Europe

How Wars End

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Wars – which I will define broadly as matters of military conflict sustained partly by the nature of the soldiers fighting and partly by...

The EU Changes Course in Africa

Since the end of the colonial era, Europe has spent much of its time in Africa on promoting shared values and development – often...

As Trade Changes, So Does US Defense

Reports from around the world suggest U.S. military policy is at odds with itself. On the one hand, the United States has pledged to...

How the UK Bridges the US and EU

By Will Haszard Once the world’s preeminent empire, the United Kingdom has since World War II become a shadow of its former self, living in...

Defense Industry Winners and Losers Amid Trump Tariffs

For years, Europe has been notoriously slow in developing a coherent strategy for its defense industry. And it never really had a reason to...

The Geopolitical Context of the Ukraine Talks

As negotiations continue between Russia and the United States over the conflict in Ukraine, the prospects for a comprehensive peace agreement remain dim, the...

Germany Weighs Down European Growth

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(click to enlarge) The euro area posted modest economic growth in the last quarter of 2024, with seasonally adjusted gross domestic product rising 0.2 percent...

Engineering an End to the Ukraine War

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When the United States entered talks with North Vietnam near the end of the Vietnam War, it hadn’t been militarily defeated, but it had...

Europe Faces Defining Moment in Its Defense Strategy

NATO military chiefs and European defense ministers gathered in Paris last week to coordinate policies on European security and continued support for Ukraine. The...

Graphic Essay: The Evolution of NATO

For the past 75 years, NATO has been the de facto defender of Europe. Virtually every country on the Continent has its own armed...

Turkey and Turmoil in Europe and the Middle East

Massive changes on Turkey’s northern and southern flanks are reshaping its strategic landscape. U.S.-Russia diplomacy has important implications for European security, creating an opening...

The Constraints Shaping US Conflict Resolution

The international system has been in flux for more than three decades, yet the United States has relied on outdated tools and strategies to...

The Ukraine War and the Consequences for Russia

I have come under criticism lately from those who challenge my view that Russia is in decline and is not a threat for the...

Germany Is Divided Again

Germany’s next government will inherit a country more polarized than at any time in recent history. Every German federal election since World War II...

Reaction in the Russian Periphery

Though still in its early stages, forged U.S.-Russia diplomacy has compelled several nations on Russia’s periphery to rethink some of their strategic positions. Poland,...

Ukraine’s Biggest Backers

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(click to enlarge) NATO states near Russia view Ukraine’s defense as essential to their own security, and the aid data bears this out. For the...

Latest Posts

How Wars End

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The European Peninsula is facing two interlocking crises: first, the fragmentation in the European Union due to diverging national interests and, second, a shift in the relationship between the peninsula and the rest of Eurasia.

Germany is the most powerful country in the European Union and economically dependent on its exports to the bloc. Therefore, Germany must maintain a cohesive eurozone and European Union, in order to safeguard its exports and shape the direction of Europe’s economic policies.

Europe suffers from regional divides with drastic employment and economic discrepancies between the north and south. An east and west divide, dating back to the Soviet era, also influence countries’ different outlooks towards foreign interactions.

Russia and the United States continue to have competing interests in Central and Eastern Europe.

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Read Assessment of Germany

From our Forecast...

Inherent economic divisions will be aggravated by supply chain issues. Europe with Germany at its center will change into a Europe with no clear center.

Europe in our Memos

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Latest Posts

How Wars End

FREE
Wars – which I will define broadly as matters of military conflict sustained partly by the nature of the soldiers fighting and partly by...

Neighbors No More? The Shifting Ties of North America

Just a few months ago, Canada’s conservative party appeared a dead cert to win the country’s general election. But since the resignation of Justin Trudeau and the souring of relations between the US and its northern neighbor, the polls have quite literally flipped. Meanwhile, tariffs, border issues and suggestions of US troops in Mexico are creating concerns to America’s south. Like much of the world, North American geopolitics looks very different to six months ago. On this episode of the podcast, we continue our series on Trump’s second term in office as we look at the geopolitics of North America with GPF’s director of analysis, Allison Fedirka.

China Bolsters Presence on Indian Border

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(click to enlarge) Since the 2020 clashes between Chinese and Indian troops in the Galwan Valley in the disputed Ladakh region, China has significantly strengthened...

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