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Briefs

Brief: Serbia’s Show of Force to Kosovo

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Background: Kosovo declared its independence from Serbia in 2008, less than 10 years after a NATO-led peacekeeping operation began there. Serbia, however, has yet...

Brief: The UK and the USMCA

Background: The post-Brexit United Kingdom is still trying to define its new role in the international system. London has been trying to replace the...

Featured

Mexico Considers a New Foreign Policy Path

On June 2, Mexican voters will go to the polls to select their next president. At a time when the dominant geopolitical players around...

For India, What’s an Iranian Port Worth?

Anyone attempting to do business with Iran runs the risk of U.S. sanctions. This was the U.S. State Department’s reply to the news on...

Meditations on the Mediterranean

Throughout history, the Mediterranean Sea has been Europe’s most important body of water, shaping its relationship with itself and with the rest of the...

The Logic of Hungary

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A couple of weeks ago, I wrote a piece about mass demonstrations in Budapest in which protesters expressed resentment against alleged financial corruption running...

Instability Drives Mauritania Toward the West

In late April, Malian troops supported by Russian mercenaries reportedly pursued separatist fighters into neighboring Mauritania. When the incident was over, according to local...

China Signals Economic Policy Changes

Senior Chinese officials are signaling that Beijing will announce a significant adjustment in the country’s economic strategy in July during a key meeting of...

Israel’s Gaza Operation Nears the Endgame

The seven-month-old war between Israel and Hamas appears to have reached a decisive stage. While an end to the fighting remains elusive, it is...

The Myth of the ‘Axis of Resistance’

The term “axis of resistance” was first coined as the United States invaded Iraq in 2003. Though the occupation allowed Iran to gain influence...

New Strategic Documents Preserve Belarus’ Options

At the end of April, Belarus updated its Military Doctrine and its National Security Concept to respond to urgent security threats, regional volatility and...

The Crisis of the University

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In my book “The Storm Before the Calm,” I wrote that the United States is headed into institutional and socio-economic crises. The institutional crisis,...

Germany’s Future, According to Germans

From the war in Ukraine to economic uncertainties at home and across the Western world, Germany is facing a number of challenges with which...

Azerbaijan and the South Caucasus Borderlands

As Russia is locked in a difficult war in Ukraine, its southern flank – the South Caucasus – is in disarray. There is a...

What We're Reading

What We’re Reading: Trade and the Ancient World

The Roman Empire and the Silk Routes: The Ancient World Economy and the Empires of Parthia, Central Asia and Han China By Raoul McLaughlin “The Roman...

What We’re Reading: All About Europe

Europe's Future: Decoupling and Reforming By Sergio Fabbrini Sergio Fabbrini is easily one of the most important political scientists studying EU governance. His essays are required...

What We’re Reading: Silence and Sleep

The Silence By Don DeLillo Last week, a bunch of us Texans prepared for the worst as a winter storm pelted our homes with freezing rain...

What We’re Reading: Robots and Russian Heroes

Burn-In: A Novel of the Real Robotic Revolution By August Cole and P.W. Singer The plot of “Burn-In” is … fine. Written by the same duo...

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The Logic of Hungary

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A couple of weeks ago, I wrote a piece about mass demonstrations in Budapest in which protesters expressed resentment against alleged financial corruption running...
George Friedman’s new book:
The Storm Before the Calm

The Storm before the Calm“Who will win the acrimonious 2020 presidential election? Shockingly, it won’t actually matter that much, argues renowned geopolitical forecaster George Friedman. America, he contends, is governed less by leaders and legislation and more by cyclical forces that work deep within the nation’s unique structure.”
Lone Star Literary Life

Daily Memo: Putin-Xi Talks, Armenian Backlash

Putin in China. Chinese President Xi Jinping held informal talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Beijing on Thursday. At the meeting, Xi said...

Media / Interviews

RealClearWorld: Ukraine and the Long War

Long wars result from consistent and fundamental errors: underestimating the will and ability of an enemy to resist, overestimating one’s own capabilities, going to war for incorrect or insufficient reasons, or underestimating the degree to which a powerful third party might intervene and shift the balance of power. - George Friedman Full story

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The Geopolitics of Donald Trump

“There are those who regard Donald Trump as too stupid to make decisions. There are others who regard him as a brilliant if instinctive crafter of policy. What we know of him is this. "

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The World in 2020

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2019

One era is ending and another will soon begin.

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