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Middle East and North Africa

Brief: Ukraine Wants to Buy an Iron Dome Battery

Background: Israel and Russia have developed a pragmatic and functional relationship on security as a result of the war in Syria. Russia’s presence in...

The Curse of Sectarianism in Lebanon

In October 2019, a spate of protests erupted over the Lebanese government’s plan to impose a daily 20-cent charge on calls made through WhatsApp....

Egypt as a Declining Regional Power

In June 2009, U.S. President Barack Obama delivered an address to the Muslim world proposing a new start in Arab-U.S. relations. He chose to...

The Roots of Arab Republican Despotism

Last week, Syrian President Bashar Assad won a seven-year presidential term for the fourth time since 2000. According to official figures, Assad won 95...

Brief: Europe Braces for More Migrants

Background: Several years removed from the migrant crisis, Europe is still working to integrate new immigrants. Like the COVID-19 pandemic, the migration episode raised...

The Palestinians’ Predicament

In 1993, Israel and the Palestine Liberation Organization signed the Oslo Accords on the White House lawn, a deal that called on both parties...

Brief: Hezbollah Warns Israel, Israel Warns Back

Background: Israel lost a war to Iranian-backed Hezbollah in 2006. Ever since, Israel has remained concerned about the security of its northern border and...

The Eclipse of the Palestinian Question

Until the 1970s, the Palestinian question had preoccupied the Arab world since the creation of Israel in 1948. Public figures and ordinary Arabs were...

Gaza: Morality and Reality

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Fighting is intensifying between Israelis and Palestinians, though it would be a mistake to think of this as another war. The war had been...

Russia Stays Out of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

Israel and the Palestinian territories are engaged in their most intense bout of fighting in years, and there’s a major power not too far...

The State of the Israeli-Gaza Conflict

The origins of the modern Arab-Israeli conflict are pretty well known. Gaza, the narrow strip of land running to the Sinai Peninsula, was originally...

Brief: Fighting Breaks Out in Israel and Palestinian Territories

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Background: Israel and the Palestinian territories engage in low-level skirmishes pretty regularly, but intifadas and outright kinetic war are comparatively rarer. There hasn’t been...

From Pandemic to Pan-shortages

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With some notable and grave exceptions, the COVID-19 crisis is winding down for much of the world. But as it does, another problem is...

In Yemen, Foreign Intervention Is Futile

Yemen has been subjected to foreign meddling for centuries. The British occupied Aden in 1839 and didn’t leave until over a century later. The...

Spain’s Grand Plans in Africa

It wasn’t so long ago, historically speaking, that Spain was a great power. It ruled much of the Americas, dominated the Atlantic Ocean and...

Brief: Stray Fire Near Israel’s Nuclear Facility

Background: The United States and Iran are openly trying to return, in some fashion, to the Iran nuclear agreement. Israel – a long-time ally...

Recent Articles

The meltdown of autocratic regimes currently underway in the Arab world has led to the growth of ungoverned spaces. The resulting vacuum is being dominated by armed Islamist non-state actors – in particular Salafist-jihadist militias.

The three non-Arab powers – Turkey, Iran and Israel – are trying to manage the regional commotion according to their national interests.

It was during the Cold War era that a deep ideological chasm in the Middle East began to coagulate. The struggle between those who adopted European secularism and those who crafted an ideology based on religious tradition had its roots in late 19th century Ottoman Empire. Roughly 100 years later, this struggle had polarized the region.

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Required Reads: Middle East and North Africa

From our 2021 Forecast...

Arab expectations from the Arab-Israeli alliance system are too high and Israel will be unable to deliver. This will remain a loose alliance aimed at blocking Iran but will not include strong, joint military action.

Middle East and North Africa in our Memos

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Latest Posts

Brief: Ukraine Wants to Buy an Iron Dome Battery

Background: Israel and Russia have developed a pragmatic and functional relationship on security as a result of the war in Syria. Russia’s presence in...

Daily Memo: Iraq’s Nuclear Energy Plans

Iraq's energy plans. Iraq said it was considering building eight nuclear reactors that could provide 25 percent of the country’s electricity needs by 2030....

The Curse of Sectarianism in Lebanon

In October 2019, a spate of protests erupted over the Lebanese government’s plan to impose a daily 20-cent charge on calls made through WhatsApp....

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