Eurasia

How Different Countries Respond to Terrorism

The fallout from Hamas’ Oct. 7 rampage through Israel and the March 22 massacre at Crocus City Hall near Moscow are dreadful reminders of...

Daily Memo: France Calls Out Azerbaijan, Russian Peacekeepers Go Home

French blowback. France recalled its ambassador to Azerbaijan for consultations after accusing Baku of taking “unilateral actions damaging to the relationship between our two...

Rocket Launch Exposes Russia’s Technology Gaps

Russia on Thursday successfully test-launched a heavy-lift rocket called the Angara-A5, its first space rocket developed after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Though...

NATO Weighs Its Future Ukraine Support

NATO marked its 75th anniversary last week. The moment was naturally accompanied by talk about the future of the Ukraine war and the alliance’s...

The Next Phase in the Ukraine War

Russia’s campaign to take over the eastern Ukrainian city of Avdiivka represents a new phase in a conflict that has effectively reached a stalemate....

Jihadists Exploit US Conflicts with Russia and Iran

Five years after losing the last stronghold of its defunct caliphate in the Levant, the Islamic State is making a comeback. The group’s center...

Fallout From the Attack in Russia

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Four days after the terrorist attack in Moscow, the most important question is how the Kremlin will respond – which itself will depend on...

An Attack in Moscow

On the evening of March 22, unidentified armed assailants attacked the Crocus concert hall in Moscow. They entered the building after shooting the security...

To Plug Russia’s Fiscal Gap, Something Has to Give

The Russian government is working on a plan to introduce a progressive taxation system in order to plug the growing budget gap. Ahead of...

The Risks of a New Space Race

Alarm bells rang out in the United States when Chairman of the House Intelligence Committee Michael Turner went public about the threat of Russia...

The West Makes Its Case for the Green Transition in Central Asia

Uzbek media reported last week that the United States and Uzbekistan are working on a plan to turn the latter into a green hydrogen...

Against Russian Allies in Latin America, the US Makes Its Moves

Last week, Russia laid out a broad strategy and list of priorities for key partners in Latin America. The announcement was precipitated by two...

Europe’s Strategic Moment

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It’s been two years since Russia invaded Ukraine, so it’s time to lay out the strategic situation as I see it. In February 2022,...

The Limits of Russian-North Korean Relations

Some 100 Russian citizens visited North Korea this month, stopping at the capital of Pyongyang before braving the slopes of a nearby ski resort....

Russian Influence in Congo

Last week, protests erupted in the Democratic Republic of Congo. What began in Kinshasa near U.S. and French embassies and U.N. compounds eventually spread...

On the Death of Alexei Navalny

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Alexei Navalny was an opponent of the Russian regime, and for his trouble, he was sent to prison – a gulag, as it was...

Latest Posts

Central Asia is a highly strategic region traditionally trapped between several major powers but generally dominated by Russia, whose primary objective remains protecting the buffer zones that extend all the way to Eastern Europe.

The Russian government’s power depends on the security services, provision of economic incentives to a small group of elites and the acquiescence of the Russian population.

Ongoing regional and ethnic tensions threaten the unity of Central Asia and thus, sometimes, to the security of Russia.

Eurasia is highly exposed to Russia economically, especially when it comes to currencies, remittances and labor. Nevertheless, as the Russian economy weakens, partly due to the exporters’ crisis, its financial troubles are contributing to Central Asia’s slow destabilization.

While Russia is the dominant force, the economic slowdown in China, which is a major benefactor of much of Eurasia, is a major risk for Central Asian economies.

Regional Assessment of Russia

Regional Assessment of Central Asia

Required Reads: Eurasia

From our Forecast...

Russia will continue to conduct covert and non-military operations to take control and maintain control of its buffers.

Eurasia in our Memos

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Latest Posts

Daily Memo: Iran Plans More Nuclear Plants, Russia Eyes African Ports

Atomic power. Iran plans to build more nuclear power plants to increase its generation capacity and ensure its national energy security, the head of...

European Views on US Global Posture

The notion that all countries operate within constraints is one of the main pillars of geopolitics. It came up repeatedly during my recent visit...

Live Discussion: The Changing Landscape of Threats

Geopolitical and national security threats are constantly changing and evolving, sometimes it's hard to keep up. In this week's ClubGPF live discussion, Rear Admiral...

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