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Briefs

Brief: Serbia’s Show of Force to Kosovo

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Background: Kosovo declared its independence from Serbia in 2008, less than 10 years after a NATO-led peacekeeping operation began there. Serbia, however, has yet...

Brief: The UK and the USMCA

Background: The post-Brexit United Kingdom is still trying to define its new role in the international system. London has been trying to replace the...

Featured

Turkey and Greece Are Talking Again

The war between Israel and Hamas is testing relationships throughout the Middle East and beyond, but a short distance away two historical enemies, Greece...

Daily Memo: Israel Update, Problems for British Banking

Fighting continues.Ā Israel Defense Forces said on Friday they would resume combat operations against Hamas in the Gaza Strip after the group violated the cease-fire...

Qatar’s Role in the Gaza Conflict

Qatar is a unique state in the Middle East. Despite its small size and tiny population, it is awash in energy resources, ranking number...

Saudi Arabia Turns to Africa

Saudi Arabia is increasingly interested in building economic and diplomatic ties with Africa. Not long ago, the continent was nowhere near a priority in...

A Shift in the EU

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Last week’s election in the Netherlands produced a radical change. Traditionally, the Netherlands is among the most classically liberal states in Europe. But in...

The High Cost of International Shipping

Though the cease-fire in Gaza has eased tensions in the Middle East, the prospects of a wider conflict still remain, and energy markets expect...

Iraq’s Balancing Act Over Gaza

In early November, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken arrived in Baghdad to meet with Iraqi officials. It was a notable stop on a...

Gaza and the Making of a New Middle East Order

The ferocity of the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas will reshape the Middle East. Its brutality is reminiscent of World War II's final...

Remember Ukraine?

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Some of you may remember Ukraine. Just a few months ago, it was all the talk. Since then, war has broken out between Hamas...

What Argentina’s Presidential Election Really Means

Argentina held a presidential election on Sunday that could be considered a referendum on the national economy. Argentina abounds with natural resources and potential...

The Gaza War Threatens Jordan

Unlike previous wars in Gaza, the current conflict has the potential to expand to the West Bank, where clashes involving Palestinians, Jewish settlers and...

In the US-China Talks, Actions Speak Louder Than Words

The much-anticipated meeting between U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping is finally here. The visit, which takes place today at the...

What We're Reading

What We’re Reading: Trade and the Ancient World

The Roman Empire and the Silk Routes: The Ancient World Economy and the Empires of Parthia, Central Asia and Han China By Raoul McLaughlin ā€œThe Roman...

What We’re Reading: All About Europe

Europe's Future: Decoupling and Reforming By Sergio Fabbrini Sergio Fabbrini is easily one of the most important political scientists studying EU governance. His essays are required...

What We’re Reading: Silence and Sleep

The Silence By Don DeLillo Last week, a bunch of us Texans prepared for the worst as a winter storm pelted our homes with freezing rain...

What We’re Reading: Robots and Russian Heroes

Burn-In: A Novel of the Real Robotic Revolution By August Cole and P.W. Singer The plot of ā€œBurn-Inā€ is … fine. Written by the same duo...

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BEST WRITINGS OF
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George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

Remembering Henry Kissinger

Henry Kissinger has died at age 100. He was never a man who could be mourned, nor one who would pass away quietly. I...
George Friedman’s new book:
The Storm Before the Calm

The Storm before the Calmā€œWho will win the acrimonious 2020 presidential election? Shockingly, it won’t actually matter that much, argues renowned geopolitical forecaster George Friedman. America, he contends, is governed less by leaders and legislation and more by cyclical forces that work deep within the nation’s unique structure.ā€
Lone Star Literary Life

Daily Memo: Russian Delegation in Niger, AUKUS Talks

Russia and Niger. A delegation of Russian defense officials reportedly arrived in Niger for talks with the country’s defense minister. The meeting took place...

Media / Interviews

RealClearWorld: Ukraine and the Long War

Long wars result from consistent and fundamental errors: underestimating the will and ability of an enemy to resist, overestimating one’s own capabilities, going to war for incorrect or insufficient reasons, or underestimating the degree to which a powerful third party might intervene and shift the balance of power. - George Friedman Full story

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A Shift in the EU

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Last week’s election in the Netherlands produced a radical change. Traditionally, the Netherlands is among the most classically liberal states in Europe. But in...

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The Geopolitics of Donald Trump

ā€œThere are those who regard Donald Trump as too stupid to make decisions. There are others who regard him as a brilliant if instinctive crafter of policy. What we know of him is this. "

Forecasts

The World in 2020

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2019

One era is ending and another will soon begin.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

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The Geopolitics of the American President

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