From the Desk of George Friedman

If Germany wants the strategic partnership to continue, it must become a strategic partner.

There are more important issues to attend to first.

The American president was not restrained by his advisers, but domestic politics imposes its own limits.

All presidential doctrines represent a consistent end imposed by necessity.

The United States didn’t fully form until after the Civil War, which turned at the Battle of Gettysburg.

The missing piece is where Germany is going to find productivity gains.

Disagreements over immigration threaten the ruling coalition.

It’s all about creating illusions and convincing others that they’re real.

Even though Spain’s economy has recovered, its politics are in crisis.

The U.S. is a country like any other, and it can be trusted to act in its interests at all times.

Japan’s post-war reliance on the U.S. may be obsolete if Korea talks succeed.

Even the most powerful ones are constrained by impersonal forces.