Europe

George Answers Your Questions: Reflecting on D-Day

Reflecting on D-Day June 8, 2026 Question: The U.S. and Germany were already fighting an undeclared war in the North Atlantic (American ships were attacked and...

Europe Drifts Closer to Stagnation

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(click to enlarge) According to Eurostat's estimates, economic growth in the European Union remained positive but slowed during the first quarter of 2026. Seasonally adjusted...

Daily Memo: Kim and Xi Meet, Cuba Makes Preparations

Expanding ties. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and Chinese President Xi Jinping pledged to deepen ties during a meeting in Pyongyang on Monday....

Daily Memo: Hungary-Ukraine Deal, Iraqi Disarmament Plans

One step closer. Hungary and Ukraine have reached a deal that could pave the path for the latter to begin accession negotiations with the...

The Fog of Economic War

Military theorist Carl von Clausewitz described war as a realm permeated by friction, incomplete information and uncertainty. The “fog of war,” as it has...

George Answers Your Questions: The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks

The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks May 4, 2026 Question: Russian President Vladimir Putin wants only a one-day ceasefire for his May 9 celebration, but there...

Daily Memo: European Leaders Gather in Yerevan

Partners abroad. European leaders are gathering on Monday for a summit of the European Political Community, a forum created in 2022 at the initiative...

Global Economic Trends

(click to enlarge) Though global economic growth has stabilized since the 2020 pandemic meltdown, it remains below pre-pandemic averages and unevenly distributed across regions. After...

Ukraine Opens a New Front in Africa

In December 2025, a Russian oil tanker called the Qendil was struck by Ukrainian drones in the Mediterranean roughly 250 kilometers (155 miles) off...

George Answers Your Questions: Hungary and the Iran War

War and the Principles of the Negotiation Process April 13, 2026 Question: Your latest analysis finally introduces the true vector of this conflict: China. However, applying...

Hungary’s Landmark Election

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(click to enlarge) Parliamentary elections in Hungary on April 12 marked an end to the 16-year rule of Viktor Orban and his Fidesz party. Peter...

Daily Memo: Ukraine Aid, Russia-China Ties

Drones for Ukraine. The U.K. will deliver at least 120,000 drones to Ukraine by the end of the year, its largest-ever drone package for...

Hungary and Europe

Viktor Orban, after 16 years as prime minister of Hungary, has lost an election and will soon be replaced by Peter Magyar. Orban was...

The Future of Nuclear Modernization

During the Cold War, there was a certain logic to the nuclear balance of power that kept things relatively orderly. The ability to strike...

George Answers Your Questions: The Crisis of NATO, and China and the Iran Negotiations

The Crisis of NATO April 8, 2026 Question: For decades NATO has maintained that it is a defensive alliance, and this has been a central argument...

The Crisis of NATO

The crisis of NATO was triggered by the collapse of the Soviet Union. The alliance was created to protect the regions of Europe occupied...

Latest Posts

The European Peninsula is facing two interlocking crises: first, the fragmentation in the European Union due to diverging national interests and, second, a shift in the relationship between the peninsula and the rest of Eurasia.

Germany is the most powerful country in the European Union and economically dependent on its exports to the bloc. Therefore, Germany must maintain a cohesive eurozone and European Union, in order to safeguard its exports and shape the direction of Europe’s economic policies.

Europe suffers from regional divides with drastic employment and economic discrepancies between the north and south. An east and west divide, dating back to the Soviet era, also influence countries’ different outlooks towards foreign interactions.

Russia and the United States continue to have competing interests in Central and Eastern Europe.

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Read Assessment of Germany

From our Forecast...

Inherent economic divisions will be aggravated by supply chain issues. Europe with Germany at its center will change into a Europe with no clear center.

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Latest Posts

George Answers Your Questions: Reflecting on D-Day

Reflecting on D-Day June 8, 2026 Question: The U.S. and Germany were already fighting an undeclared war in the North Atlantic (American ships were attacked and...

The Great Data Center Race

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(click to enlarge) The global race to build data centers has become a competition for AI leadership, with countries pursuing different but complementary strategies. The...

Daily Memo: Details of Proposed US-Iran Deal

In the works. Iran’s Mehr news agency published the details of a draft 14-point peace agreement between Iran and the United States. According to...