The United States
The Middle East
The fundamental reality of the world is that Eurasia, understood as the vast land mass stretching from the Atlantic to Pacific oceans and the Arctic to the Indian oceans, is increasingly unsettled and even chaotic. In the meantime, North America remains relatively stable and operating from a different paradigm. It is this model that will define and drive events globally in 2016.
A quick glance at Eurasia will give you a sense of its instability. In Europe, the ongoing Greek and refugee crises both provide a sense of the fragility of the European Union and the deep divisions that have emerged. Russia is facing a simultaneous strategic crisis in Ukraine and other regions on its frontier, as well as a financial crisis driven by the decline in oil prices. China is struggling with the decline in economic growth, the danger of social unrest and an increasingly repressive government. Finally,