Briefs

Real-time updates on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events.

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Brief: Serbia’s Show of Force to Kosovo

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Background: Kosovo declared its independence from Serbia in 2008, less than...
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Brief: The UK and the USMCA

Geopolitical Futures -
Background: The post-Brexit United Kingdom is still trying to define its...
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Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Biden’s Comments on Taiwan, Evergrande Meets Deadline

Americas Geopolitical Futures -
U.S. commitment to Taiwan. U.S. President Joe Biden on Thursday, in response to a...
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What We're Reading

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What We’re Reading: Patriot, Games

What We're ReadingRyan Bridges, Phillip Orchard -
Spec Ops: The Line Developed by Yager Development I’m one of the fortunate many who knows...
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What We’re Reading: The Cause of War and Tyranny

What We're ReadingFrancesco Casarotto, Allison Fedirka -
Man, the State, and War:A Theoretical Analysis By Kenneth Waltz As a former international relations student,...
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Europe’s Influence on Arab Radicalism

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
European radicalism has had a significant impact on Arab political thinking. After the First...
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For Brazil, a Bad Year Could Get Worse

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
It’s clear something is off in trade logistics when the best available method of...
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Featured Analysis

The Illusion of Arab Nationalism

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Hilal Khashan -
The Arab uprisings briefly resurrected the idea of Arab nationalism. During the 2011 Pan Arab Games in Qatar, spectators sang the unofficial Arab national...
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Supply Chains: Our Parachute Moment

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
At the risk of beating a dead horse, I’m writing about supply chains again....
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Are France and Italy a Foil to Germany?

AnalysisFrancesco Casarotto -
France and Italy plan to sign the Quirinal Treaty, an agreement meant to improve...
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The Illusion of Arab Nationalism

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AnalysisHilal Khashan -
The Arab uprisings briefly resurrected the idea of Arab nationalism. During the 2011 Pan...
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What’s Driving the Spike in Energy Prices?

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu -
Inflation has been a big story around the world for much of 2021. But...
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Weekly Graphic

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Weekly Graphic

The U.S. Labor Disconnect

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(click to enlarge) One of the more complicated aspects of the current economic volatility accompanying the rebound from the pandemic in the U.S. is the...
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Weekly Graphic

Europe’s Faltering Economic Recovery

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) As the COVID-19 vaccination campaign proceeds, the pandemic seems almost under control in Europe. Social distancing measures are being lifted and economies...
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Weekly Graphic

China’s Hunt for Coal

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(click to enlarge) In many ways, China's ongoing electricity crunch is a mess of its own making. It's due in part, for example, to an...
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In Search of the Normal

George Friedman -
I have spent the past few weeks obsessing over the apocalypse of disappearing workers, lost Christmas presents, the pandemic that will not end, and...
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The World in 2021

Economic and political fallout from COVID-19 responses will remain the primary driver of events in 2021.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2020

Economic dysfunction will be the main driver of the international system in 2020.

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Media / Interviews

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RealClearWorld: Is This Uzbekistan’s Time?

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
In our 2019 Annual Forecast, we said we expected Uzbekistan to challenge Kazakhstan as the dominant power in Central Asia. The COVID-19 pandemic delayed any...
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El Herald de Mexico: México-EEUU: ¿nuevo trato?

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
"'Si bien las iniciativas de México pueden no tener el mismo impacto en el hemisferio que las de Washington, son suficientes para mostrarle a...
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Cicero: Projekt „Blaue Heimat“

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
Die Türkei tritt im östlichen Mittelmeerraum zunehmend aggressiv auf – es geht um Gasvorkommen, den Zypern-Konflikt und um geostrategische Ziele. Wegen der Pandemie hat...
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Supply Chains: Our Parachute Moment

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
At the risk of beating a dead horse, I’m writing about supply chains again. Ekaterina Zolotova and Phillip Orchard can explain why Russian-Chinese maneuvers...
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Daily Memo: Chinese Missile Tech, Austin’s Black Sea Tour

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
China's leap forward. China reportedly caught the U.S. off guard by testing a sophisticated new nuclear-capable hypersonic missile in August, according to the Financial...
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Are France and Italy a Foil to Germany?

AnalysisFrancesco Casarotto -
France and Italy plan to sign the Quirinal Treaty, an agreement meant to improve bilateral relations generally and economic coordination and industrial ties specifically,...
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Europe’s Faltering Economic Recovery

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Weekly GraphicGeopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) As the COVID-19 vaccination campaign proceeds, the pandemic seems almost under control in Europe. Social distancing measures are being lifted and economies...
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Daily Memo: OPEC+ for Natural Gas, French Warship in the Taiwan Strait

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Gas producers’ alliance? Saudi Energy Minister Abdulaziz bin Salman said Riyadh would consider Russia’s invitation to cooperate on natural gas issues. He suggested such...
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Forecasting and Living

From the Desk of George FriedmanGeorge Friedman -
I started writing a book in 2015 that would eventually have the title “The Storm Before the Calm.” In it, I identified a series...
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