HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

The German Question

George Friedman - January 28, 2022

Regardless of how the Ukraine crisis ends, one thing present but often overlooked is the German question. It’s a question that has hounded Europe for centuries. After the Napoleonic Wars, the concern was whether Germany would unite into a single state. The Germans, especially the leaders of their fractious countryside, worried about this too, for […]

From the European Buffers to the Intermarium

George Friedman - January 14, 2022

Russia has been in the process of reclaiming its buffer zones – the areas in its periphery such as the Caucasus, the Baltics, Central...

The Continuing Storm

George Friedman - January 7, 2022

It has been about two years since “The Storm Before the Calm: America’s Discord, the Crisis of the 2020s, and the Triumph Beyond” was...

America’s Wars and Failures

George Friedman - January 4, 2022

Sixty years ago, in 1962, the United States made the decision to go to war in Vietnam, deploying major ground and air forces to...

Russia, US and Ukraine: The State of Play

George Friedman - December 28, 2021

When nations negotiate, a quiet settles in before the threats begin. Such is the case now between the U.S. and Russia, which will soon...

The Russian Treaty Proposal

George Friedman - December 20, 2021

We have been operating with a model of Russia. Having lost its non-Russian territories with the breakup of the Soviet Union, Russia is missing...

A Moment of Miracles

George Friedman - December 17, 2021

Judaism and Christianity share many things, but the thing most binding is the constant sense of the magnificent impossibility of the world: the miracle...

The Republic of COVID-19

George Friedman - December 14, 2021

The emergence of the omicron variant drives home an essential point: There is no evidence that the COVID-19 pandemic will end. It might, but...

Ukraine, War and American Doctrine

George Friedman - December 10, 2021

During the Vietnam War, an American doctrine emerged whereby wars were primarily political and waging wars signaled to other powers that the U.S. was...