HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Belarus’ Next Episode

Public demonstrations against Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko have intensified. Looked at casually, it seems unlikely that his presidency can survive. If the protesters are...

9/11, 19 Years Later

It has been 19 years since 9/11. For me, it was pivotal moment of terror. For many others, once the initial paralyzing fear was...

Eternal Brexit

In 2016, the British government called for a referendum on whether the United Kingdom should remain a member of the European Union. The British...

To South Korea and Back Again

In mid-September, I will travel to Seoul, South Korea, for a week. The purpose will be to hold court, be lectured to, eat dinners...

Nothing Has Changed With Taiwan

On Aug. 17, 1982, U.S. Secretary of State George Shultz sent a memo via an American diplomat to the Taiwanese government. On Monday, just...

The Crisis of the University and the Liberal Arts

In my book “The Storm Before the Calm,” I predicted that one of the main battles of the next cycle would be the future...

The Poisoning of Navalny

Alexei Navalny, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s highest-profile political opponent, remains alive in a German hospital after being poisoned in the Russian town of Tomsk....

Of Belarus, China and Watching a Perfect Game Pitched

There are moments in history when disparate global events combine to change the shape of the global system. People like me long for these...

Hiroshima and Moral Revisionism

Last week marked the 75th anniversary of the atomic bombing of Hiroshima, the first of two strikes on the Japanese mainland that forever changed...

The Geopolitics of the Belarusian Election

Belarus, whose recent elections are making waves throughout the media, has been a pending flashpoint in Europe for some time. The reasons for this...

Machiavelli, Adam Smith and the Limits of Power

Niccolo Machiavelli was deeply engaged in Florentine politics but, being forced into exile in 1513, was never as successful as he wished he were.

From a COVID-19 Recession to COVID-19 Depression?

It’s been roughly five months since COVID-19 lockdown measures were first put in place. That means that come September, we will have gone two...

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