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Daily Memo: Clashes in the Balkans

Kosovo unrest. Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic placed his army on high alert and deployed...


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Fallout From Western Canada’s Wildfires

(click to enlarge) Wildfires spread across many regions of Western Canada this week. The provinces of Alberta and British Colombia were most affected, but smoke...

South America’s Lithium Triangle

(click to enlarge) South America has some of the largest lithium deposits in the world. Chile, Argentina and Bolivia collectively account for 53 percent of...

At G-7 Summit, Containment of China Goes Global

The leaders of the G-7 countries met last week in Hiroshima for their annual...

Syrians Pay a Heavy Price for Assad’s Victory

In 1970, then-Syrian Defense Minister Hafez Assad staged a military coup and, a few...

Ukraine Crisis

Get exclusive insights into the Crisis in Ukraine and learn from our Geopolitical Analysts how the Russian Conflict is reshaping the world.

Featured Analysis

The Future of NATO’s Strategic Concept

2022 will bring two major diplomatic events for the trans-Atlantic community. First, in March, the European Union will adopt its Strategic Compass, a document...

The Next Phase in the China-US Confrontation

Last week, I wrote about the major expansion of the U.S.-Philippine alliance, Japanese alignment...

In Pakistan, the Military Sustains Its Dominance for Now

For over a year, the Pakistani military has been trying to solve a political...

China’s New Approach in Africa

China is moving away from its landmark Belt and Road Initiative in favor of...

The New Middle East Order

A new Middle East order is emerging that will soon supplant pan-Arabism as the...
From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

Considering Maskirovka

Soon after Josef Stalin signed a mutual defense pact with Adolf Hitler, British Prime Minister Winston Churchill said that Russia was a mystery wrapped...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2023

Though the war in Ukraine is agonizing to observe, it is not the most important issue of 2023.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2022

This year, pandemic-induced shortages and supply disruptions frame all other trends in the international system.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Media / Interviews

Sun Media Romania: Cum va arăta Europa după ce războiul din Ucraina se va sfârși

„În scenariul pe care îl cred și sper puțin probabil în care Rusia va câștiga în Ucraina, ne vom confrunta cu o creștere a...

Adevarul: Paradoxul războiului din Ucraina

Războiul din Ucraina aduce pagube greu de estimat, afectând nu doar o țară, ci un întreg continent. Dincolo de toate acestea, pentru România și...

RealClearDefense: The Future of U.S.-China Relations

Earlier this week, the G-20 summit opened in Indonesia, during which the long-awaited meeting between U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping...


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Trending Content

The Next Phase in the China-US Confrontation

Last week, I wrote about the major expansion of the U.S.-Philippine alliance, Japanese alignment with Taiwan and possible three-way links with South Korea, and...

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