HomeReality Check

Reality Check

In Syria, an Attack on Russia’s Narrative

Russia will now have to demonstrate that it can finish a job it said was already done.

Turkey: Learning From the Ottomans’ Mistakes

Turkey’s president is determined to break the disconnect between perceived and real military capabilities.

North Korea: Hollow Words Ring in the New Year

The underlying fundamentals of the crisis on the Korean Peninsula have not changed.

In Iran, Broken Promises to Fix a Broken Economy

Jan. 2, 2018 Protests aren’t out of control yet, but the government needs solutions or scapegoats.

Japan, a Pacifist in Name Only

Dec. 29, 2017 Stepping outside the U.S. security umbrella necessarily requires offensive weapons.

In North Africa, Signs of a Turkish Revival

Dec. 28, 2017 Turkey is trying to strengthen ties in areas once held by the Ottomans.

China’s Thin Red Line

Dec. 27, 2017 For Beijing, financial risk, poverty and pollution are more subversive than any nation-state.

Russia and China’s Alliance of Convenience

Dec. 26, 2017 A common enemy isn’t the basis for a stable, enduring partnership.

Power on the Periphery of Europe

Dec. 22, 2017 Britain and Poland are increasing cooperation as the EU fragments.

When Cyberwarfare Goes Offline

Dec. 21, 2017 The risks associated with carrying out a cyberattack may have gotten substantially greater.

In South Africa, New Leadership Won’t Fix Old Problems

Dec. 20, 2017 Ending government corruption would do nothing to address the country’s legacy of inequality.

In Austria, Europe’s Latest Battle Is Brewing

Dec. 19, 2017 The new Austrian government could be paving the way for a new coalition in Europe.

Latest Posts

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscribe Now


The Geopolitics of the American President

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now