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Guarding the Guards at the CIA

May 22, 2017 Trusting an agency to tell the lies it must is a tough enough sell in a democracy.

The Stability of Trump’s Foreign Policy

May 22, 2017 The international posture of the U.S. is even harder to change than its health care system.

A Weakening State in Azerbaijan

May 19, 2017 The country’s economic problems make it increasingly vulnerable to outside influences.

The Downfall of Chechnya

May 18, 2017 Kadyrov’s plan to stay in power while Russia’s backing is unreliable could accelerate his government’s demise.

The Dispensability of Allies

May 17, 2017 Trump brings unpredictability to his talks with Middle East leaders, but some things we already know.

The Latest Trump Crisis

May 17, 2017 Washington is running as the Founders intended. In the short term, that’s bad for the country.

The Future of the Venezuelan Crisis

May 16, 2017 The government’s options for surviving this year are dwindling.

Cyberattacks: Breaking Into a Broken System

May 15, 2017 A system whose security depends on an absence of carelessness is a system designed to fail.

Don’t Forget About the Islamic State

May 15, 2017 The U.S. may be preoccupied with North Korea, but the conflict in Syria has not gone away.

The Cost of Fixing Russia’s Economy

May 12, 2017 Putin must choose between trying to save the economy and saving himself.

Tackling a Change in US Foreign Policy Head On

May 11, 2017 A departure in Middle East policy may compel us to adjust our forecast.

The Geopolitical Architecture of Central Asia

May 11, 2017 The region’s future will be shaped by its past.

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