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Net Assessment: The Evolution of the Global System

George Friedman -
In geopolitics, a net assessment is a high-level summation of geopolitical reality. It focuses not on the details but on the broad outlines of...
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George Answers Your Questions: The Broader Impact of a New Alliance in the Middle East

George Friedman -
The Broader Impact of a New Alliance in the Middle East Aug. 10, 2026 Question: So how does this work with Israel? If they have a...
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In Africa, France Is Learning English

Ronan Wordsworth -
Since the end of the colonial era, France has remained deeply embedded in Africa, particularly in the countries that once formed its empire. It’s...
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The Contradiction at the Heart of China’s Military Reforms

Victoria Herczegh -
China’s military is undergoing its most significant transformation in decades. The recent appointment of dozens of new commanders, the restructuring of Central Military Commission...
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The Significance of the Ceuta Crisis Beyond Migration

Antonia Colibasanu -
Late last month, more than 70,000 people crossed from Morocco into the Spanish enclave of Ceuta in a matter of days. Spanish troops were...
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Iran’s Unfinished War: Tehran’s Race Against Time

Kamran Bokhari -
More than four months into the U.S. and Israeli war with Iran, it is easy to lose sight of Iran’s strategic position among the...
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The Broader Impact of a New Alliance in the Middle East

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George Friedman -
Last week, my colleague Kamran Bokhari predicted the emergence of a new Middle Eastern geopolitical order. He noted that that order would be built...
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George Answers Your Questions: Azerbaijan: Very Small, Very Significant

George Friedman -
Azerbaijan: Very Small, Very Significant Aug. 3, 2026 Question: If Azerbaijan is the soft underbelly of Russia, in what way could it give Putin a tummy...
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Belarus’ Military Buildup Is About Survival

Ekaterina Zolotova -
Recent moves by Belarus to strengthen and reorganize its military have raised concerns that Minsk and Moscow are preparing to open a second front...
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After Iran, a Security Transition by Committee

Andrew Davidson, Ridvan Bari Urcosta -
For years, the United States has projected power across the Middle East through a concentrated network of command, air, naval and logistics hubs. Bahrain...
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What Will the Middle East Look Like After the Iran War?

Kamran Bokhari -
The United States, as we’ve written before, is in the process of implementing a new global geostrategy that would allow Washington to offload some...
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Russia’s Road Back Runs Through Berlin

Geopolitical Futures -
By Andrew Ryvkin Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the media has focused more on Russia’s negotiations with the United States than with the European...
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