HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Friedman’s Thoughts In and Around Geopolitics: Why There Won’t Be a War With China

Jacek Bartosiak, a close friend and collaborator, wrote a piece earlier in the week that concluded with a discussion of U.S.-China relations. He and I don’t so much disagree on this as arrive from different perspectives, one Polish and the other American. In that sense, I’m not responding to him; I’m creating a parallel universe. […]

Israel and the New American Strategy

The drawdown of U.S. forces in the Middle East, about which we have written a few times now, is already empowering the countries that...

Friedman’s Thoughts In and Around Geopolitics: Texas, the Comanche and a Virus

On an ordinary weekday, my wife and I went for a drive for no reason other than after weeks of being in lockdown we...

Back to the Future: China and the US

The COVID-19 disease, which seems likely to be with us for a long time, has done its part to define history. But it has...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Resurrecting a Forecast

Geopolitical Futures is the second company I founded to forecast geopolitics. Many things such as the weather and econometrics are forecast with a degree...

The Medical Structure and Calculated Risk

Medical research is always involved in the important work of understanding disease and the human body. It is now at the center of a...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Remembering May 7, 1945

Today, May 7, 2020, is the 75th anniversary of the surrender of Nazi Germany. That day ended an extraordinary period of human history, made...

Power and the Rise and Fall of Nations

Last week, I appeared on a Turkish TV station and spoke to a business group in Switzerland. The same question was the focus of...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Two Versions of May Day

May Day has been special to me since the third grade, when a pole was erected in the center of the schoolyard of PS...

Medical, Economic, Social, Military: The State of Play

A riot broke out in a poor, predominantly Muslim neighborhood north of Paris over the weekend. The immediate cause was a traffic offense and...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Russia and the Fight Against Tragedy

Karl Marx wrote that “history repeats itself twice, the first time as tragedy and the second time as farce.” The collapse of the Soviet...

Recession and Depression

A recession is an essential part of the business cycle. Among other things it culls the weaker businesses and redistributes capital and labor for...

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