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From a COVID-19 Recession to COVID-19 Depression?

George Friedman - August 4, 2020

It’s been roughly five months since COVID-19 lockdown measures were first put in place. That means that come September, we will have gone two...

Racial Cycles

George Friedman - July 28, 2020

Slavery was the law of the land when the United States was founded, and it would take nearly a century, and a civil war,...

The Queen Elizabeth and the Prince of Wales

George Friedman - July 22, 2020

The British recently finished building two new aircraft carriers, the Queen Elizabeth and the Prince of Wales. Last week, Britain announced that one of...

The Truth About the US-China Thucydides Trap

George Friedman - July 14, 2020

We remember Thucydides as a historian thanks to his documentation of the Peloponnesian War, but we often forget that he was also a philosopher....

Israel and the New American Strategy

George Friedman - May 26, 2020

The drawdown of U.S. forces in the Middle East, about which we have written a few times now, is already empowering the countries that...

Back to the Future: China and the US

George Friedman - May 18, 2020

The COVID-19 disease, which seems likely to be with us for a long time, has done its part to define history. But it has...

The Medical Structure and Calculated Risk

George Friedman - May 12, 2020

Medical research is always involved in the important work of understanding disease and the human body. It is now at the center of a...

Power and the Rise and Fall of Nations

George Friedman - May 5, 2020

Last week, I appeared on a Turkish TV station and spoke to a business group in Switzerland. The same question was the focus of...

Medical, Economic, Social, Military: The State of Play

George Friedman - April 28, 2020

A riot broke out in a poor, predominantly Muslim neighborhood north of Paris over the weekend. The immediate cause was a traffic offense and...

The Coronavirus Closes Borders

George Friedman - March 31, 2020

The border between the United States and Canada has been closed. I don’t recall that ever happening before; I’m not sure what it is...

Modeling the US Reaction to the Coronavirus

George Friedman - March 23, 2020

The United States is under enormous pressure. The nature of the particular pressure is unique, though pressure on the United States from various forces...

Quarantine and the Supply Chain

George Friedman - March 17, 2020

The global medical community appears to have devised a strategy for mitigating the coronavirus that depends largely on quarantine, or limiting contact among the...

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