Germany’s Budget Crisis

The European Union is engaged in a critical debate about the bloc’s budget over the next few years, but politics in its most important...

Daily Memo: Israel Update, Problems for British Banking

Fighting continues. Israel Defense Forces said on Friday they would resume combat operations against Hamas in the Gaza Strip after the group violated the cease-fire...

Remember Ukraine?

Some of you may remember Ukraine. Just a few months ago, it was all the talk. Since then, war has broken out between Hamas...

The World Aflame

A few weeks ago, I wrote a piece titled “The World Begins to Reorder Itself.” There is certainly a new order coming, but unlike...

Daily Memo: Gaza Border, US Deployment

Gaza border opens. The Rafah border crossing between Gaza and Egypt has reopened. This comes after the Gaza Borders and Crossings Authority released a...

Russia, Ukraine and Thinking Extreme Thoughts

In a recent article, I wrote that the war in Ukraine is over, but nobody knows how to end it. What I meant by...

Europe’s Biggest Challenges Ahead

A little over a week ago, I was set to depart for a conference in Brussels when news broke about Hamas’ attack on Israel....

The World Begins to Reorder Itself

I wrote a few months ago that the world is in the process of reordering itself, something it does every few generations. It is...

The Race to Dominate Seabed Mining

The world can’t get enough of critical minerals. From 2017 to 2022, green energy projects alone boosted demand for lithium by roughly 200 percent,...

Thoughts on the American Interest

Recently, I wrote an article on the Ukraine war titled “The War Is Over, but No One Knows How to Stop Fighting.” There were...

In the Balkans, Another Borderland Conflict Flares Up

On Oct. 1, following a request from the supreme allied commander Europe and approval by the North Atlantic Council, the United Kingdom announced that...

The War Is Over, but No One Knows How to Stop Fighting

It has been more than one and a half years since Russia launched its attack on Ukraine. The war has not gone as the...

A New EU Enlargement Proposal, Ukraine Edition

Last week, all eyes were on the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh, where an escalation of forces threatens to disrupt the tenuous equilibrium among Russia, the...

The Demise of Francafrique

France’s colonial empire in West and Central Africa dissolved in the 1950s and 1960s, but Paris’ dominance remained. Through the unofficial policy of “Francafrique,”...

The Gravity of Germany’s Economic Problems

Last week, the European Commission lowered its growth predictions in the eurozone for 2023 and 2024 – overwhelmingly because of poor economic indicators from...

The Viability of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor

We live in an age of interregional connections. China’s Belt and Road Initiative, after a decade and hundreds of billions of dollars in spending,...

Latest Posts

The European Peninsula is facing two interlocking crises: first, the fragmentation in the European Union due to diverging national interests and, second, a shift in the relationship between the peninsula and the rest of Eurasia.

Germany is the most powerful country in the European Union and economically dependent on its exports to the bloc. Therefore, Germany must maintain a cohesive eurozone and European Union, in order to safeguard its exports and shape the direction of Europe’s economic policies.

Europe suffers from regional divides with drastic employment and economic discrepancies between the north and south. An east and west divide, dating back to the Soviet era, also influence countries’ different outlooks towards foreign interactions.

Russia and the United States continue to have competing interests in Central and Eastern Europe.

Read Regional Assessment

Read Assessment of Germany

Required Reads: Europe

From our Forecast...

Inherent economic divisions will be aggravated by supply chain issues. Europe with Germany at its center will change into a Europe with no clear center.

Europe in our Memos

Continue to the category

More from Europe

Continue to the category

Latest Posts

Daily Memo: Azerbaijan and Armenia Agree to Work Toward Normalization

Moving forward. Armenia and Azerbaijan expressed their intention to normalize relations and sign a peace deal in a joint statement on Thursday. They also...

Upcoming New Forecasts

A while ago, I wrote about preparing a new batch of short-term and 20- to 30-year forecasts. We are now finalizing and readying them...

Daily Memo: Top EU Officials Meet With Xi in Beijing

China-EU summit. Chinese President Xi Jinping met in Beijing with European Council President Charles Michel and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, their...

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscribe Now

The Geopolitics of the American President

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now