HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

The Redemption of Prediction

George Friedman - June 11, 2020

Foreseeing what will happen is not difficult. It requires only that we face the fact that life always repeats itself if not perfectly, then roughly. As Mark Twain famously put it, “History does not repeat itself, but it does rhyme.” We are born of a woman, are nurtured and grow, live our lives as best […]

D-Day and Stalin

George Friedman - June 9, 2020

Editor’s Note: The following analysis was published on the anniversary of D-Day in 2019. It has been lightly edited. Over 70 years after it was...

The Beginning of the Cyclic Shift

George Friedman - June 4, 2020

A number of people have asked me if the events this week are what I was predicting in my book, “The Storm Before the...

From China to India

George Friedman - June 2, 2020

U.S.-China relations have been in decline for a long time. The United States had for years provided China with relatively free access to the...

Friedman’s Thoughts In and Around Geopolitics: Why There Won’t Be a War With China

George Friedman - May 28, 2020

Jacek Bartosiak, a close friend and collaborator, wrote a piece earlier in the week that concluded with a discussion of U.S.-China relations. He and...

Israel and the New American Strategy

George Friedman - May 26, 2020

The drawdown of U.S. forces in the Middle East, about which we have written a few times now, is already empowering the countries that...

Friedman’s Thoughts In and Around Geopolitics: Texas, the Comanche and a Virus

George Friedman - May 21, 2020

On an ordinary weekday, my wife and I went for a drive for no reason other than after weeks of being in lockdown we...

Back to the Future: China and the US

George Friedman - May 18, 2020

The COVID-19 disease, which seems likely to be with us for a long time, has done its part to define history. But it has...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Resurrecting a Forecast

George Friedman - May 14, 2020

Geopolitical Futures is the second company I founded to forecast geopolitics. Many things such as the weather and econometrics are forecast with a degree...