Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: New US Tariffs on Canada, Chinese Diplomacy in Southeast Asia

Canada tariffs. The U.S. announced 50 percent tariffs on $20 billion worth of Canadian...

Building Around the Strait of Hormuz

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(click to enlarge) Plans by Dubai port operator DP World to expand port infrastructure on the eastern seaboard of United Arab Emirates should be understood...

Turkey’s Ascent as a Defense Industrial Player

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(click to enlarge) Turkey’s defense industry is expanding rapidly. The country became the world’s 11th-largest supplier of arms exports recently, while its share of global...

The Race for Energy Security

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(click to enlarge) The International Energy Agency released its 2026 energy investment report, highlighting the key investment regions and sectors as the world continues to...

Expanding the Copperbelt’s Atlantic Export Routes

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(click to enlarge) U.S. strategy toward African critical minerals is changing rapidly. The United States’ Millennium Challenge Corporation has agreed to expand the use of...

The Promise of Ukraine’s Military-Industrial Complex

By Andrew Ryvkin In 2022, when Russia invaded Ukraine, Kyiv had an outdated defense-industrial base...

The War, the Oil Crisis and American Politics

According to people who follow the oil trade closely, we are entering the point...
2025 Forecast:
The World Without an Anchor

The international order is about to get less orderly.

George Answers Your Questions: As Iran Declines, Turkey Advances and A Major Move by India

As Iran Declines, Turkey Advances By Kamran Bokhari July 15, 2026 Question: In the analysis, Israel is...

Why the US and Iran Are Both on the Clock

Over the past few days, U.S. forces said they struck more than 300 Iranian...

In the Asia-Pacific, a New Security Arrangement Takes Shape

Last week, Japan, Australia and New Zealand reaffirmed their commitment to closer defense cooperation...

As Iran Declines, Turkey Advances

For all the attention paid to the conflict in Iran, the broader changes in...
From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures
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The War, the Oil Crisis and American Politics

According to people who follow the oil trade closely, we are entering the point at which the oil buffer of global reserves is reaching...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Regional Directory

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Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

India & The New Anti-China Coalition

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What does Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s recent visit to Australia, New Zealand, and Indonesia mean for India, China, and the rest of the Indo-Pacific? On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss how Modi’s tour signals a strategic pivot for India, how geography and common security interests can be leveraged to buffer China, and what this loose anti-China framework means for the broader geopolitical system. Also: Chinese countermoves. Pakistan looks west.

Daily Memo: US-Iran Conflict Simmers, A Controversial Firing in Ukraine

U.S.-Iran latest. U.S. military strikes against Iran continued overnight, hitting not only coastal targets but also areas closer to Tehran and in the north....

In the Asia-Pacific, a New Security Arrangement Takes Shape

Last week, Japan, Australia and New Zealand reaffirmed their commitment to closer defense cooperation during a trilateral meeting on the sidelines of the NATO...

Daily Memo: US and Iran Continue Strikes, Poland to Host Joint Exercises

Trading blows. U.S. Central Command is conducting more strikes intended to degrade Iran’s ability to attack ships in the Strait of Hormuz, according to...

As Iran Declines, Turkey Advances

For all the attention paid to the conflict in Iran, the broader changes in the Middle East have gone largely ignored, particularly with regard...

Daily Memo: Maritime Developments in the Middle East and Europe

New route. The UAE is considering building a new port to bypass the Strait of Hormuz. Dubai-based port operator DP World is reportedly in...