospect of a formal alliance between China and Russia has long worried their adversaries, especially the United States. But Beijing and Moscow are...

Why Ukraine and the Turkic World Need Each Other

Russia’s failures in the war in Ukraine have yielded an overlooked consequence: the re-emergence of Turkic influence in Eurasia. Ukraine's survival constrains Moscow's ability...

NATO and the Challenges Ahead: The View From Riga

Less than two weeks after visiting the Swedish city of Gothenburg, where I had the chance to observe perceptions of NATO from Scandinavia’s largest...

BRICS Finds Its Purpose in a Fragmenting World

Almost since its founding in 2006, the BRICS has faced criticism for being a talking shop rather than a functional organization. However, if the...

George Answers Your Questions: On Russia and the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement

Editor's note: There will be no "George Answers Your Questions" next week, as George will be traveling. George Answers Your Questions: An Attempt to Understand...

Europe’s Post-American Security Order

Washington’s transition from a post-World War II order to one that offloads security responsibility to regional partners puts Europe in a difficult situation. Despite...

George Answers Your Questions: An Attempt to Understand a Strange Visit to Moscow

An Attempt to Understand a Strange Visit to Moscow Aug. 31, 2026 Question: With regard to "the visit" by the CIA director, there was also speculation...

Wars in Iran and Ukraine: Trying to Figure Things Out

Earlier in the week, I wrote about the recent meeting between the U.S. and Russian intelligence chiefs, posing two theories based on the rumor...

Mongolia and the Geopolitics of Dependence

August was a busy month for work travel at GPF. While Antonia was exploring the origins of geopolitics in Sweden, my journey took me...

Eurasia’s New Balance of Power

The principal powers in Eurasia have just entered an unusually dense period of high-level diplomacy. The week began with a two-day meeting of the...

Daily Memo: Iran and Oman Discuss Hormuz

Hormuz management. Iran and Oman agreed to continue talks on restoring safe navigation through the Strait of Hormuz following a meeting between their foreign...

Daily Memo: Syria Considers Joining Defense Pact

Entering the fold? Syria is considering joining the mutual defense pact signed on Aug. 7 by Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, Syrian Foreign Minister...

Higher Military Learning in the Ukraine War

The war in Ukraine, now in its fifth year, has changed the lives of those on both sides of the front. Wartime economies tend...

The Geoeconomics of Water

Editor’s note: The following report was originally published in the July issue of GeoEconomic Lens, a subscription-based service that applies our geopolitical analysis toward...

Net Assessment: The Evolution of the Global System

In geopolitics, a net assessment is a high-level summation of geopolitical reality. It focuses not on the details but on the broad outlines of...

Latest Posts

Central Asia is a highly strategic region traditionally trapped between several major powers but generally dominated by Russia, whose primary objective remains protecting the buffer zones that extend all the way to Eastern Europe.

The Russian government’s power depends on the security services, provision of economic incentives to a small group of elites and the acquiescence of the Russian population.

Ongoing regional and ethnic tensions threaten the unity of Central Asia and thus, sometimes, to the security of Russia.

Eurasia is highly exposed to Russia economically, especially when it comes to currencies, remittances and labor. Nevertheless, as the Russian economy weakens, partly due to the exporters’ crisis, its financial troubles are contributing to Central Asia’s slow destabilization.

While Russia is the dominant force, the economic slowdown in China, which is a major benefactor of much of Eurasia, is a major risk for Central Asian economies.

Regional Assessment of Russia

Regional Assessment of Central Asia

Required Reads: Eurasia

From our Forecast...

Russia will continue to conduct covert and non-military operations to take control and maintain control of its buffers.

Eurasia in our Memos

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Daily Memo: Yemen Update, Russia-Afghanistan Talks

New offensive. Yemen’s internationally recognized government began a major offensive against the Houthi rebels on Monday after the country’s president announced a new military...

Thinking About How the Iran War Ends

All wars end, and they do so in one of two ways: Either one side defeats the other, or both sides negotiate a settlement....

George Answers Your Questions: A Possible Escalation by Iran

A Possible Escalation by Iran Sept. 28, 2026 Question: I've heard that the Iranian army is primarily a domestic security force. If the Turks decided they...