Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Biden Tours East Asia, Canada Bans Chinese Firms From 5G

Americas Geopolitical Futures -
Asia tour. U.S. President Joe Biden arrived in South Korea for his first visit...
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What We're Reading

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What We’re Reading: Trade and the Ancient World

What We're ReadingEkaterina Zolotova -
The Roman Empire and the Silk Routes: The Ancient World Economy and the Empires...
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What We’re Reading: All About Europe

What We're ReadingFrancesco Casarotto, Valentina Jovanovski -
Europe's Future: Decoupling and Reforming By Sergio Fabbrini Sergio Fabbrini is easily one of the most...
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What We’re Reading: Silence and Sleep

What We're ReadingCole Altom, Allison Fedirka -
The Silence By Don DeLillo Last week, a bunch of us Texans prepared for the worst...
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Poland Won’t Start World War III

AnalysisFrancesco Casarotto -
For the world, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine ushered in a new era. For Poland,...
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Ode to France

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Paris, where my wife and I are spending some time, is a city that...
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Forecasts From George Friedman’s Book:
The Next 100 Years

(published 2009)

"For the next generation until roughly 2020, Russia’s primary concern will be reconstructing the Russian state and reasserting Russian power in the region... The Russians must dominate Belarus and Ukraine for their basic national security... If they were to fall into an enemy’s hands –for example, join NATO- Russia would be in mortal danger."

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Featured Analysis

The Future of NATO’s Strategic Concept

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Antonia Colibasanu -
2022 will bring two major diplomatic events for the trans-Atlantic community. First, in March, the European Union will adopt its Strategic Compass, a document...
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Reactions to Finland’s NATO Membership

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu -
On May 15, Finland officially announced that it would apply to join NATO. The...
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Arab Food Insecurity and Political Failure

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
The Arab region, extending from the Persian Gulf in the east to the Atlantic...
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Latin America in a Time of Transition

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
The world is in a transition period, leaving the post-Cold War era, which began...
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How the Ukraine War May End

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Russia has been waging war in Ukraine for a little over two months now....
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Weekly Graphic

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From Paris to Vienna

George Friedman -
My wife and I are still Europe, where we are scheduled to meet with Europeans working in areas in which, to my dismay, some...
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The Storm Before the Calm

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Forecasts

The World in 2022

This year, pandemic-induced shortages and supply disruptions frame all other trends in the international system.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2021

Economic and political fallout from COVID-19 responses will remain the primary driver of events in 2021.

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Media / Interviews

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L’Express: Les Idiots Utiles Dont Indispensables aux Mensonges de Poutine, par George Friedman

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
Les Russes sincèrement convaincus par la désinformation jouent un rôle essentiel : ils garantissent la survie du système, estime le fondateur de Geopolitical Futures. Full...
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Euractiv: Caution Is Required When Waging an Economic War

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
“As momentous as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is, the most strategically important event in recent weeks was the global economic war between Russia and...
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RealClearWorld: The World and a Small War

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
The war in Ukraine is having reverberations around the world. There are many reverberations to discuss. Today we'll focus on three areas: Poland and...
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Daily Memo: NATO’s Nordic Expansion, Wheat Supply Concerns

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
NATO enlargement. Finland officially announced its decision to apply for NATO membership on Sunday. The country’s parliament will be consulted on the matter on...
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Reactions to Finland’s NATO Membership

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu -
On May 15, Finland officially announced that it would apply to join NATO. The debate over whether it would do so had taken place...
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Lingering Protests in Cuba

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Weekly GraphicGeopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Earlier this week, five people who joined anti-government protests in Cuba last summer were sentenced to up to nine years in prison....
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Daily Memo: Washington Lifts Some Syria Sanctions, Beijing Imposes Tougher Travel Limits

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
U.S. sanctions in Syria. The U.S. Treasury lifted sanctions on parts of northern Syria outside the control of the Assad government. The move allows...
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A Note on More Personal Considerations

From the Desk of George FriedmanGeorge Friedman -
I am writing this from the Fontainebleau hotel in Miami Beach at the beginning of a month of wandering. Meredith and I have wandered...
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Daily Memo: Finland Eyes NATO Membership

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
NATO expansion. In a statement issued Thursday, the president and the prime minister of Finland said that Helsinki must apply for NATO membership without...
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