Europe

The Significance of the Ceuta Crisis Beyond Migration

Late last month, more than 70,000 people crossed from Morocco into the Spanish enclave of Ceuta in a matter of days. Spanish troops were...

Ceuta’s Migration Crisis

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(click to enlarge) On 30 July, an unprecedented migration crisis unfolded in the small Spanish exclave of Ceuta, an 18-square-kilometer (7-square-mile) territory on the North...

Belarus’ Military Buildup Is About Survival

Recent moves by Belarus to strengthen and reorganize its military have raised concerns that Minsk and Moscow are preparing to open a second front...

Russia’s Road Back Runs Through Berlin

By Andrew Ryvkin Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the media has focused more on Russia’s negotiations with the United States than with the European...

Choking the Grain Trade

The Russia-Ukraine war has taken a noticeably naval turn. Attacks have intensified in the Sea of Azov and the Black Sea. Ukrainian armed forces...

The Promise of Ukraine’s Military-Industrial Complex

By Andrew Ryvkin In 2022, when Russia invaded Ukraine, Kyiv had an outdated defense-industrial base that was unable to meet the demands of the conflict....

NATO Puts Its Money Where Its Mouth Is

The most recent NATO summit, held in Ankara on July 7, marked a new chapter for the alliance. Unlike most other summits meant to...

A Strange Article From Tass

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We normally never publish articles written by others, but we must make an exception in this case. The BBC Monitoring service reported on an...

A Critical Moment for Russia

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The Ukrainian military has been attacking Russian energy infrastructure for some time now, so last week’s drone strikes against oil refineries and storage tanks,...

Germany, Poland and the Limits of Rapprochement

Germany and Poland on June 17 signed a defense agreement reflecting the changing European security environment in the wake of Russia’s full-scale invasion of...

George Answers Your Questions: Reflecting on D-Day

Reflecting on D-Day June 8, 2026 Question: The U.S. and Germany were already fighting an undeclared war in the North Atlantic (American ships were attacked and...

Europe Drifts Closer to Stagnation

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(click to enlarge) According to Eurostat's estimates, economic growth in the European Union remained positive but slowed during the first quarter of 2026. Seasonally adjusted...

Daily Memo: Kim and Xi Meet, Cuba Makes Preparations

Expanding ties. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and Chinese President Xi Jinping pledged to deepen ties during a meeting in Pyongyang on Monday....

Daily Memo: Hungary-Ukraine Deal, Iraqi Disarmament Plans

One step closer. Hungary and Ukraine have reached a deal that could pave the path for the latter to begin accession negotiations with the...

The Fog of Economic War

Military theorist Carl von Clausewitz described war as a realm permeated by friction, incomplete information and uncertainty. The “fog of war,” as it has...

George Answers Your Questions: The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks

The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks May 4, 2026 Question: Russian President Vladimir Putin wants only a one-day ceasefire for his May 9 celebration, but there...

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The European Peninsula is facing two interlocking crises: first, the fragmentation in the European Union due to diverging national interests and, second, a shift in the relationship between the peninsula and the rest of Eurasia.

Germany is the most powerful country in the European Union and economically dependent on its exports to the bloc. Therefore, Germany must maintain a cohesive eurozone and European Union, in order to safeguard its exports and shape the direction of Europe’s economic policies.

Europe suffers from regional divides with drastic employment and economic discrepancies between the north and south. An east and west divide, dating back to the Soviet era, also influence countries’ different outlooks towards foreign interactions.

Russia and the United States continue to have competing interests in Central and Eastern Europe.

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Required Reads: Europe

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Inherent economic divisions will be aggravated by supply chain issues. Europe with Germany at its center will change into a Europe with no clear center.

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George Answers Your Questions: The Broader Impact of a New Alliance in the Middle East

The Broader Impact of a New Alliance in the Middle East Aug. 10, 2026 Question: So how does this work with Israel? If they have a...

Diminished Expectations for 2026 Economic Growth

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(click to enlarge) The World Bank's January forecast, which had expected the global economy to maintain relatively strong growth momentum, has been revised downward. The...

Special Edition: How the “Islamic NATO” Shifts Global Geopolitics

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Is last week’s signing of a landmark mutual defense agreement between Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan a further signal of global geopolitical realignment? On this special extended episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman and Middle East expert and GPF contributor Kamran Bokhari join host Christian Smith for a deep dive into the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement and how it shifts the balance of power across the Middle East and beyond. Also: GPF Chief Geoeconomist Antonia Colibasanu discusses this month’s Geoeconomic Lens, and the future of sanctions and the war in Ukraine.