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Israel’s Strategic Problem

George Friedman - June 2, 2026

Geographically, Israel is in a profoundly weak strategic position. At its widest point, it is only 71 miles (114 kilometers) across; at its narrowest...

A Critical Point in the Iran War

George Friedman - May 26, 2026

After three months, the war in Iran has reached a critical point. The conflict itself has become frozen in a way. The Islamic Revolutionary...

After the US-China Summit

George Friedman - May 18, 2026

The summit between presidents Xi Jinping and Donald Trump took place on May 14. The media has focused on the facts that little was...

The Week the New Global Reality Showed Itself

George Friedman - May 11, 2026

Last week, I wrote about the phone call Russian President Vladimir Putin made to U.S. President Donald Trump, during which he proposed a new...

The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks

George Friedman - May 4, 2026

Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin held a 90-minute telephone conversation on April 29 – notably, at Putin's behest. Past conversations of this kind...

The Iran War and How It Might End

George Friedman - April 27, 2026

The U.S.-Israel war against Iran was to a great extent predictable. The United States feared Iran becoming a nuclear power. Israel feared that as...

Japan, Australia and a New Regional Order

George Friedman - April 20, 2026

We have written a great deal on the evolution of U.S.-China relations, and we expect them to evolve further after the upcoming summit between...

War and the Principles of the Negotiation Process

George Friedman - April 13, 2026

All wars end. Sometimes, the end is reached when one side achieves its goals, which can range from a limited victory to the conquest...

China and the Iran Negotiations

George Friedman - April 6, 2026

The United States and Iran have been engaged in indirect negotiations in Pakistan on ending the Middle East conflict. Indirect talks are always complex...

The Future of War Is Here

George Friedman - March 30, 2026

In my book “The Future of War,” which was published in 1996, I wrote that the future of warfare would be based on unmanned...

Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

George Friedman - March 23, 2026

The war in Iran continues, its outcome uncertain and length unknown. And though the conflict has already affected the global system significantly, things are...