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The World in 2016

Dec. 2, 2015 We look ahead at the major geopolitical developments the world can expect to see in 2016. These include fragmentation in the European Union, as a result of the continuing refugee and financial crises, and a reluctant confrontation between Turkey and the Islamic State.

Net Assessment of East Asia

Dec. 2, 2015 East Asia is the world’s most dynamic region economically, but this was not always the case. It was plagued with political instability for much of the 20th century and is now facing an economic downturn in China, which will have significant consequences for the whole region.

Net Assessment of Russia

Dec. 2, 2015 Russia is facing a number of challenges, most notably increasing Western influence along its western periphery and declining prices for oil and gas, which are key sources of revenue for the Kremlin. How the country deals with these issues will determine its future path.

Net Assessment of Latin America

Dec. 2, 2015 Latin America’s geopolitical reality has been heavily shaped by its colonial history. Following the colonial era, the region saw a wave of military dictatorships emerge, which have been superseded by democratic governments in more recent years.

Net Assessment of Sub-Saharan Africa

Dec. 2, 2015 While the continent in some ways is still struggling to overcome the effects of its colonial past, some sub-Saharan African countries have produced high growth rates in recent years and may become the sorely needed future leaders for the region.

The World in 2016: A Summary of Our Forecast

Dec. 2, 2015 We look ahead at the major geopolitical developments the world can expect to see in 2016. These include fragmentation in the European Union, as a result of the continuing refugee and financial crises, and a reluctant confrontation between Turkey and the Islamic State.

Here is a summary of some of our key predictions for the year ahead.

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