Europe

Brief: Turkey Comes Around on Economic Reform

Background: President Recep Tayyip Erdogan can no longer ignore the (most recent bout of) trouble Turkey is in. The economy is in shambles, support...

Europe’s Ghost of Summers Past

On July 21, European Council President Charles Michel sent out a one-word tweet that left few Europeans’ eyes dry and champagne corks popping as...

Turkey and France: More Than Just a War of Words

Last month, a cartoon depicting Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan lounging in his underwear graced the cover of French magazine Charlie Hebdo. The publication...

Brief: Russia Sees an Opportunity in Ukraine

Background: Ukraine is a crucial buffer state for Russia, which lost some influence in the country after the Maidan revolution brought to power an...

After Brexit, the UK Pivots to Africa

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(click to enlarge) To prepare for a post-Brexit world, the U.K. has been reorienting its trade and investment patterns. As such, it is increasingly looking...

If Belarus Falls

In recent years, Russia’s hand has stretched farther and farther – into Georgia, Ossetia, Abkhazia, Crimea, Donbass, Armenia, the Black Sea, Syria and Libya....

What Happened to American Leadership?

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International conferences for people in my profession are generally a thing of the recent past, having been replaced by virtual conferences via platforms like...

Cyberattacks as a Public Health Threat

Traditionally, military, government and financial institutions have been the primary targets of international cyberattacks. But the COVID-19 pandemic has revealed the extent to which...

Brief: Germany Prepares for a Wave of Insolvencies

Editor’s Note: The following is a new content type we are calling Briefs. They are real-time updates on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events, broken...

In Search of a Solution to Russia’s Strategic Problem

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Russian President Vladimir Putin described the collapse of the Soviet Union as the greatest geopolitical catastrophe in history. Though it may not be true...

The European Peninsula is facing two interlocking crises: first, the fragmentation in the European Union due to diverging national interests and, second, a shift in the relationship between the peninsula and the rest of Eurasia.

Germany is the most powerful country in the European Union and economically dependent on its exports to the bloc. Therefore, Germany must maintain a cohesive eurozone and European Union, in order to safeguard its exports and shape the direction of Europe’s economic policies.

Europe suffers from regional divides with drastic employment and economic discrepancies between the north and south. An east and west divide, dating back to the Soviet era, also influence countries’ different outlooks towards foreign interactions.

Russia and the United States continue to have competing interests in Central and Eastern Europe.

Read Regional Assessment

Read Assessment of Germany

Required Reads: Europe

From our 2020 Forecast...

The crisis in exports will strike the European Union in two ways. First, Germany, which earns almost 50 percent of its gross domestic product from exports and counts the United States as its largest single customer, will see its export value contract, which will affect its GDP on a 2-to-1 basis. This will intensify political instability.

Europe in our Memos

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