Alarm bells over Taiwan. U.S. Indo-Pacific commander Adm. Phil Davidson is continuing to sound the alarm about the growth in Chinese military capabilities, warning on Tuesday that China might just be capable of pulling off an invasion of Taiwan by 2027. We’re skeptical that China could go all-in like that at an acceptable cost, but […]
U.S. supply chain review. The White House ordered a comprehensive review of U.S. supply chain vulnerabilities related to overdependence on China. The process, which...
Russian resistance. EU foreign affairs chief Josep Borrell said Russia was not interested in a “constructive dialogue with the EU” following his visit to...
‘Independence means war.’ China said its recent series of massive air force incursions into Taiwanese airspace, along with new naval drills underway in the...
Chinese warnings over Taiwan. The U.S. State Department announced this weekend that it had lifted restrictions on meetings with Taiwanese officials. This comes as...
Background: Russia made progress last year shoring up its southern and western border areas, by placing peacekeepers in Nagorno-Karabakh and siding with Belarus’ embattled...
Introduction
Our 2020 global forecast began as follows:
Economic dysfunction will remain the main driver of the international system in 2020. Economic stress does not simply...
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Scale: Hit, Partial Hit, Inconclusive, Partial Miss, Miss
Global
Economic dysfunction will be the main driver of the international system in 2020. Economic stress...
The American pharmaceutical firm Pfizer, in collaboration with German firm BioNTech, surprised the world when it announced that its coronavirus vaccine showed 90 percent...
Turkish troops headed for Azerbaijan. The Turkish parliament approved a presidential decree to send troops to Azerbaijan for one year to help Russian peacekeepers...
