Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: EU Sanctions Get Nowhere, NATO Enlargement Gets Closer

Americas Geopolitical Futures -
No oil ban in sight. The EU’s foreign affairs chief said it could be...
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What We're Reading

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What We’re Reading: Trade and the Ancient World

What We're ReadingEkaterina Zolotova -
The Roman Empire and the Silk Routes: The Ancient World Economy and the Empires...
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What We’re Reading: All About Europe

What We're ReadingFrancesco Casarotto, Valentina Jovanovski -
Europe's Future: Decoupling and Reforming By Sergio Fabbrini Sergio Fabbrini is easily one of the most...
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What We’re Reading: Silence and Sleep

What We're ReadingCole Altom, Allison Fedirka -
The Silence By Don DeLillo Last week, a bunch of us Texans prepared for the worst...
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Reactions to Finland’s NATO Membership

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu -
On May 15, Finland officially announced that it would apply to join NATO. The...
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Arab Food Insecurity and Political Failure

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
The Arab region, extending from the Persian Gulf in the east to the Atlantic...
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Forecasts From George Friedman’s Book:
The Next 100 Years

(published 2009)

"For the next generation until roughly 2020, Russia’s primary concern will be reconstructing the Russian state and reasserting Russian power in the region... The Russians must dominate Belarus and Ukraine for their basic national security... If they were to fall into an enemy’s hands –for example, join NATO- Russia would be in mortal danger."

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Featured Analysis

The Future of NATO’s Strategic Concept

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Antonia Colibasanu -
2022 will bring two major diplomatic events for the trans-Atlantic community. First, in March, the European Union will adopt its Strategic Compass, a document...
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Latin America in a Time of Transition

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
The world is in a transition period, leaving the post-Cold War era, which began...
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How the Ukraine War May End

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Russia has been waging war in Ukraine for a little over two months now....
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The US Makes Inroads Into Russia’s Periphery

AnalysisEkaterina Zolotova -
Countries at war tend to use all the resources they can realistically spare to...
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Iran’s Threats of War Are a Bluff

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
Iran has ambitions that it is ideologically incapable of dropping. They include joining the...
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Weekly Graphic

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Ode to France

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George Friedman -
Paris, where my wife and I are spending some time, is a city that must be walked, preferably without a map or destination. Like...
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The Storm Before the Calm

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Regional Directory

Forecasts

The World in 2022

This year, pandemic-induced shortages and supply disruptions frame all other trends in the international system.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2021

Economic and political fallout from COVID-19 responses will remain the primary driver of events in 2021.

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Media / Interviews

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L’Express: Les Idiots Utiles Dont Indispensables aux Mensonges de Poutine, par George Friedman

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
Les Russes sincèrement convaincus par la désinformation jouent un rôle essentiel : ils garantissent la survie du système, estime le fondateur de Geopolitical Futures. Full...
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Euractiv: Caution Is Required When Waging an Economic War

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
“As momentous as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is, the most strategically important event in recent weeks was the global economic war between Russia and...
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RealClearWorld: The World and a Small War

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
The war in Ukraine is having reverberations around the world. There are many reverberations to discuss. Today we'll focus on three areas: Poland and...
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Daily Memo: Ukraine Halts Some Russian Gas to Europe

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Payback. Ukraine's gas transmission system operator said it is halting the transit of Russian natural gas to Europe via the Sokhranivka gas distribution station...
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Latin America in a Time of Transition

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
The world is in a transition period, leaving the post-Cold War era, which began in 1991, and entering a new era. This transition period...
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Daily Memo: Philippine Elections, EU Chief’s Visit to Budapest

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
New leader. Ferdinand Marcos Jr., the son of the late Philippine dictator, is poised to become the next president of the Philippines. As president,...
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How the Ukraine War May End

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Russia has been waging war in Ukraine for a little over two months now. That’s not an especially long time. The Korean War lasted...
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Daily Memo: Britain’s Latest Russia Sanctions, Assad’s Trip to Tehran

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
New sanctions. The United Kingdom announced on Sunday a new round of sanctions against Russia. London will increase tariffs on Russian and Belarusian imports...
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The US Makes Inroads Into Russia’s Periphery

AnalysisEkaterina Zolotova -
Countries at war tend to use all the resources they can realistically spare to achieve their desired outcome. The obvious drawback is that the...
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