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The Dilemma of Iran’s Islamic Revolution

Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini's 1979 Islamic Revolution ended Iran's nearly five centuries of uninterrupted imperial rule. But it continued the Persian tradition of territorial expansionism...

Daily Memo: Chinese Exports Surge, Iranian Moves Escalate Tensions

Chinese trade. Chinese exports in December jumped a whopping 18.1 percent compared with the same month a year earlier – a month that, looking...

Daily Memo: China’s Latest COVID-19 Wave, More Airstrikes in Syria

Another wave in China. In Hebei province, which borders Beijing, Chinese authorities have put some 23 million people in three cities on lockdown following...

Egypt’s Last Chance

What options does a nation have when its future depends on another country’s decisions about a resource the other country controls? That’s what Egypt...

Daily Memo: China Plans More Powers in Contested Waters

Chinese blockade threats. China is reportedly planning changes to its 1984 Maritime Traffic Safety Law. The changes hint at a potential new tactic in...

A Major Contraction in Jobs

Some 140,000 Americans lost their jobs last month, the largest decline in employment since last April. Yet, the unemployment rate stayed at roughly 6.7...

Daily Memo: The US Angers China, Kyrgyzstan’s New President

Chinese warnings over Taiwan. The U.S. State Department announced this weekend that it had lifted restrictions on meetings with Taiwanese officials. This comes as...

In Central Asia, a Timely Opportunity for Russia

In our 2021 annual forecast, we noted that this year, like many years before it, Russia would try to add to its strategic depth...

Daily Memo: Frictions Return Between Japan and South Korea

Tokyo and Seoul are at it again. The endless dispute between Seoul and Tokyo over wartime atrocities is flaring up again. On Friday, a...

Kuwait’s Struggle to Create a Modern State

With a free press, active parliament and dynamic political system, Kuwait is the most liberal member of the Gulf Cooperation Council. But its reputation...

Daily Memo: Protest at the US Capitol

Unrest in Washington. Supporters of U.S. President Donald Trump rushed into the U.S. Capitol on Wednesday to disrupt a vote certifying President-elect Joe Biden’s...

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COVID-19’s Impact on Labor

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(click to enlarge) A key trend in 2021 is the rebalancing of the global economic...

Daily Memo: Sanctions and Trade Deals

Happy anniversary to a trade deal. It's the one-year anniversary of the signing of...

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