Eurasia

The Future of Drone Warfare

It’s been said for years that drones are the future of warfare. Their advantages are obvious: They are light and maneuverable and can deliver...

An Idiosyncratic View of Two Wars

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There are two major wars being fought. One, between Ukraine and Russia, has been raging for more than two and a half years but...

Russia Gets Tough on Migration

Russia understands that it’s approaching a demographic crisis. Problems such as falling birth rates would be difficult enough for Moscow to solve even if...

The Increase in Russian Military Forces

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Moscow’s announcement of a dramatic increase in the size of the Russian army by 180,000 new recruits appears to threaten a major increase in...

Will the West Let Ukraine Strike Farther Into Russia?

On Sept. 14, Ukraine again asked the West for permission to strike deeper into Russian territory. The request came a day after U.S. President...

Graphic Essay: Emerging Technologies

From the wheel to the internal combustion engine, new technologies have, for better or worse, fundamentally transformed our society. The emerging technologies listed have...

Ukraine Takes the Fight to Russia’s Doorstep

A little over a year since two suicide drones first tried to reach the Kremlin, Ukrainian drone strikes deep inside Russian territory are now...

The Corridor Dividing Russia and Iran

The Ukraine war has brought Russia and Iran closer, but the full scope of their evolving relationship is more complicated. Until last year, Tehran...

The Paradox of Russian Energy

In early August, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a law that, starting Nov. 1, legalizes the mining of cryptocurrency, which the Kremlin sees as...

On Ukraine, India Stands Firm With Neutrality

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Kyiv on Friday to meet with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is a calculated diplomatic move designed to underscore...

Azerbaijan’s Role in Russian Strategy

Russian President Vladimir Putin visited the capital of Azerbaijan on Aug. 18 in what was a very curiously timed trip. Not only was it...

Update on the War in Ukraine

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Two and a half years ago, Russia invaded Ukraine, a former part of the Russian Empire and the Soviet Union. The reason for the...

Why China Shuns the Russia-North Korea Alliance

Early this year, there was no greater advocate of a China-Russia-North Korea alliance than Kim Jong Un, the leader of North Korea for more...

The New Reality in the Ukraine War

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Last week, Ukraine did what many thought impossible when it invaded Russia – and, indeed, something that had not happened since World War II....

In Georgia, Balancing East and West Gets Tougher

Ahead of parliamentary elections set for October, Georgia appears to be reevaluating its relations with Russia and the West. The country severed diplomatic ties...

Graphic Essay: The Fight Against Global Hunger

Last year, approximately 30 percent of the world’s population experienced moderate to severe food insecurity. This means some 2.3 billion people “compromised on the...

Latest Posts

Central Asia is a highly strategic region traditionally trapped between several major powers but generally dominated by Russia, whose primary objective remains protecting the buffer zones that extend all the way to Eastern Europe.

The Russian government’s power depends on the security services, provision of economic incentives to a small group of elites and the acquiescence of the Russian population.

Ongoing regional and ethnic tensions threaten the unity of Central Asia and thus, sometimes, to the security of Russia.

Eurasia is highly exposed to Russia economically, especially when it comes to currencies, remittances and labor. Nevertheless, as the Russian economy weakens, partly due to the exporters’ crisis, its financial troubles are contributing to Central Asia’s slow destabilization.

While Russia is the dominant force, the economic slowdown in China, which is a major benefactor of much of Eurasia, is a major risk for Central Asian economies.

Regional Assessment of Russia

Regional Assessment of Central Asia

From our Forecast...

Russia will continue to conduct covert and non-military operations to take control and maintain control of its buffers.

Eurasia in our Memos

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Latest Posts

Copper: Now and in the Future

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(click to enlarge) Copper is crucial to the global economy, and its importance is only going up. Historically, copper has been vital in construction, electrical...

Daily Memo: Takeaways From ASEAN Summit

Thaw in relations. During a meeting with Australia's prime minister on the sidelines of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations summit in Laos, Chinese...

Gaming Out Israeli and Iranian Retaliation

The Israeli Security Cabinet convened on Oct. 10 to decide how it will retaliate against Iran’s recent missile barrage. There’s reason to believe it's...

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