Real-time updates on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events.

Brief: The US, Panama and Mutual Security

Background: The United States has always had fundamental interest in protecting...

Brief: EU Recovery Worries

Background: Last year, the European Union approved the 672.5 billion-euro ($815...

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Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Pashinyan’s Coup Allegations, Erdogan’s Reform Promises

Coup in the making? Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan accused the military of trying to...

What We're Reading

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What We’re Reading: Market Garden and Gulags

The Guns at Last Light By Rick Atkinson In hindsight, the defeat of Nazi Germany after...

What We’re Reading: Merkel and Chopin

Angela Merkel: The Chancellor and Her World By Stefan Kornelius After 16 years as the most...

America’s Iran Strategy

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President Barack Obama’s administration had a primary goal in the Middle East: It did...

China’s Waning Rare Earths Advantage

In 1992, during a visit to Inner Mongolia, Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping quipped: “The...

Featured Analysis

Biden’s First Middle East Moves

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Last week, U.S. President Joe Biden took two steps in the Middle East. The first was that he notified Congress of his intention to...

Turkey Adjusts Its Foreign Policy

Turkey’s long-term goal is to become a military and economic power with global outreach....

Armenia’s Place in the New South Caucasus

The war between Armenia and Azerbaijan last fall dramatically changed the geopolitical situation in...

Cuba Is on the Clock

Cuba may be a geostrategically valuable country, but its value far outweighs its actual...

Reflections on Poland’s Alliances

Once again, on the Vistula River, we are worried about security guarantees in the...

Highs and Lows in the Japanese Economy

(click to enlarge) Like most economies across the globe, Japan’s has taken a hit from the coronavirus pandemic. The world’s third-largest economy contracted for three...

Opening Up the Caucasus

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(click to enlarge) After signing a cease-fire deal that ended the war in the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh in November, Russia, Armenia and Azerbaijan reached...

Know Your Enemy

The most important thing in poker is knowing who you are playing against. You need to know his weakness – not all of them,...

The Storm Before the Calm

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Forecasts

The World in 2021

Economic and political fallout from COVID-19 responses will remain the primary driver of events in 2021.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2020

Economic dysfunction will be the main driver of the international system in 2020.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Media / Interviews

RealClearWorld: China Stares Down a Financial Reckoning

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In China, financial regulators need to tread carefully when implementing new de-risking measures. Move too fast, and the private sector may face a credit...

Index: Magyarország nem Oszt, nem Szoroz, az Európaiak Gyerekesek

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Ezek az országok számítanak nekünk, Magyarország viszont nem akart részt venni ebben a konzorciumban – mondta az Indexnek adott interjúban George Friedman. Full story

Bloomberg Markets: Biden Has to Take Tough Position on China, Friedman Says

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George Friedman, Founder and Chairman of Geopolitical Futures, discusses the challenges President-elect Joe Biden is expected to face once he takes office. Full interview

Trending Content

Highs and Lows in the Japanese Economy

(click to enlarge) Like most economies across the globe, Japan’s has taken a hit from the coronavirus pandemic. The world’s third-largest economy contracted for three...

Special Report:

The Geopolitics of Donald Trump

“There are those who regard Donald Trump as too stupid to make decisions. There are others who regard him as a brilliant if instinctive crafter of policy. What we know of him is this. "

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