Central Asia

Daily Memo: Some Optimism Amid Lockdowns

Geopolitical Futures - March 24, 2020

Italy recorded its second straight day of reduced cases.

Quarantine and the Supply Chain

George Friedman - March 17, 2020

The global medical community appears to have devised a strategy for mitigating the coronavirus that depends largely on quarantine, or limiting contact among the...

Daily Memo: The Limits of the Coronavirus, Global Security Issues, the German Economy

Geopolitical Futures - February 14, 2020

The grimmest estimates can be helpful for policymakers to know what they need to prepare for.

Daily Memo: Idlib Tests Turkey’s Patience, India-Australia Cooperation, North Korea Low on Cash

Geopolitical Futures - January 29, 2020

Turkey accused Russia of failing to live up to its promises, and the Bank of Korea said Pyongyang was running out of cash.

Geopolitical Futures’ Forecast for 2020

Geopolitical Futures - January 6, 2020

Introduction A year is an arbitrary moment. It is short, its length determined by a planet’s rotation around a sun. It is merely a moment...

Forecast Tracker: 2019 Year-End Review

Geopolitical Futures - January 1, 2020

(click to enlarge) Scale: Hit, Partial Hit, Inconclusive, Partial Miss, Miss A Cycle Ends The U.S. and China will reach a deal on trade, but it won’t...

Daily Memo: Korean Peninsula Security Talks, Armenian Military Modernization

Geopolitical Futures - December 24, 2019

South Korea, China and Japan hold talks on regional security, and Armenia beefs up its military.

Daily Memo: Rising Global Debt, Lebanon’s New Prime Minister, Britain’s Foreign Policy Review

Geopolitical Futures - December 20, 2019

A World Bank study shows staggering levels of global debt, and the Lebanese president appoints a new prime minister.

Cracks Appear in the Turkey-Russia Partnership

Allison Fedirka - December 13, 2019

The contradictions in the Turkish-Russian relationship, which seemed on the surface to be blossoming in recent months, are beginning to show themselves. Any one...