Eurasia

The Risks of a New Space Race

Alarm bells rang out in the United States when Chairman of the House Intelligence Committee Michael Turner went public about the threat of Russia...

The West Makes Its Case for the Green Transition in Central Asia

Uzbek media reported last week that the United States and Uzbekistan are working on a plan to turn the latter into a green hydrogen...

Against Russian Allies in Latin America, the US Makes Its Moves

Last week, Russia laid out a broad strategy and list of priorities for key partners in Latin America. The announcement was precipitated by two...

Europe’s Strategic Moment

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It’s been two years since Russia invaded Ukraine, so it’s time to lay out the strategic situation as I see it. In February 2022,...

The Limits of Russian-North Korean Relations

Some 100 Russian citizens visited North Korea this month, stopping at the capital of Pyongyang before braving the slopes of a nearby ski resort....

Russian Influence in Congo

Last week, protests erupted in the Democratic Republic of Congo. What began in Kinshasa near U.S. and French embassies and U.N. compounds eventually spread...

On the Death of Alexei Navalny

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Alexei Navalny was an opponent of the Russian regime, and for his trouble, he was sent to prison – a gulag, as it was...

Additional Thoughts on the Putin Interview

On Tuesday, we published an article I wrote on Tucker Carlson’s interview with Russian President Vladimir Putin. I believe the interview revealed a great...

Putin’s Perspective on the Russia-Ukraine War

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Russian President Vladimir Putin did something unprecedented last week: He held a two-hour press conference directed at the American public. It was not exactly...

Turkey’s Time to Decide on Russia

On Feb. 4, Turkey’s foreign minister said that Russian President Vladimir Putin would visit Turkey sometime in February to meet with President Recep Tayyip...

Azerbaijan, Armenia and a New Regional Security Architecture

Azerbaijan’s decisive military victory over Armenia last September has likely permanently altered the balance of power in the region. But although Azerbaijan has eliminated...

Daily Memo: Another Bank Blocks Russian Clients

Tightening the screws. China’s Chouzhou Commercial Bank is no longer conducting transactions with Russian and Belarusian clients, Russian business daily Vedomosti reported. Transactions using...

Another ‘Coup’ in Africa, Another Russian Opportunity

Last weekend, Senegalese President Macky Sall announced an indefinite delay to elections that were slated to take place Feb. 25. Characterized by many as...

Russia Walks a Demographic Tightrope

January was a month of widespread dissatisfaction and protest in Russia, but not for the reasons you’d expect. Demonstrations erupted in the eastern Siberian...

A Shift in Russian Wartime Policy?

Russian state-owned news agency RIA Novosti published a statement made by President Vladimir Putin on Wednesday that we regard as a significant shift in...

The World in 2024

Editor's note: Below are the compiled links to our entire 2024 annual forecast. Please follow the links for quick navigation, or download the PDF...

Latest Posts

Central Asia is a highly strategic region traditionally trapped between several major powers but generally dominated by Russia, whose primary objective remains protecting the buffer zones that extend all the way to Eastern Europe.

The Russian government’s power depends on the security services, provision of economic incentives to a small group of elites and the acquiescence of the Russian population.

Ongoing regional and ethnic tensions threaten the unity of Central Asia and thus, sometimes, to the security of Russia.

Eurasia is highly exposed to Russia economically, especially when it comes to currencies, remittances and labor. Nevertheless, as the Russian economy weakens, partly due to the exporters’ crisis, its financial troubles are contributing to Central Asia’s slow destabilization.

While Russia is the dominant force, the economic slowdown in China, which is a major benefactor of much of Eurasia, is a major risk for Central Asian economies.

Regional Assessment of Russia

Regional Assessment of Central Asia

Required Reads: Eurasia

From our Forecast...

Russia will continue to conduct covert and non-military operations to take control and maintain control of its buffers.

Eurasia in our Memos

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Latest Posts

Daily Memo: Niger Expels US Troops, EU Invests in Egypt

Ousted. Niger’s ruling military junta ordered U.S. troops to leave the country with immediate effect. The United States has roughly 1,000 troops stationed at...

No One Wants Responsibility for Haiti

Though Washington is preoccupied with the war in Ukraine, strained trade relations with China and a potential regional conflict in the Middle East, U.S....

A Closer Look at NATO Spending

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(click to enlarge) In a meeting with NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg, Poland's president advocated that each NATO member increase defense spending to 3 percent of...

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