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Briefs

Brief: Serbia’s Show of Force to Kosovo

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Background: Kosovo declared its independence from Serbia in 2008, less than 10 years after a NATO-led peacekeeping operation began there. Serbia, however, has yet...

Brief: The UK and the USMCA

Background: The post-Brexit United Kingdom is still trying to define its new role in the international system. London has been trying to replace the...

Featured

Europeā€™s Exposure to Turkeyā€™s Problems

For well over a year, Turkey has been projecting an image of itself that is out of sync with the reality at home. It...

How Russia Defends Its Baltic Lifeline

European authorities are pretty sure someone is deliberately cutting their undersea cables and scrambling shipsā€™ navigation systems in the Baltic Sea, and they are...

Romania Takes an Election Mulligan

Romaniaā€™s 2024 presidential election was annulled earlier this month due to foreign interference. In the first round, held on Nov. 24, independent candidate Calin...

The Weakness of Israelā€™s Approach to War

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The Middle East has broken down into a state of extreme combat. The collapse of the system of governance throughout the region has opened...

After the Fall of Assad, the Middle East Braces for Unrest

Jubilant crowds in some of Syriaā€™s biggest and most politically significant cities toppled statues of former President Hafez Assad over the past week, in...

The Syrian Government Has Fallen. Now What?

The Assad regime, which had ruled Syria for nearly half a century, fell over the weekend after rebels took control the capitol of Damascus....

Saudi Arabia Hedges Its Bets

Last weekend, Saudi Arabia ditched the comprehensive defense pact it had been pursuing with the U.S. in favor of a smaller, more limited military...

The Stakes in Syriaā€™s Renewed Rebellion

Syria has once again become the center of gravity in the contest for primacy in the Middle East. Backed by Turkey, Syriaā€™s Sunni rebels...

The Global Economy Is Changing, and so Is Latin Americaā€™s

Of all the regions affected by the global economic restructuring currently underway, Eurasia has commanded the most attention. And rightly so ā€“ the enormous...

South Koreaā€™s Standoff Over Martial Law

South Koreaā€™s president took the extraordinary step on Dec. 3 of declaring martial law. In announcing the move, President Yoon Suk Yeol accused the...

What to Make of Georgiaā€™s Protests

In December 2023, the European Council granted Georgia official candidate status for membership in the European Union, a result long favored by much of...

In Syria, Turkey Makes Its Move

It was only a matter of time before Turkey would try to capitalize on the hole Israel punched into Iranā€™s sphere of influence after...

China and India Are Still Rivals

By Andrew Davidson In late October, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping met on the sidelines of the BRICS assembly in...

What We're Reading

What We’re Reading: Trade and the Ancient World

The Roman Empire and the Silk Routes: The Ancient World Economy and the Empires of Parthia, Central Asia and Han China By Raoul McLaughlin ā€œThe Roman...

What We’re Reading: All About Europe

Europe's Future: Decoupling and Reforming By Sergio Fabbrini Sergio Fabbrini is easily one of the most important political scientists studying EU governance. His essays are required...

What We’re Reading: Silence and Sleep

The Silence By Don DeLillo Last week, a bunch of us Texans prepared for the worst as a winter storm pelted our homes with freezing rain...

What We’re Reading: Robots and Russian Heroes

Burn-In: A Novel of the Real Robotic Revolution By August Cole and P.W. Singer The plot of ā€œBurn-Inā€ is ā€¦ fine. Written by the same duo...

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The Weakness of Israelā€™s Approach to War

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The Middle East has broken down into a state of extreme combat. The collapse of the system of governance throughout the region has opened...
George Friedman’s new book:
The Storm Before the Calm

The Storm before the Calmā€œWho will win the acrimonious 2020 presidential election? Shockingly, it wonā€™t actually matter that much, argues renowned geopolitical forecaster George Friedman. America, he contends, is governed less by leaders and legislation and more by cyclical forces that work deep within the nationā€™s unique structure.ā€
Lone Star Literary Life

Daily Memo: Russia, Turkey Reach Out to Syrian Rebels

Reaching out. Moscow is in direct contact with Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, the group that led the rebellion that overthrew the Assad regime in Syria,...

Media / Interviews

Daily Memo: Macron Headed for Warsaw, Russia-China Talks

France and Poland. French President Emmanuel Macron will fly to Warsaw on Thursday, reportedly to discuss a plan for a possible European postwar peacekeeping mission in Ukraine. According to a Polish media report, the force could consist of 40,000 troops from multiple countries. This comes after Macron met last week with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, who has pledged to end the Russia-Ukraine war swiftly and is widely expected to push Europe to accept more of the burden for Kyivā€™s defense. Russia and China. The deputy head of Russiaā€™s Security Council, Dmitry Medvedev, arrived on Wednesday for a two-day working visit in China, where he will meet with top Chinese officials. This comes after the U.S. deputy defense secretary for the Arctic said last week that Beijing was using its support for Moscow in the Russia-Ukraine war to expand its access to the Arctic ā€“ a comment that the official China Daily newspaper called a ā€œbaseless allegationā€ in an article published on Wednesday. Avoiding a crisis. Egypt has sought help from Israel to avoid an energy crisis amid delays in the arrival of liquefied natural gas from Western Europe and a slowdown in domestic gas production, the London-based Al-Araby Al-Jadeed news outlet reported. Egyptian authorities have reportedly asked Israel to supplement the countryā€™s gas supplies and inquired about the purchase of a third reliquefaction station to process the large volumes of gas that Egypt plans to import in the coming years. Israeli operation in Syria. The Israeli military announced the completion of the main phase of its operation in Syria following the collapse of the Assad regime last week. About 70-80 percent of the Syrian army's strategic capabilities have been destroyed, according to Israelā€™s Defense Ministry. About 350 combat aircraft took part in the operation, and ground forces will continue to operate in the border buffer zone. U.S. in the Middle East. The commander of U.S. Central Command, Gen. Erik Kurilla, visited Syria and Iraq on Tuesday. In a statement, U.S. CENTCOM said Kurilla witnessed the rapidly evolving situation in Syria and observed efforts to prevent the Islamic State group from taking advantage. In Iraq, he met with Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani and other officials to discuss strengthening bilateral cooperation and regional security. Talks in Tokyo. The United States, Japan and the Philippines held their first trilateral talks in Tokyo on Tuesday. According to a joint statement, officials discussed deepening coordination on regional maritime issues. This comes after the three countries held joint naval exercises in the South China Sea last week. Funding defense. The Japanese government is reportedly considering gradual tax hikes starting in 2026 to help cover its planned doubling of the defense budget. The government has already said it will raise revenue by increasing corporate, income and tobacco taxes but has not yet announced a plan. According to a Kyodo news report, corporate and tobacco taxes will increase beginning in April 2026, while a new income-related tax could be introduced in January 2027. Milestone. The United States successfully conducted its first-ever ballistic missile intercept test from Guam. Military officials said it was a milestone in U.S. efforts to ā€œdefend against evolving adversary threats.ā€ Cooperation review. France and Armenia signed a defense cooperation plan for 2025 during talks attended by top defense officials from both countries. They also reviewed the results of their cooperation throughout 2024. Ties between the two countries have been growing, with France pledging earlier this year to provide Armenia with weapons and other military assistance. Argentina's economic performance. Argentine President Javier Milei declared the countryā€™s recession over in a speech marking the one-year anniversary of his inauguration. Milei also said Argentinaā€™s economy ā€œhas finally begun to grow,ā€ with annual inflation declining from 211.4 percent in December 2023 to 193 percent in October and a sustained budget surplus for the first time in 123 years. Targeting migrants. Russiaā€™s State Duma on Tuesday adopted on the first reading a bill banning children of migrants who have not passed a Russian language test from attending Russian schools. The speaker of the State Duma said 200,000 migrant children were reported as having trouble communicating in school in the last academic year.

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Daily Memo: Rebels Advance in Syria

Advancing to Hama. The leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, the insurgent group that led the rebellion against Syrian government forces in Aleppo last week,...

Saudi Arabia Hedges Its Bets

Last weekend, Saudi Arabia ditched the comprehensive defense pact it had been pursuing with the U.S. in favor of a smaller, more limited military...

The Stakes in Syriaā€™s Renewed Rebellion

Syria has once again become the center of gravity in the contest for primacy in the Middle East. Backed by Turkey, Syriaā€™s Sunni rebels...

The Global Economy Is Changing, and so Is Latin Americaā€™s

Of all the regions affected by the global economic restructuring currently underway, Eurasia has commanded the most attention. And rightly so ā€“ the enormous...

Special Report:

The Geopolitics of Donald Trump

ā€œThere are those who regard Donald Trump as too stupid to make decisions. There are others who regard him as a brilliant if instinctive crafter of policy. What we know of him is this. "

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