Eurasia

George Answers Your Questions: The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks

The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks May 4, 2026 Question: Russian President Vladimir Putin wants only a one-day ceasefire for his May 9 celebration, but there...

Damage Control Ahead of Russia’s Elections

The first days of May are traditionally difficult for Moscow drivers. With the arrival of warmer weather, traffic begins to pick up, and streets...

America’s Simultaneous Management of China, Russia and Iran

That the United States is engaged in high-stakes negotiations with China, Russia and Iran – all at the same time – is a rare...

Daily Memo: European Leaders Gather in Yerevan

Partners abroad. European leaders are gathering on Monday for a summit of the European Political Community, a forum created in 2022 at the initiative...

The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks

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Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin held a 90-minute telephone conversation on April 29 – notably, at Putin's behest. Past conversations of this kind...

Global Economic Trends

(click to enlarge) Though global economic growth has stabilized since the 2020 pandemic meltdown, it remains below pre-pandemic averages and unevenly distributed across regions. After...

Ukraine Opens a New Front in Africa

In December 2025, a Russian oil tanker called the Qendil was struck by Ukrainian drones in the Mediterranean roughly 250 kilometers (155 miles) off...

Daily Memo: Ukraine Aid, Russia-China Ties

Drones for Ukraine. The U.K. will deliver at least 120,000 drones to Ukraine by the end of the year, its largest-ever drone package for...

The Future of Nuclear Modernization

During the Cold War, there was a certain logic to the nuclear balance of power that kept things relatively orderly. The ability to strike...

The Crisis of NATO

The crisis of NATO was triggered by the collapse of the Soviet Union. The alliance was created to protect the regions of Europe occupied...

George Answers Your Questions: The Future of War Is Here

The Future of War Is Here March 30, 2026 Question: How can you say the Russian soldiers are “trained, brave and capable,” as the Russian soldiers...

Hormuz and the Slow-Burn Fertilizer Supply Shock

Oil and gas are not the only critical commodities shut in by the Iran war and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz....

The Future of War Is Here

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In my book “The Future of War,” which was published in 1996, I wrote that the future of warfare would be based on unmanned...

George Answers Your Questions: Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe March 23, 2026 Question: Isn’t the Trump administration’s real goal in the Iran war to limit China’s future capability to...

Logistical Complications for Russian Energy Exports

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(click to enlarge) Against the backdrop of the war in the Middle East, sharply rising energy prices, and the temporary easing of U.S. sanctions on...

Disinformation: A New Battlespace for Democracy

Democracies are inherently ill-prepared to deal with the proliferation of information warfare. While state-sponsored propaganda is by no means new, the digital age has...

Latest Posts

Central Asia is a highly strategic region traditionally trapped between several major powers but generally dominated by Russia, whose primary objective remains protecting the buffer zones that extend all the way to Eastern Europe.

The Russian government’s power depends on the security services, provision of economic incentives to a small group of elites and the acquiescence of the Russian population.

Ongoing regional and ethnic tensions threaten the unity of Central Asia and thus, sometimes, to the security of Russia.

Eurasia is highly exposed to Russia economically, especially when it comes to currencies, remittances and labor. Nevertheless, as the Russian economy weakens, partly due to the exporters’ crisis, its financial troubles are contributing to Central Asia’s slow destabilization.

While Russia is the dominant force, the economic slowdown in China, which is a major benefactor of much of Eurasia, is a major risk for Central Asian economies.

Regional Assessment of Russia

Regional Assessment of Central Asia

From our Forecast...

Russia will continue to conduct covert and non-military operations to take control and maintain control of its buffers.

Eurasia in our Memos

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Latest Posts

George Answers Your Questions: The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks

The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks May 4, 2026 Question: Russian President Vladimir Putin wants only a one-day ceasefire for his May 9 celebration, but there...

Ship Traffic Around Southern Africa Resurges

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(click to enlarge) Tanker traffic around the Cape of Good Hope has surged to its highest levels since early 2025 as conflict in the Middle...

Daily Memo: Drone Attack in Russia, US-Brazil Talks

Ukrainian attack. Several airports in southern Russia were forced to close on Friday after a Ukrainian drone hit the air traffic control center for...