Europe

US, Europe Bet on Banks to Fund Strategic Priorities

Both Washington and Brussels are signaling a major break from the regulatory posture that has defined the trans-Atlantic financial architecture since the 2008 global...

Cautiously Optimistic EU Economic Data

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(click to enlarge) In the first quarter of 2025, the eurozone recorded 0.6 percent quarter-on-quarter GDP growth, doubling the 0.3 percent rate seen in the...

Belarus’ Foreign Policy Returns to an Old Playbook

At the annual Eurasian Economic Forum hosted in Minsk last week, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko said his country’s foreign policy would prioritize building a...

Iran Conflict Puts Trans-Atlantic Ties to the Test

Fresh off a G7 meeting that exposed deep disagreements between the U.S. and Europe over trade and multilateralism, leaders of NATO countries are gathering...

Ukraine and Russia, Israel and Iran: Searching for the Significant

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The Ukrainian drone attack on Russia at the beginning of this month and the Israeli attack on Iran have some striking similarities. 1. Both attacks...

German and Japanese Military Resurgence

The United States is stepping back from its role as the world’s security guarantor – a position it has held for some 80 years....

France’s Plan to Bridge Europe and Asia

France is implementing a new grand strategy in response to a rapidly changing world and an array of regional and global challenges. Defense is...

The Evolution of the Global Defense Industry

The global defense industry is undergoing a profound transformation driven by rapid technological advancement and growing concern over supply chain resilience. The changes underway...

Report From Serbia

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I first visited Serbia in the early 1970s. At the time, I was genuinely unaware that I was in Serbia. I thought I was...

Report From Bucharest

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My wife and I arrived in Romania last Wednesday after a two-night stopover and time adjustment in Frankfurt. We stayed in Bucharest with Antonia...

Germany Acts

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Germany’s decision to deploy a permanent force of 5,000 soldiers to Lithuania is extremely significant because it signals the next phase of a new...

Russia’s Negotiating Strategy

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It has been about three months since U.S. President Donald Trump began the negotiation process with Russian President Vladimir Putin for peace in Ukraine....

In Russia, a Late Night Call for Peace

In the early morning of May 11, when most Russians were fast asleep, President Vladimir Putin issued a long statement on a resolution to...

Victory Day and the Weaponization of Memory

I am currently in Prague to teach a course on geoeconomics as part of a master’s program in geopolitics at Charles University. While here,...

Europe? What’s That?

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Europe has become a lightning rod in the United States lately, particularly with regard to the U.S.’ desire to stop guaranteeing European security. It’s...

America’s New Threat Assessment

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(click to enlarge) The 2025 Annual Threat Assessment from the U.S. Intelligence Community presents a detailed overview of a rapidly evolving threat landscape defined by...

Latest Posts

The European Peninsula is facing two interlocking crises: first, the fragmentation in the European Union due to diverging national interests and, second, a shift in the relationship between the peninsula and the rest of Eurasia.

Germany is the most powerful country in the European Union and economically dependent on its exports to the bloc. Therefore, Germany must maintain a cohesive eurozone and European Union, in order to safeguard its exports and shape the direction of Europe’s economic policies.

Europe suffers from regional divides with drastic employment and economic discrepancies between the north and south. An east and west divide, dating back to the Soviet era, also influence countries’ different outlooks towards foreign interactions.

Russia and the United States continue to have competing interests in Central and Eastern Europe.

Read Regional Assessment

Read Assessment of Germany

From our Forecast...

Inherent economic divisions will be aggravated by supply chain issues. Europe with Germany at its center will change into a Europe with no clear center.

Europe in our Memos

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Latest Posts

Russia’s Shifting Sands: Middle East Strategy and Economic Challenges

Russia has been one of the most involved foreign powers in the Middle East over the past 15 years. But with the war in Ukraine, its attention has been turned elsewhere. Meanwhile, many in the West hoped that the massive sanctions placed on Russia following its invasion of Ukraine in 2022 would be enough to force Vladimir Putin to the negotiating table. And as rumors of an impending Russian recession loom, the Kremlin may be starting to feel the pressure.

Tariffs Target Southeast Asia

(click to enlarge) Since 2016, the share of U.S. imports from China has fallen by nearly half, while imports from the Association of Southeast Asian...

Daily Memo: Air Drills and Diplomacy Around East Asia

Drills and meetings. The United States, Japan and South Korea held joint air drills over international waters near South Korea’s Jeju Island. The exercises...

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