Ukraine’s Dam Collapse Changes the Landscape and the War

The long-feared destruction of the Nova Kakhovka dam became a reality on Tuesday, flooding towns and villages downstream in southern Ukraine and forcing hasty...

Germany Sneezes, Europe Catches a Cold

In the first three months of the year, Germany’s economy fell short of low expectations of zero growth. Instead, gross domestic product shrank for...

Considering Maskirovka

Soon after Josef Stalin signed a mutual defense pact with Adolf Hitler, British Prime Minister Winston Churchill said that Russia was a mystery wrapped...

The Russian Mystery

There are too many unknowns to count in the Ukraine war. From the upcoming spring offensive to covert U.S. intelligence operations, mysteries abound. But...

The Downside of Europe’s Military Spending

June is a big month for NATO. A year shy of its 75th birthday, the alliance will host Air Defender 2023, the largest combined...

Grain Trade Turbulence

The grain trade is in trouble again. The United Nations is trying to preserve the international agreement, set to expire May 18, that enables...

Victory Day

We are a few weeks away from the anniversary of Victory Day, which marks the Soviet Union’s defeat of Nazi Germany. The annual parade...

The Battle for Eurasia’s Borderlands

Borderlands have long been an object of scrutiny in the realm of geopolitics, as they represent a point of convergence, interaction and oftentimes conflict...

Belarus and Russia: Partners For Now

Belarus is all but a Russian vassal state, but that wasn’t always the case. Only a few years ago, it had been able to...

Threats to Europe’s Economic Recovery

Recent data shows that the growth of consumer prices is slowing in some major European economies. In March, Germany’s inflation rate was 7.8 percent...

How London Plans to Fix Its Economy

The British economy has seen better days. What started with its departure from the European Union was compounded by the COVID-19 pandemic, then made...

Ukraine and the Long War

Editor’s note: By definition, geopolitics moves slowly. It’s a drawn-out explanation for the long-term trajectory of nations, one that all too often gets lost...

Hungary and Russia

The Russian government has informed Hungary that its diplomats entering Russia will have to pay a fee rather than pass into Russia without paying...


It’s been nearly 70 years to the day since Josef Stalin died, and his legacy is worth remembering in light of what’s going on...

China and Russia

There has been a great deal of discussion about Chinese military aid to Russia. The United States warned Beijing against sending such aid, and...

In Moldova, Ukraine Buys Time

A war of words has troubled Moldova for more than two weeks. It started when Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy warned of a Russian coup...

Latest Posts

The European Peninsula is facing two interlocking crises: first, the fragmentation in the European Union due to diverging national interests and, second, a shift in the relationship between the peninsula and the rest of Eurasia.

Germany is the most powerful country in the European Union and economically dependent on its exports to the bloc. Therefore, Germany must maintain a cohesive eurozone and European Union, in order to safeguard its exports and shape the direction of Europe’s economic policies.

Europe suffers from regional divides with drastic employment and economic discrepancies between the north and south. An east and west divide, dating back to the Soviet era, also influence countries’ different outlooks towards foreign interactions.

Russia and the United States continue to have competing interests in Central and Eastern Europe.

Read Regional Assessment

Read Assessment of Germany

Required Reads: Europe

From our Forecast...

Inherent economic divisions will be aggravated by supply chain issues. Europe with Germany at its center will change into a Europe with no clear center.

Europe in our Memos

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Latest Posts

Daily Memo: Moscow Points the Blame at Kyiv, Brussels Looks for Migrant Deal

Blaming Kyiv. Russia’s Defense Ministry on Wednesday blamed a Ukrainian sabotage group for the destruction of an ammonia pipeline in Ukraine’s Kharkiv region on...

Turkey’s Populist Divide

Since Recep Tayyip Erdogan rose to power two decades ago, Turkey has witnessed a surge in populism, driven more recently by the country’s political...

Daily Memo: US Seeks to Repair Ties With Saudi Arabia

Blinken’s Saudi visit. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken is on day two of a three-day visit to Saudi Arabia focused on boosting U.S....

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