Eurasia

George Answers Your Questions: Russia’s Vast Borders, US Intelligence on Drug Smuggling

Russia’s Issues Beyond Ukraine Nov. 11, 2025 Question: Why do you conclude with the statement that Russia has neither the ability nor interest to act on...

A New Map of the Arctic

U.S. lawmakers are reportedly moving this week to formally establish a senior diplomatic role known as ambassador-at-large for Arctic affairs – a position created...

Russia’s Issues Beyond Ukraine

FREE
Last week, U.S. President Donald Trump met in Washington with the leaders of Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan – all former members of...

Russia’s New War of Attrition

FREE
A battle is raging in Pokrovsk, located in the eastern Ukrainian region of Donetsk. It is part of Russia's attempt to encircle Ukrainian forces...

Why Washington’s Adversaries Must Find Accommodation

China, Russia and Iran have certain geopolitical imperatives they can’t achieve without first reaching some kind of accommodation with the United States. Beijing needs...

In Germany, an Industrial Strategy in Disguise

At the end of October, Germany’s Federal Statistical Office reported that the economy flatlined in the third quarter of 2025. Growth for the year...

Why Russia Could Withstand New Sanctions

On Oct. 22, the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control imposed sanctions against Russian companies Rosneft and Lukoil, as well as several...

George Answers Your Questions: The United States, Venezuela, Cuba and the Caribbean

First, I must apologize for an error in last week’s piece. The Florida Straits are not the only exit from the Gulf of Mexico....

A Divided Ukraine and European Security

A few months from now will mark the fourth anniversary of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, which started a war that has redefined European...

Ukraine as Viewed From Warsaw and Washington

Last week, I traveled to Washington, D.C., following a visit to Warsaw the week before. Both trips centered on Ukraine and how the war...

A Realist View of Europe’s ‘Drone Wall’

European capitals and NATO partners are getting serious about a “drone wall” for Europe’s eastern flank. Public pressure and a series of recent incursions...

Russian Energy Is Fine For Now

Throughout the war in Ukraine, Ukrainian forces have sought to strike Russia where it will hurt the most: critical energy infrastructure. Pipelines and refineries...

Europe Reconsiders Its Approach to Sanctions Enforcement

Over the past week, a series of incidents underscored growing concerns over European security and hybrid threats. In Germany, Munich Airport was forced to...

How Cyber Escalation Is Changing Conflict

On Sept. 19-20, coordinated cyberattacks disabled airport check-in systems across Europe, stranding passengers and forcing airports onto manual backups. It was the most visible...

Why Haven’t Russians Revolted?

Throughout history, a certain pattern has emerged in times of war that looks something like this: A protracted conflict depletes the budget and resources...

The Budget Trap Is Closing on Russia

Russia is about to make tough decisions as it sets its federal budget for 2026. In simple terms, the budget defines revenues and expenditures...

Latest Posts

Central Asia is a highly strategic region traditionally trapped between several major powers but generally dominated by Russia, whose primary objective remains protecting the buffer zones that extend all the way to Eastern Europe.

The Russian government’s power depends on the security services, provision of economic incentives to a small group of elites and the acquiescence of the Russian population.

Ongoing regional and ethnic tensions threaten the unity of Central Asia and thus, sometimes, to the security of Russia.

Eurasia is highly exposed to Russia economically, especially when it comes to currencies, remittances and labor. Nevertheless, as the Russian economy weakens, partly due to the exporters’ crisis, its financial troubles are contributing to Central Asia’s slow destabilization.

While Russia is the dominant force, the economic slowdown in China, which is a major benefactor of much of Eurasia, is a major risk for Central Asian economies.

Regional Assessment of Russia

Regional Assessment of Central Asia

Required Reads: Eurasia

From our Forecast...

Russia will continue to conduct covert and non-military operations to take control and maintain control of its buffers.

Eurasia in our Memos

Continue to the category

More from Eurasia

Continue to the category

Latest Posts

George Answers Your Questions: Russia’s Vast Borders, US Intelligence on Drug Smuggling

Russia’s Issues Beyond Ukraine Nov. 11, 2025 Question: Why do you conclude with the statement that Russia has neither the ability nor interest to act on...

Guinea Shakes Up Global Iron Ore Market

FREE
(click to enlarge) After three decades, Guinea has officially inaugurated the Simandou mine, with the first shipment of iron ore expected to depart for China...

Ukraine Isn’t the Only Frontline In Russia’s War Against the West

FREE
Russia's war with Ukraine is about to enter yet another winter. Meanwhile in the US, Donald Trump is turning his attention to Russia's southern border in an effort to woo the nations of the South Caucasus with diplomacy. What are the US' goals and what does it hope to gain in pulling these nations closer while Russia is distracted in its fight against NATO to the West? Talking Geopolitics host Christian Smith is joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman to make sense of the latest developments.

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscribe Now



The World Explained in Maps

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now