HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Dissenting Opinions: The Complexity of Naming Things

George Friedman -

Editor’s note: We at GPF are a group of (more or less) like-minded individuals writing for a common purpose – to make sense of the world. It’s a daunting job that makes it impossible for us to agree on everything, so rather than shrink from the task, we have decided to embrace the impossible by […]

Immigration, the Economy and the Italian Election

George Friedman -
Italy elected a hard-right party in parliamentary elections held over the weekend. The result indicates that Italians are unhappy with the country’s reality. Italy...

How to Fight a Nuclear War

George Friedman -
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s occasional threat of nuclear war has achieved its desired goal: to create a sense of catastrophe if the West, and...

Russian Options

George Friedman -
Last week, I discussed the nature of tactical nuclear weapons. They are built for tactical effect, not strategic effect. Strategic nuclear weapons, such as...

Tactical Nuclear Weapons

George Friedman -
There has been endless speculation that Russia might use nuclear weapons in Ukraine. Given that Russian President Vladimir Putin has mentioned their use on...

The War

George Friedman -
During World War II, one needed to say only “the war” for others to know what was being discussed. We have reached the same...

1991: False Dawn

George Friedman -
Editor’s note: Last February, Russia invaded Ukraine in what was merely the newest iteration of Russia’s timeless struggle for strategic depth. In doing so,...

America’s Institutional Crisis

George Friedman -
In my latest book, “The Storm Before the Calm,” I predicted that the U.S. would go through a massive social crisis in the 2020s....

The Death of Gorbachev

George Friedman -
Mikhail Gorbachev died a man whose time had long passed. He saw the opportunity to create a new Russia, built around a reformist movement...

The German Weapons Shortage

George Friedman -
Germany’s foreign minister suggested this week that Germany cannot send more of its own weapons to Ukraine because it has deficient supplies. If this...

Reflections on the Black Sea

George Friedman -
In 2019, my wife and I went to Romania, where in addition to meeting with Romanian leaders and military brass, we visited Constanta, a...

The Permanence of War and Peace

George Friedman -
Last week my friend and colleague, Jacek Bartosiak, wrote a piece for GPF titled “The Scalable World War Ahead,” in which he warned that...
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