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Daily Memo: Chinese Economic News, US Support for Europe

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Chinese economy. China’s gross domestic product grew by 4 percent year over year in...
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What We're Reading

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What We’re Reading: Myths and Memoirs

What We're ReadingRyan Bridges, Ekaterina Zolotova -
The Deficit Myth: Modern Monetary Theory and the Birth of the People's Economy By Stephanie...
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What We’re Reading: Euro’s Broken Promises, Secrets of High-Level Diplomacy

What We're ReadingFrancesco Casarotto, Valentina Jovanovski -
The Euro: How a Common Currency Threatens the Future of Europe By Joseph E. Stiglitz I...
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What We’re Reading: Great Wars and Old Things

What We're ReadingCole Altom, Allison Fedirka -
The Guns of August By Barbara W. Tuchman Over the past few months of Netflixing, my...
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From the European Buffers to the Intermarium

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Russia has been in the process of reclaiming its buffer zones – the areas...
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Tunisia’s Return to Authoritarian Rule

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
In 2019, former constitutional law professor Kais Saied was elected Tunisia’s new president. An...
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Featured Analysis

The Future of NATO’s Strategic Concept

FREE
Antonia Colibasanu -
2022 will bring two major diplomatic events for the trans-Atlantic community. First, in March, the European Union will adopt its Strategic Compass, a document...
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The US Can’t Take Canada for Granted

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
There are no guarantees in geopolitics, but stability in the U.S.-Canadian relationship certainly comes...
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1991: False Dawn

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
We do not normally think of 1991 as a defining year. We are aware...
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Europe’s Green Deal Trades One Dependence for Another

AnalysisFrancesco Casarotto -
Last week, EU Internal Market Commissioner Thierry Breton announced that Brussels will propose new...
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What Hezbollah Really Wants

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
Last week, Hezbollah repatriated an Israeli Bedouin who had defected to Lebanon and said...
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Weekly Graphic

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From the European Buffers to the Intermarium

George Friedman -
Russia has been in the process of reclaiming its buffer zones – the areas in its periphery such as the Caucasus, the Baltics, Central...
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The Storm Before the Calm

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Forecasts

The World in 2021

Economic and political fallout from COVID-19 responses will remain the primary driver of events in 2021.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2020

Economic dysfunction will be the main driver of the international system in 2020.

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Media / Interviews

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El Heraldo: EU, China y Mesoamérica

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
"'También saben que China (correctamente) los ve como un puente entre el Pacífico y el Atlántico cuyos ejes marítimos y de transporte facilitan el...
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Cicero: Das russische Trauma

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
Derzeit kursieren zahlreiche Gerüchte über eine bevorstehende Invasion Russlands in der Ukraine. Dieses Szenario erscheint zwar wenig plausibel, aber dennoch besteht die Gefahr einer...
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Cicero: Der Weltuntergang und seine Freunde

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
Prinz Charles verkündet beim Klimagipfel in Glasgow, dieser wäre „die letzte Chance“ für unseren Planeten. Full story
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Daily Memo: CSTO to Withdraw From Kazakhstan, North Korea Launches Missile

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
Troop withdrawal. Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev said that the Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organization’s peacekeeping mission, launched last week amid escalating unrest in the...
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1991: False Dawn

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
We do not normally think of 1991 as a defining year. We are aware of particular events that might have changed something, but we...
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Daily Memo: Order in Kazakhstan, Missile Shortage in Saudi Arabia

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Order restored? After reporting over the weekend that 164 people were killed in last week’s unrest, Kazakh authorities say order has been restored and...
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Europe’s Green Deal Trades One Dependence for Another

AnalysisFrancesco Casarotto -
Last week, EU Internal Market Commissioner Thierry Breton announced that Brussels will propose new rules to ensure the safety of supply chains during crises....
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Vaccine Access and the Recovery

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Weekly GraphicGeopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) We’re two years into the pandemic, but in many ways the start of 2022 feels very similar to the start of 2021....
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Daily Memo: Kazakh Unrest Escalates

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
Kazakhstan under fire. Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev said he ordered police and the army to open fire on protesters without warning amid continuing anti-government...
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