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Brief: Serbia’s Show of Force to Kosovo

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Geopolitical Futures -
Background: Kosovo declared its independence from Serbia in 2008, less than 10 years after a NATO-led peacekeeping operation began there. Serbia, however, has yet...
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Brief: The UK and the USMCA

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Background: The post-Brexit United Kingdom is still trying to define its new role in the international system. London has been trying to replace the...
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Recent Analysis

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How Different Countries Respond to Terrorism

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
The fallout from Hamas’ Oct. 7 rampage through Israel and the March 22 massacre at Crocus City Hall near Moscow are dreadful reminders of...
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Beijing’s View of the Chinese Economy

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
At an economic forum last week in Shanghai, a senior Chinese government adviser named Liu Yuanchun, who is also the president of the Shanghai...
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In Myanmar, China Considers a New Strategy

AnalysisVictoria Herczegh -
In mid-April, China’s People’s Liberation Army conducted live-fire drills along its southern border – the second of its kind this month – amid deteriorating...
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For Iran and Israel, There’s No Going Back

AnalysisKamran Bokhari -
A decades-old norm was broken April 13 when Iran fired hundreds of drones and missiles at Israel from its own territory, instead of relying...
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Daily Memo: France Calls Out Azerbaijan, Russian Peacekeepers Go Home

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
French blowback. France recalled its ambassador to Azerbaijan for consultations after accusing Baku of taking “unilateral actions damaging to the relationship between our two...
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Is Japan the Next AUKUS Member?

AnalysisRonan Wordsworth -
The partnership comprising Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States known as AUKUS is intended to be among the most closely integrated national...
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In Upcoming Elections, Mexico Weighs Its Political Future

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
The biggest question facing Mexico in the upcoming presidential election is how the country can balance democratic governance while also supporting strong centralized authority....
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US Strategy and the Iran Strike

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
The U.S. has adopted a national strategy designed to use force without risking casualties of its own. This strategy has been on full display...
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Rocket Launch Exposes Russia’s Technology Gaps

AnalysisEkaterina Zolotova -
Russia on Thursday successfully test-launched a heavy-lift rocket called the Angara-A5, its first space rocket developed after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Though...
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Iran’s Vulnerable Eastern Flank

AnalysisKamran Bokhari -
Iran’s strategic position has significantly strengthened in the Middle East in the wake of the war in Gaza – even as its rear flank...
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Iran’s Strategic Patience Dilemma

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
Iran faces a dilemma in the wake of the Israeli attack last week on its consulate in Damascus, which killed seven senior officers of...
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The Hungarian Crisis

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Viktor Orban governed Hungary from 1998 to 2002 and again from 2010 to the present. In that time, he has dominated Hungarian politics and,...
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What We're Reading

What We’re Reading: Trade and the Ancient World

What We're ReadingEkaterina Zolotova -
The Roman Empire and the Silk Routes: The Ancient World Economy and the Empires of Parthia, Central Asia and Han China By Raoul McLaughlin “The Roman...
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What We’re Reading: All About Europe

What We're ReadingFrancesco Casarotto, Valentina Jovanovski -
Europe's Future: Decoupling and Reforming By Sergio Fabbrini Sergio Fabbrini is easily one of the most important political scientists studying EU governance. His essays are required...
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What We’re Reading: Silence and Sleep

What We're ReadingCole Altom, Allison Fedirka -
The Silence By Don DeLillo Last week, a bunch of us Texans prepared for the worst as a winter storm pelted our homes with freezing rain...
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What We’re Reading: Robots and Russian Heroes

What We're ReadingRyan Bridges, Ekaterina Zolotova -
Burn-In: A Novel of the Real Robotic Revolution By August Cole and P.W. Singer The plot of “Burn-In” is … fine. Written by the same duo...
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Beijing’s View of the Chinese Economy

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George Friedman -
At an economic forum last week in Shanghai, a senior Chinese government adviser named Liu Yuanchun, who is also the president of the Shanghai...
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George Friedman’s new book:
The Storm Before the Calm

The Storm before the Calm“Who will win the acrimonious 2020 presidential election? Shockingly, it won’t actually matter that much, argues renowned geopolitical forecaster George Friedman. America, he contends, is governed less by leaders and legislation and more by cyclical forces that work deep within the nation’s unique structure.”
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Daily Memo

What's geopolitically important today.

Daily Memo: South Pacific Competition, Turkish Foreign Policy Blitz

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Defining freedom. Australia wants to strengthen ties with Papua New Guinea to promote Pacific stability and counter China's regional expansionism, Australian Prime Minister Anthony...
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Media / Interviews

RealClearWorld: Ukraine and the Long War

Geopolitical Futures -
Long wars result from consistent and fundamental errors: underestimating the will and ability of an enemy to resist, overestimating one’s own capabilities, going to war for incorrect or insufficient reasons, or underestimating the degree to which a powerful third party might intervene and shift the balance of power. - George Friedman Full story
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Is Japan the Next AUKUS Member?

AnalysisRonan Wordsworth -
The partnership comprising Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States known as AUKUS is intended to be among the most closely integrated national...
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Daily Memo: Poland on European Air Defense, Scholz in Beijing

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
European defense. Poland is considering joining a project to build a European air defense system similar to Israel’s Iron Dome, Prime Minister Donald Tusk...
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In Upcoming Elections, Mexico Weighs Its Political Future

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
The biggest question facing Mexico in the upcoming presidential election is how the country can balance democratic governance while also supporting strong centralized authority....
Read more

Daily Memo: Iran Preps for Economic Retaliation, China Stands With North Korea

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Economic retaliation. One day after an unprecedented drone and missile attack against Israel, Iran’s president called on government departments to redouble their efforts and...
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Special Report:

The Geopolitics of Donald Trump

“There are those who regard Donald Trump as too stupid to make decisions. There are others who regard him as a brilliant if instinctive crafter of policy. What we know of him is this. "

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The World in 2020

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