Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Ukraine Update, EU Diplomat in Tehran

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Ukraine update. Ukrainian forces have been ordered to withdraw from the embattled city of...
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Gifts

Books, reports and gift subscriptions.

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Middle East and North Africa

Cycles of Turmoil

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Political leadership in Arab countries is often a poisoned chalice. Violence and upheaval have been hallmarks of political transition in the Middle...
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Americas

Exerting Economic Influence in Latin America

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) In recent years, the U.S. has leaned more heavily on using economic engagement and economic warfare to exert influence over other countries....
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Americas

The Global Economy Rebounds, Stumbles Again

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(click to enlarge) Economic data for the past two years – that is, the majority of the COVID-19 pandemic – has finally been processed and...
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Weekly Graphic

The Long Fight to Control Taiwan

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Not so long ago, Taiwan and mainland China were mending their relations. Trade relations and cultural exchanges developed rapidly in the early...
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The Paradox of a Strong Ruble

AnalysisEkaterina Zolotova -
After a precipitous fall at the beginning of the war in Ukraine and the...
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The Evolution of Great Powers

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
The evolution of military power is one of the most important if underrated geopolitical...
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Forecasts From George Friedman’s Book:
The Next 100 Years

(published 2009)

"For the next generation until roughly 2020, Russia’s primary concern will be reconstructing the Russian state and reasserting Russian power in the region... The Russians must dominate Belarus and Ukraine for their basic national security... If they were to fall into an enemy’s hands –for example, join NATO- Russia would be in mortal danger."

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Featured Analysis

The Future of NATO’s Strategic Concept

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Antonia Colibasanu -
2022 will bring two major diplomatic events for the trans-Atlantic community. First, in March, the European Union will adopt its Strategic Compass, a document...
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No Break With the US After Colombian Election

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
Colombia has elected a new president, and the moment of truth has arrived. The...
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Israel Calls Hezbollah’s Bluff

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
Earlier this month, the Israeli-contracted Energean Power gas rig reached the Suez Canal from...
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Checking in on the Global Economy

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu -
Let’s check in on the global economy. The world is struggling with inflation, even...
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Economies and War

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
The American economy, the largest and most dynamic in the world, is a geopolitical...
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Where the Cold War Began

George Friedman -
I stood on a balcony in Warsaw this past week to gaze at the Vistula River. The Vistula runs wide and deep, the guardian...
More from George Friedman

The Storm Before the Calm

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Buy The Storm Before the Calm paperback and receive 6 exclusive bonus chapters.
A Bloomberg Best Books of 2020

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Regional Directory

Forecasts

The World in 2022

This year, pandemic-induced shortages and supply disruptions frame all other trends in the international system.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2021

Economic and political fallout from COVID-19 responses will remain the primary driver of events in 2021.

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Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Forecasts

Media / Interviews

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Stirile TV: The Other War, From Hunger to Overthrows of Regimes

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
We have two wars - the struggle in Ukraine and the economic war with Russia. The economic war with Russia I expect him to...
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RealClearDefense: Struggling to Find the Exit From War

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
French President Emmanuel Macron said last week that an off-ramp must be found for Russian President Vladimir Putin in Ukraine. This is not a...
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RealClearDefense: Why Iran Won’t Compromise in Nuclear Talks

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Press Geopolitical Futures -
A year after the start of Iran nuclear negotiations in Vienna, talks ended unsurprisingly without an agreement on the core issues. Although Iran needs...
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Daily Memo: Lithuania Blocks Kaliningrad Imports

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
No-go. Lithuania banned the transportation of EU-sanctioned goods to Russia's exclave of Kaliningrad through its territory after consultations with the European Commission. Russian presidential...
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No Break With the US After Colombian Election

AmericasAllison Fedirka -
Colombia has elected a new president, and the moment of truth has arrived. The most remarkable thing about the Colombian election was not the...
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Cycles of Turmoil

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Middle East and North AfricaGeopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Political leadership in Arab countries is often a poisoned chalice. Violence and upheaval have been hallmarks of political transition in the Middle...
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Daily Memo: Romanian Grain, Belarusian and Ukrainian Deployments

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Romanian grain. Romania’s agriculture minister said the country’s grain harvest will be lower this year compared to last year due to weather conditions and...
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On the Road Again

EuropeGeorge Friedman -
Tomorrow, my wife, Meredith, and I leave for Poland and Hungary. I have been invited to both countries so I am not crashing the...
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George Friedman on The John Batchelor Show: Guns, Butter and Ukraine

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PodcastGeopolitical Futures -
Inflation is at record highs as global markets struggle to recover from COVID-19 supply chain bottlenecks and disruptions from the Ukraine war. GPF Chairman George Friedman joins John Batchelor to discuss how the U.S. has been in this position before, and how it might navigate its way out of these crises.
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