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Middle East Security, Long-Term US Strategy, and the Big Picture | Q&A with George Friedman

Are we living through an unprecedented collapse of the global order, or is this just another turbulent chapter in the geopolitical cycle? On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to answer subscriber questions on the state of the world. Topics include the future of the Middle East and US strategy, the value of ā€œineffectiveā€ diplomatic maneuvers, and a big-picture evaluation of global economic vulnerabilities.

The UK Airbase Puzzle and Inside the Trump-Xi Summit

On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss the unfolding security incident at RAF Fairford, the fallout from the US-China summit and Xi's letter to Trump, and the overblown risks of AI in geopolitics and related technology.

UN Drama, Russian Bluffs, and the Trump-Xi Summit Preview

It’s a high-stakes week for global geopolitics and diplomacy. On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith for a broad discussion on the real-world impact of fiery UN debates, the future of European security and Russian provocation, and how global trade hangs in the balance ahead of the US-China summit in Washington. Also: Iran War impacts and flashpoint Taiwan.

Germany’s AfD and the Return of European Nationalism

Eighty years after World War II, the far right is rising again in Europe. Is their recent success a sign of a geopolitical shift? On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss the AfD’s regional victory in Germany, how fading historical guilt and tensions over cultural identity serve as unifying populist forces, and how similar movements in France and Britain call back to pre-WWI national posturing. Also: NATO obsolescence, Eastern Europe, and Russia.

Is Russia Escalating? George Friedman Breaks Down the Threat

It’s been an interesting few days for US-Russia relations. On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss the CIA Director’s trip to Moscow, the drone plot in Germany, and reports of Russia’s help in an Iranian advanced weapons program. What does a threat assessment of Russia reveal about these tactical and diplomatic shifts? What are the impacts on European security, US-Russia relations, and future peace in Ukraine? Also: Nuclear deterrence and Cold War lessons.

Xi Jinping’s Military Gamble and a ā€œCritical Momentā€ for US-China Relations

What does the transformation of the PLA mean for China’s global position and strategy? On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman and GPF analyst and China expert Victoria Herczegh join host Christian Smith to discuss how Xi Jinping’s supreme desire for loyalty impacts the PLA’s effectiveness, the operational risks of rapid technological modernization without critical evaluation, and what’s next for US-China relations as signals of de-escalation appear ahead of next month’s summit. Also: Taiwan’s symbolic role.

Special Edition: How the ā€œIslamic NATOā€ Shifts Global Geopolitics

Is last week’s signing of a landmark mutual defense agreement between Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan a further signal of global geopolitical realignment? On this special extended episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman and Middle East expert and GPF contributor Kamran Bokhari join host Christian Smith for a deep dive into the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement and how it shifts the balance of power across the Middle East and beyond. Also: GPF Chief Geoeconomist Antonia Colibasanu discusses this month’s Geoeconomic Lens, and the future of sanctions and the war in Ukraine.

Iran’s Nuclear Gamble and Trump’s Midterm Countdown

Will Iran's long-game strategy and the United States' limited military options lead to capitulation or the crumbling of Trump’s presidency? On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss the historical scope of the Iran conflict and its ā€œexistentialā€ threat, the limits of US force amid mounting political pressure at home, and Iran’s negotiation strategy and leverage in the nuclear stalemate.

India & The New Anti-China Coalition

What does Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s recent visit to Australia, New Zealand, and Indonesia mean for India, China, and the rest of the Indo-Pacific? On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss how Modi’s tour signals a strategic pivot for India, how geography and common security interests can be leveraged to buffer China, and what this loose anti-China framework means for the broader geopolitical system. Also: Chinese countermoves. Pakistan looks west.

The US-Iran “Gut Check” and the Future of European Defense

This week’s NATO summit in Turkey left big questions about the war in Iran and America’s role in European defense. On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss the US-Iran ceasefire breakdown, NATO and the European collective defense dilemma, and Turkey’s geopolitical rise and impact on the shifting realities in the region.

Russia’s Fuel Crisis and the Threat of Nuclear Escalation

Will a Russian energy crisis finally lead to a negotiated settlement, or are we headed towards nuclear war? On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss Ukrainian target shifts toward energy infrastructure and their impact on Russia’s already fragile economy, the impending political crisis inside the Kremlin, and the viability of Russia’s potential next steps, including ā€œtacticalā€ nukes, Belarusian involvement, and fully mobilizing reserve forces.

Why the US-Iran Deal Could End in Crisis

Is the US-Iran agreement a real move toward peace or just a fragile memorandum? On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss the ā€œdealā€ and pause in hostilities, the shifting regional dynamics and military forces at play, and how each nation’s internal political pressures could lead us straight back to war. Also: the advantage of defense; the US-Israel divide.

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