HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Why I Disagree With Henry Kissinger

Henry Kissinger recently spoke at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, where he made two significant statements. One was that Ukraine must be prepared to cede some territory to Russia in order to reach a peace treaty, and in doing so allow Russian President Vladimir Putin to hold on to his position, which Kissinger […]

A New, Old Global Reality

The United States recently said that it would defend Taiwan in the event China invades it. More interesting is that Japan, a country that...

From Paris to Vienna

My wife and I are still Europe, where we are scheduled to meet with Europeans working in areas in which, to my dismay, some...

Ode to France

Paris, where my wife and I are spending some time, is a city that must be walked, preferably without a map or destination. Like...

A Note on More Personal Considerations

I am writing this from the Fontainebleau hotel in Miami Beach at the beginning of a month of wandering. Meredith and I have wandered...

How the Ukraine War May End

Russia has been waging war in Ukraine for a little over two months now. That’s not an especially long time. The Korean War lasted...

Russia’s Broken Logic for Invading Ukraine

History shows that in war, a rapid victory doesn’t require a carefully considered justification. A country goes in, wins, and makes the case later....

The Beginning of a New Era

A week ago, I wrote a piece on the stages of history, pointing out systemic shifts that have taken place for more than 200...

A Visit to Atomic Land

Earlier this week, my wife and I were in Santa Fe, New Mexico, to speak before the World Affairs Council there (now with the...

The Ukraine War, Redefined

The war in Ukraine began under a faulty assumption shared by many, including the United States, that if Russia invaded, it would defeat Ukraine,...

Historical Phases and Transitions

I have said before that 1991 was the year one era ended and another began. In 1991, the Soviet Union collapsed and the Maastricht...

The World and a Small War

No war is small when you are living in it, but the world is large, and large wars are rare. At the same time,...

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