HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

My Mistake on Ukraine

George Friedman -

Since the beginning of the Russian armored buildup, and even after the entry into Donbas, I argued that the Russians would not invade Ukraine proper. It’s true that Russia must recover Ukraine in some fashion to gain the strategic depth it lost when the Soviet Union collapsed, but that didn’t seem to require a full-scale […]

The Fog of War and the Grammar of War

George Friedman -
The fog of war is an ancient concept, worn but true. Advancing on what he thinks is an enemy position, sitting in an armored...

Europe and the Ukraine Crisis

George Friedman -
Last week, the European Union’s highest court ruled that Brussels can withhold funding from member states that violate the rule of law, slapping down...

Americans, Fear and War

George Friedman -
We are living in a time when war appears imminent, but for many of us, this isn’t our first rodeo. I grew up during...

The Phases of War

George Friedman -
As we consider the American claim that Russia intends to attack Ukraine – which the Kremlin denies – it is useful to consider in...

Is an Invasion of Ukraine Imminent?

George Friedman -
Over the past few days, the United States has warned that a Russian invasion of Ukraine may be imminent. The chairman of the Joint...

Thinking About Global Annihilation

George Friedman -
We are in the midst of a major confrontation between the U.S. and Russia. I was there when President Ronald Reagan bluffed the Soviets...

Russia’s True Strategy Shows Itself

George Friedman -
If you look at the whole of Russia’s behavior around Ukraine, its strategy becomes clear – or as clear as clear gets in geopolitics....

The German Question

George Friedman -
Regardless of how the Ukraine crisis ends, one thing present but often overlooked is the German question. It’s a question that has hounded Europe...

From the European Buffers to the Intermarium

George Friedman -
Russia has been in the process of reclaiming its buffer zones – the areas in its periphery such as the Caucasus, the Baltics, Central...

The Continuing Storm

George Friedman -
It has been about two years since “The Storm Before the Calm: America’s Discord, the Crisis of the 2020s, and the Triumph Beyond” was...

America’s Wars and Failures

George Friedman -
Sixty years ago, in 1962, the United States made the decision to go to war in Vietnam, deploying major ground and air forces to...
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