HomeWeekly

Weekly

The Broader Impact of a New Alliance in the Middle East

George Friedman - August 10, 2026

Last week, my colleague Kamran Bokhari predicted the emergence of a new Middle Eastern geopolitical order. He noted that that order would be built...

Azerbaijan: Very Small, Very Significant

George Friedman - August 3, 2026

Azerbaijan is a small country in the South Caucasus, a region that was part of the Soviet Union until most of its constituent parts...

Thinking About Iran’s Strategy

George Friedman - July 27, 2026

In geopolitical analysis, strategy is a combination of defining the national interest, having the military and economic power available to pursue it, accurately assessing...

The War, the Oil Crisis and American Politics

George Friedman - July 20, 2026

According to people who follow the oil trade closely, we are entering the point at which the oil buffer of global reserves is reaching...

A Major Move by India

George Friedman - July 13, 2026

Years ago, we at GPF predicted that the United States would try to reduce its involvement in the Eastern Hemisphere. Aside from his actions...

A Strange Article From Tass

George Friedman - July 6, 2026

We normally never publish articles written by others, but we must make an exception in this case. The BBC Monitoring service reported on an...

A Critical Moment for Russia

George Friedman - June 29, 2026

The Ukrainian military has been attacking Russian energy infrastructure for some time now, so last week’s drone strikes against oil refineries and storage tanks,...

Cuba Moves Under US Pressure

George Friedman - June 22, 2026

Cuba’s president went on television last week to announce profound changes in the economy. Cuba formally remains a communist country, although it is not...

The Tension Between the Geopolitical and the Political in the Iran War

George Friedman - June 16, 2026

The agreement reached Sunday between Iran and the United States does not end the war. It is essentially a 60-day ceasefire agreement, during which...

Israel’s Strategic Problem

George Friedman - June 2, 2026

Geographically, Israel is in a profoundly weak strategic position. At its widest point, it is only 71 miles (114 kilometers) across; at its narrowest...