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Nationalism, the United States, and Cyclical Crises

Jan. 9, 2017 What is causing the rise in nationalism in the US?

The 2nd Phase in the Battle for Mosul Begins

Jan. 6, 2017 Islamic State fighters are trying to draw coalition forces away from Mosul.

Political Conspiracies in China

Jan. 5, 2017 The Chinese president is becoming more direct in his accusations against his opponents.

Demographics and the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

Jan. 5, 2017 The demographics argument in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict deserves more scrutiny.

Thinking About a US-China War, Part 2

Jan. 4, 2017 Sanctions and blockades as an alternative to armed conflict would lead to armed conflict.

Thinking About a US-China War

Jan. 3, 2017 A rough scenario explains why China will not invade Taiwan anytime soon.

The Evolution of Italy’s Banking Crisis

Dec. 30, 2016 The Italian banking crisis is not just an Italian problem.

Fact or Fiction: Is China’s Holding of US Debt a Source of Leverage?

Dec. 29, 2016 Beijing faces a number of constraints.

The Palestinian National Project

Dec. 29, 2016 Will there ever be a two-state solution?

The Soviet Union and Russia: Tragedy and Farce

Dec. 28, 2016 Russia’s recent military adventures have mostly aimed to create an illusion of strength.

Forecasting 2016: Final Grades

Dec. 26, 2016 Self-evaluation is a key part of forecasting.

Belarus: Between a Rock and a Hard Place

Dec. 28, 2016 In the near future, Belarus will remain an unofficial region of Russia, whether it wants to or not.

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