Europe

Romania Takes an Election Mulligan

Romania’s 2024 presidential election was annulled earlier this month due to foreign interference. In the first round, held on Nov. 24, independent candidate Calin...

Romania’s Shock Election Puts NATO’s Eastern Flank in Play

The first casualty of Romania’s presidential election was the opinion polls – none of which proved accurate. The second might be the country’s post-communist...

Bad Timing for a German Government Collapse

Germany – the political and economic heart of the European Union – is in the throes a major political crisis. Earlier this month, Chancellor...

What Unrest in Abkhazia Means for Moscow

Protests erupted on Nov. 11 in the capital of Abkhazia, a Russian-backed breakaway region of Georgia. The demonstrations began in response to the detention...

Graphic Essay: Energy Market Volatility

For many countries, including major geopolitical players, energy resources rank among the most politically and economically sensitive commodities. Prices for these resources are shaped...

Trump’s Approach to Europe

I intended to expand on my column from earlier this week on the conflict in the Middle East, but instead I think I’ll address...

Black Sea Region: Divided, Not Quite Conquered

Recent elections in Bulgaria, Georgia and Moldova signal a shifting power balance in the Black Sea region, where a clash between Western and Russian...

Daily Memo: Georgian Elections, British Military Reforms

Results are in. Georgian President Salome Zourabichvili vowed not to recognize the results of parliamentary elections held over the weekend that saw the governing...

Europe’s Economic Outlook: Past Changes, Future Problems

The economic news from Europe over the past month has been bleak. Throughout the eurozone, gross domestic product is either stagnant or in decline....

The Future of Drone Warfare

It’s been said for years that drones are the future of warfare. Their advantages are obvious: They are light and maneuverable and can deliver...

Update on Ukraine

At a U.N. meeting in New York on Sept. 22, the G7 countries announced that they would provide a $50 billion loan to Ukraine....

In Central Europe, Massive Floods Bring Massive Implications

Floods rocked Central and Eastern Europe last week, inundating Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Austria, Hungary and Romania with the worst water levels they’ve...

Will the West Let Ukraine Strike Farther Into Russia?

On Sept. 14, Ukraine again asked the West for permission to strike deeper into Russian territory. The request came a day after U.S. President...

Ukraine Takes the Fight to Russia’s Doorstep

A little over a year since two suicide drones first tried to reach the Kremlin, Ukrainian drone strikes deep inside Russian territory are now...

New Political Lines Are Drawn in Germany

Voters in the German states of Thuringia and Saxony turned out in large numbers on Sunday against the parties that presently constitute Germany's federal...

Update on the War in Ukraine

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Two and a half years ago, Russia invaded Ukraine, a former part of the Russian Empire and the Soviet Union. The reason for the...

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The European Peninsula is facing two interlocking crises: first, the fragmentation in the European Union due to diverging national interests and, second, a shift in the relationship between the peninsula and the rest of Eurasia.

Germany is the most powerful country in the European Union and economically dependent on its exports to the bloc. Therefore, Germany must maintain a cohesive eurozone and European Union, in order to safeguard its exports and shape the direction of Europe’s economic policies.

Europe suffers from regional divides with drastic employment and economic discrepancies between the north and south. An east and west divide, dating back to the Soviet era, also influence countries’ different outlooks towards foreign interactions.

Russia and the United States continue to have competing interests in Central and Eastern Europe.

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Read Assessment of Germany

From our Forecast...

Inherent economic divisions will be aggravated by supply chain issues. Europe with Germany at its center will change into a Europe with no clear center.

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What’s Next for Syria’s Refugees

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(click to enlarge) Syria’s civil war, which began in 2011, displaced more than 13 million people, including nearly 5 million who fled abroad. However, with...

Daily Memo: Russia, Turkey Reach Out to Syrian Rebels

Reaching out. Moscow is in direct contact with Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, the group that led the rebellion that overthrew the Assad regime in Syria,...

How Russia Defends Its Baltic Lifeline

European authorities are pretty sure someone is deliberately cutting their undersea cables and scrambling ships’ navigation systems in the Baltic Sea, and they are...

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