Central Asia

Brief: Russia Wants More From Kazakhstan

Background: Russia made progress last year shoring up its southern and western border areas, by placing peacekeepers in Nagorno-Karabakh and siding with Belarus’ embattled president, respectively. Moscow, however, has paid less attention to its buffer farther east. This could be changing. What Happened: A Russian lawmaker said on state TV last month that Kazakhstan owed […]

The World in 2021

Introduction Our 2020 global forecast began as follows: Economic dysfunction will remain the main driver of the international system in 2020. Economic stress does not simply...

Forecast Tracker: 2020 Year-End Review

(click to enlarge) Scale: Hit, Partial Hit, Inconclusive, Partial Miss, Miss Global Economic dysfunction will be the main driver of the international system in 2020. Economic stress...

Daily Memo: US Liquidity, Chinese Manufacturing

U.S. liquidity. The U.S. Federal Reserve will extend until March 31 four emergency liquidity programs that were set to expire at the end of...

The Geopolitics of Vaccine Distribution

The American pharmaceutical firm Pfizer, in collaboration with German firm BioNTech, surprised the world when it announced that its coronavirus vaccine showed 90 percent...

Daily Memo: Russia’s Missile Test, Concerns Over Central Asia

Conspicuous missile test. Russia’s newest naval corvette for the first time test-launched a cruise missile at a naval target in the Peter the Great...

Daily Memo: Turkey in Azerbaijan, Israeli Strikes in Syria

Turkish troops headed for Azerbaijan. The Turkish parliament approved a presidential decree to send troops to Azerbaijan for one year to help Russian peacekeepers...

Daily Memo: Going After Chinese Companies, Updates on Nagorno-Karabakh

The U.S. goes after Chinese finance. On Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump issued an executive order banning investment in more than 30 Chinese companies...

Daily Memo: China’s 5-Year Plan, Time’s Up in Belarus

China’s next five-year economic playbook. The Fifth Plenum of the Chinese Communist Party Central Committee kicked off on Monday morning, with Chinese leaders gathering...

Daily Memo: Japan’s Energetic Diplomacy, Sino-Russian Gas Trade

Suga in Vietnam. New Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga isn’t wasting time taking advantage of Southeast Asian countries’ desire for deeper regional involvement from...

Daily Memo: China’s Uneven Recovery

China’s economy falls short. China’s economy grew an estimated 4.9 percent year over year in real terms in the third quarter, according to official...

Daily Memo: Kyrgyzstan’s President Resigns, Kim’s Apology Tour Continues

Kyrgyz president resigns. With protests over the results of Oct. 4 parliamentary elections showing no sign of stopping, Kyrgyz President Sooronbai Jeenbekov announced his...

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