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Viewing the global economy through the lens of geopolitics

Daily Memo
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Daily Memo: German Political Divide, US Support for Saudi Arabia

Secret strategy. Germany’s Defense Ministry is reportedly considering blocking the government of Saxony-Anhalt from...

Latest Analysis

The AfD’s Victory in Germany

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After World War II, Germany was divided into two parts. East Germany was controlled...

The Global Tradeoffs of Regional Wars

After a 286-day deployment that included 264 consecutive days at sea to support operations...

A Different Kind of Investor Climate

Read this month's issue of GeoEconomic Lens

Europe’s Post-American Security Order

Washington’s transition from a post-World War II order to one that offloads security responsibility...

America’s Commitment to Africa

U.S. lawmakers have proved unusually unified when it comes to African trade. On Sept....

George Answers Your Questions: An Attempt to Understand a Strange Visit to Moscow

An Attempt to Understand a Strange Visit to Moscow Aug. 31, 2026 Question: With regard to...

Wars in Iran and Ukraine: Trying to Figure Things Out

Earlier in the week, I wrote about the recent meeting between the U.S. and...

Mongolia and the Geopolitics of Dependence

August was a busy month for work travel at GPF. While Antonia was exploring...

NATO’s Future as Seen From Sweden

Last week, I was in Gothenburg, Sweden, the city where the word “geopolitics” (“geopolitik”...

Eurasia’s New Balance of Power

The principal powers in Eurasia have just entered an unusually dense period of high-level...

An Attempt to Understand a Strange Visit to Moscow

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On Aug. 25, CIA Director John Ratcliffe landed in Moscow for talks on the...
From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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George Answers Your Questions: On Russia and the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement

Editor's note: There will be no "George Answers Your Questions" next week, as George will be traveling. George Answers Your Questions: An Attempt to Understand...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

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Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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Trending Content

Is Russia Escalating? George Friedman Breaks Down the Threat

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It’s been an interesting few days for US-Russia relations. On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss the CIA Director’s trip to Moscow, the drone plot in Germany, and reports of Russia’s help in an Iranian advanced weapons program. What does a threat assessment of Russia reveal about these tactical and diplomatic shifts? What are the impacts on European security, US-Russia relations, and future peace in Ukraine? Also: Nuclear deterrence and Cold War lessons.

Is Russia Escalating? George Friedman Breaks Down the Threat

FREE
It’s been an interesting few days for US-Russia relations. On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss the CIA Director’s trip to Moscow, the drone plot in Germany, and reports of Russia’s help in an Iranian advanced weapons program. What does a threat assessment of Russia reveal about these tactical and diplomatic shifts? What are the impacts on European security, US-Russia relations, and future peace in Ukraine? Also: Nuclear deterrence and Cold War lessons.