HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Resurrecting a Forecast

Geopolitical Futures is the second company I founded to forecast geopolitics. Many things such as the weather and econometrics are forecast with a degree of accuracy. Both methods are imperfect, based as they are on complex events, but they provide a sense of where things are going. It did not seem reasonable to me that […]

The Medical Structure and Calculated Risk

Medical research is always involved in the important work of understanding disease and the human body. It is now at the center of a...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Remembering May 7, 1945

Today, May 7, 2020, is the 75th anniversary of the surrender of Nazi Germany. That day ended an extraordinary period of human history, made...

Power and the Rise and Fall of Nations

Last week, I appeared on a Turkish TV station and spoke to a business group in Switzerland. The same question was the focus of...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Two Versions of May Day

May Day has been special to me since the third grade, when a pole was erected in the center of the schoolyard of PS...

Medical, Economic, Social, Military: The State of Play

A riot broke out in a poor, predominantly Muslim neighborhood north of Paris over the weekend. The immediate cause was a traffic offense and...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Russia and the Fight Against Tragedy

Karl Marx wrote that “history repeats itself twice, the first time as tragedy and the second time as farce.” The collapse of the Soviet...

Recession and Depression

A recession is an essential part of the business cycle. Among other things it culls the weaker businesses and redistributes capital and labor for...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Prisms of Thought

When I began the Thoughts column, I explained that I was using it as a space for thinking about a new book intended to...

The Beginning of Social Dysfunction

A few weeks ago, I laid out a model for thinking about the coronavirus crisis. I argued that there were four structures operating: medical,...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Tuesday Night Poker

Earlier this week I wrote a book review about the breakdown of community and friendship in our time. In that review, I spoke of...

Supply Chains and a Novel Path to Conflict

Though “supply chain” became a household term only in the past generation, it has been around since humans have been engaging in commerce. One...

Latest Posts

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscription Special



The World in 2026

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now