HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Friedman’s Thoughts In and Around Geopolitics: Texas, the Comanche and a Virus

George Friedman -

On an ordinary weekday, my wife and I went for a drive for no reason other than after weeks of being in lockdown we had to get out of the house, as the distinction between days had worn thin. We drove west on Fitzhugh Road, which took us along the Pedernales River and ended in […]

Back to the Future: China and the US

George Friedman -
The COVID-19 disease, which seems likely to be with us for a long time, has done its part to define history. But it has...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Resurrecting a Forecast

George Friedman -
Geopolitical Futures is the second company I founded to forecast geopolitics. Many things such as the weather and econometrics are forecast with a degree...

The Medical Structure and Calculated Risk

George Friedman -
Medical research is always involved in the important work of understanding disease and the human body. It is now at the center of a...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Remembering May 7, 1945

George Friedman -
Today, May 7, 2020, is the 75th anniversary of the surrender of Nazi Germany. That day ended an extraordinary period of human history, made...

Power and the Rise and Fall of Nations

George Friedman -
Last week, I appeared on a Turkish TV station and spoke to a business group in Switzerland. The same question was the focus of...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Two Versions of May Day

George Friedman -
May Day has been special to me since the third grade, when a pole was erected in the center of the schoolyard of PS...

Medical, Economic, Social, Military: The State of Play

George Friedman -
A riot broke out in a poor, predominantly Muslim neighborhood north of Paris over the weekend. The immediate cause was a traffic offense and...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Russia and the Fight Against Tragedy

George Friedman -
Karl Marx wrote that “history repeats itself twice, the first time as tragedy and the second time as farce.” The collapse of the Soviet...

Recession and Depression

George Friedman -
A recession is an essential part of the business cycle. Among other things it culls the weaker businesses and redistributes capital and labor for...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Prisms of Thought

George Friedman -
When I began the Thoughts column, I explained that I was using it as a space for thinking about a new book intended to...

The Beginning of Social Dysfunction

George Friedman -
A few weeks ago, I laid out a model for thinking about the coronavirus crisis. I argued that there were four structures operating: medical,...
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