HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Forecasting Russia: Strength and Weakness

George Friedman -

Our forecast for Russia, dating back to my earliest books, was two-fold: first, that Russia would reassert itself and at least appear to be a significant force facing the European Peninsula and in the Caucasus, Russia’s two essential frontiers, and second, that the forces that brought the Soviet Union to its knees would continue to […]

Racial Cycles

George Friedman -
Slavery was the law of the land when the United States was founded, and it would take nearly a century, and a civil war,...

Dignity in Our Time

George Friedman -
I went once to the funeral of a friend, a soldier. He had died an ordinary death, a car crash that left his parents...

The Queen Elizabeth and the Prince of Wales

George Friedman -
The British recently finished building two new aircraft carriers, the Queen Elizabeth and the Prince of Wales. Last week, Britain announced that one of...

The Future of Coronavirus: A Modest Proposal

George Friedman -
George Friedman’s thoughts in and around geopolitics.

The Truth About the US-China Thucydides Trap

George Friedman -
We remember Thucydides as a historian thanks to his documentation of the Peloponnesian War, but we often forget that he was also a philosopher....

Facing Our Past

George Friedman -
Perhaps the one unmistakable truth of the human condition is that we all live in the past. We are born in a place to...

The ‘Spies and Commandos’ of Afghanistan

George Friedman -
The media exploded late last week with reports that Russia had paid the Taliban bounties to kill U.S. and Afghan troops. The plot was...

Beethoven and Now

George Friedman -
I know nothing about music. I can’t play an instrument, nor can I read music. My singing appalls even me. Yet music has defined...

Putin’s New History of Europe and the Rehabilitation of Stalin

George Friedman -
Russian President Vladimir Putin likes to argue that World War II, and much of the suffering wrought by it, was the responsibility not just...

History and Decency

George Friedman -
When I was a child, I learned that history moves forward, sometimes gently and sometimes brutally, but that I had no control over what...

Recession or Depression

George Friedman -
In March, we declared our 2020 forecast null and void. The COVID-19 pandemic had essentially rendered it irrelevant. The question we posed in March...
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