Briefs

Real-time updates on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events.

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Brief: The US, Panama and Mutual Security

Geopolitical Futures -
Background: The United States has always had fundamental interest in protecting...
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Brief: EU Recovery Worries

Geopolitical Futures -
Background: Last year, the European Union approved the 672.5 billion-euro ($815...
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Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Pashinyan’s Coup Allegations, Erdogan’s Reform Promises

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Coup in the making? Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan accused the military of trying to...
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What We're Reading

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What We’re Reading: Market Garden and Gulags

What We're ReadingGeorge Friedman, Ekaterina Zolotova -
The Guns at Last Light By Rick Atkinson In hindsight, the defeat of Nazi Germany after...
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What We’re Reading: Merkel and Chopin

What We're ReadingValentina Jovanovski, Antonia Colibasanu -
Angela Merkel: The Chancellor and Her World By Stefan Kornelius After 16 years as the most...
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America’s Iran Strategy

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
President Barack Obama’s administration had a primary goal in the Middle East: It did...
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China’s Waning Rare Earths Advantage

AnalysisPhillip Orchard -
In 1992, during a visit to Inner Mongolia, Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping quipped: “The...
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Featured Analysis

Biden’s First Middle East Moves

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George Friedman -
Last week, U.S. President Joe Biden took two steps in the Middle East. The first was that he notified Congress of his intention to...
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Turkey Adjusts Its Foreign Policy

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
Turkey’s long-term goal is to become a military and economic power with global outreach....
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Armenia’s Place in the New South Caucasus

AnalysisEkaterina Zolotova -
The war between Armenia and Azerbaijan last fall dramatically changed the geopolitical situation in...
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Cuba Is on the Clock

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
Cuba may be a geostrategically valuable country, but its value far outweighs its actual...
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Reflections on Poland’s Alliances

AnalysisJacek Bartosiak -
Once again, on the Vistula River, we are worried about security guarantees in the...
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Weekly Graphic

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Asia Pacific

Highs and Lows in the Japanese Economy

Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Like most economies across the globe, Japan’s has taken a hit from the coronavirus pandemic. The world’s third-largest economy contracted for three...
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Weekly Graphic

Latin America: Growth by Growing Together

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Latin American economies, like most economies of the world, will struggle to recover from the economic blow of 2020. Even before the...
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Eurasia

Opening Up the Caucasus

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) After signing a cease-fire deal that ended the war in the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh in November, Russia, Armenia and Azerbaijan reached...
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Know Your Enemy

George Friedman -
The most important thing in poker is knowing who you are playing against. You need to know his weakness – not all of them,...
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The Storm Before the Calm

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Forecasts

The World in 2021

Economic and political fallout from COVID-19 responses will remain the primary driver of events in 2021.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2020

Economic dysfunction will be the main driver of the international system in 2020.

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Forecasts

Media / Interviews

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RealClearWorld: China Stares Down a Financial Reckoning

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
In China, financial regulators need to tread carefully when implementing new de-risking measures. Move too fast, and the private sector may face a credit...
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Index: Magyarország nem Oszt, nem Szoroz, az Európaiak Gyerekesek

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
Ezek az országok számítanak nekünk, Magyarország viszont nem akart részt venni ebben a konzorciumban – mondta az Indexnek adott interjúban George Friedman. Full story
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Bloomberg Markets: Biden Has to Take Tough Position on China, Friedman Says

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
George Friedman, Founder and Chairman of Geopolitical Futures, discusses the challenges President-elect Joe Biden is expected to face once he takes office. Full interview
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Trending Content

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Daily Memo: Better Faith Between the US and Iran?

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Better faith between the U.S. and Iran? U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan confirmed that Washington had entered talks with Iran regarding American citizens...
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China’s Waning Rare Earths Advantage

AnalysisPhillip Orchard -
In 1992, during a visit to Inner Mongolia, Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping quipped: “The Middle East has oil, China has rare earths,” referring to...
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Highs and Lows in the Japanese Economy

Asia PacificGeopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Like most economies across the globe, Japan’s has taken a hit from the coronavirus pandemic. The world’s third-largest economy contracted for three...
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Daily Memo: The US and Iran, the West Rallies Around Xinjiang

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
The U.S. goes both ways on Iran. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said Washington was ready to explore the possibility of reopening nuclear...
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Special Report:

The Geopolitics of Donald Trump

“There are those who regard Donald Trump as too stupid to make decisions. There are others who regard him as a brilliant if instinctive crafter of policy. What we know of him is this. "

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