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Middle East and North Africa

The Ideological Division Between Hamas and Islamic Jihad

Israel's decisive triumph in the 1967 Six-Day War discredited pan-Arab nationalist movements and secular leaders. It gave impetus to state-oppressed religious groups, such as...

Tunisia’s President Tightens His Grip on Power

In July 2021, Tunisian President Kais Saied staged a presidential coup, fired Prime Minister Hisham Mchichi, suspended the parliament and ruled by decree, arrogating...

Qatar’s Grandiose National Vision 2030

In 2008, Qatar unveiled an initiative to make the country an advanced society by 2030. Qatar National Vision 2030 laid out a comprehensive sustainable...

Israel’s Place in the Middle Eastern Balance of Power

Since Israel came into existence in 1948, every U.S. president has expressed unwavering support for its survival and well-being. On July 14, U.S. President...

Biden in Saudi Arabia: Realpolitik vs. Morality

The war in Ukraine rages on as the United States still wants to prevent Russia from effectively reaching Eastern Europe. To that end, Washington’s...

Saudi Arabia: No Longer a Swing Oil Producer

Last May, the Saudi minister of energy warned that “the world is running out of energy capacity at all levels.” More recently, in a...

Why a Middle Eastern NATO Won’t Work

Last month, Jordan’s King Abdullah II announced his support for forming a Middle Eastern military alliance similar to NATO. Interest in establishing a regional...

The Politics of Sports in Saudi Arabia

As part of a push to diversify their economies away from fossil fuels, the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council have been making significant...

The Turkish Opposition’s Plan to Unseat Erdogan in 2023

Turkey is set to hold presidential elections in June 2023. They will come at a difficult time for President Recep Tayyip Erdogan as he...

The Evolution of Great Powers

The evolution of military power is one of the most important if underrated geopolitical changes happening in the world today. Throughout the 20th century,...

Cycles of Turmoil

(click to enlarge) Political leadership in Arab countries is often a poisoned chalice. Violence and upheaval have been hallmarks of political transition in the Middle...

Israel Calls Hezbollah’s Bluff

Earlier this month, the Israeli-contracted Energean Power gas rig reached the Suez Canal from Singapore on its way to the Karish gas field, located...

The Roots of Arab Turmoil

The rise of the modern nation-state and established universal values has led to a reduction in political violence in many places across the globe....

Chances for Russia’s Outreach to the Middle East

Last week, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov visited Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, where he took part in the Gulf Cooperation Council forum. It was...

The Global Economy Rebounds, Stumbles Again

(click to enlarge) Economic data for the past two years – that is, the majority of the COVID-19 pandemic – has finally been processed and...

Why Iran Won’t Compromise in Nuclear Talks

A year after the start of Iran nuclear negotiations in Vienna, talks ended unsurprisingly without an agreement on the core issues. Although Iran needs...

Latest Posts

The meltdown of autocratic regimes currently underway in the Arab world has led to the growth of ungoverned spaces. The resulting vacuum is being dominated by armed Islamist non-state actors – in particular Salafist-jihadist militias.

The three non-Arab powers – Turkey, Iran and Israel – are trying to manage the regional commotion according to their national interests.

It was during the Cold War era that a deep ideological chasm in the Middle East began to coagulate. The struggle between those who adopted European secularism and those who crafted an ideology based on religious tradition had its roots in late 19th century Ottoman Empire. Roughly 100 years later, this struggle had polarized the region.

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Required Reads: Middle East and North Africa

From our 2022 Forecast...

The Vienna nuclear talks will result in a settlement. The Israeli Air Force will not attack Iran’s nuclear sites.

Middle East and North Africa in our Memos

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Latest Posts

Norway Adds to Europe’s Energy Crunch

(click to enlarge) Norway is one of Europe’s most important alternatives to Russian energy supplies. In the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, EU countries...

Daily Memo: Unblocking Russian Oil Transit, North Korean Nukes

Supplies restored. An unnamed European bank agreed to process a transit payment for Russian oil through Ukraine, clearing the way to restore oil flows...

Homage to the Bronx

When my wife and I arrived at the Las Vegas airport recently, we saw a sign advertising a show called “The Bronx Wanderers,” apparently...

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