South Pacific

Daily Memo: On Russia, Ukraine and European Security

Geopolitical Futures - September 4, 2026

Restoring talks? U.S. special envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner will visit Moscow and then Kyiv on Sept. 5-6, Russia’s TASS news agency reported. The story comes a day after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said the two negotiators had indicated they planned to visit Ukraine. Why it matters: The United States has made various attempts […]

Daily Memo: Iran and Oman Discuss Hormuz

Geopolitical Futures - August 26, 2026

Hormuz management. Iran and Oman agreed to continue talks on restoring safe navigation through the Strait of Hormuz following a meeting between their foreign...

Daily Memo: US Sanctions on Iran, Pakistan-Iran Talks

Geopolitical Futures - August 25, 2026

Economic pressure. The U.S. announced that it will launch extensive new economic measures against Iran aimed at isolating the country even further from the...

The Geoeconomics of Water

Antonia Colibasanu - August 19, 2026

Editor’s note: The following report was originally published in the July issue of GeoEconomic Lens, a subscription-based service that applies our geopolitical analysis toward...

Daily Memo: US and Israel Likely to Pause Iran War Until After Elections

Geopolitical Futures - August 11, 2026

Strategic pause. The U.S. and Israel are unlikely to take major steps against Iran or the Gaza Strip until the Israeli elections and the...

What China’s Missile Test Says About the Pacific Order

Ronan Wordsworth - July 31, 2026

On July 6, a Chinese nuclear-powered submarine in the South China Sea launched a nuclear-capable ballistic missile. Carrying a simulated warhead, the missile traveled...

Daily Memo: Houthis Signal Readiness for Major Escalation

Geopolitical Futures - July 29, 2026

Ready for escalation. The balance of power has shifted in favor of Yemen’s Houthi movement, and the group is prepared for a major escalation...

In the Asia-Pacific, a New Security Arrangement Takes Shape

Victoria Herczegh - July 16, 2026

Last week, Japan, Australia and New Zealand reaffirmed their commitment to closer defense cooperation during a trilateral meeting on the sidelines of the NATO...

Daily Memo: India-New Zealand Ties, Turkish Mediation

Geopolitical Futures - July 13, 2026

India in the South Pacific. India and New Zealand upgraded their relationship to a strategic partnership, signing 18 agreements covering defense, security, investment and...

A Major Move by India

George Friedman - July 13, 2026

Years ago, we at GPF predicted that the United States would try to reduce its involvement in the Eastern Hemisphere. Aside from his actions...

Daily Memo: Australia-Fiji Defense Deal, US-Russia Negotiations

Geopolitical Futures - July 6, 2026

Competition for the South Pacific. Australia and Fiji signed a mutual defense agreement during Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s visit to Fiji’s capital, Suva....