HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Understanding Trump

U.S. President Donald Trump’s supporters and detractors are both obsessed with him. They share the belief that everything that has happened is because of him. His supporters believe his staying in office is crucial to the survival of the country. His opponents believe his removal is. The certainty of these facts among each group is […]

A Major Contraction in Jobs

Some 140,000 Americans lost their jobs last month, the largest decline in employment since last April. Yet, the unemployment rate stayed at roughly 6.7...

First Thoughts on a National Tragedy

A physician is taught to avoid emotional involvement with patients. If he suffers with them, the pain will break him and his judgement will...

Yesterday

There are moments in history best grasped by silence. Silence is the best I can do now.

Britain Returns to Its Past

As of Jan. 1, Britain has completed the process of leaving the European Union. The EU has assured all that dire consequences will haunt...

The Intelligence Dilemma

The United States claims to have identified a massive Russian intelligence operation meant to gather secrets from corporations and the government. The line from...

The First and Second Oldest Professions

It’s been reported that Russian operatives penetrated the files of several U.S. companies and government agencies, potentially compromising vital American secrets. I use the...

Arab Recognition of Israel Redefines the Middle East

Last week, Morocco established diplomatic relations with Israel, joining three other Arab countries – the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Sudan – that normalized...

On to the Next Presidency

It’s now clear that Joe Biden will become the 46th president of the United States. There are many who believe he stole the election,...

The Institutional Crisis and COVID-19

In “The Storm Before the Calm,” I wrote of two crises coming to a head in the 2020s: a socio-economic crisis and an institutional...

Happy Birthday to Geopolitical Futures

On Dec. 2, 2015, Geopolitical Futures issued its first publication. That was its birth. Its conception took place months before, in September 2015, in...

The Utility and Morality of Assassination

The head of the Iranian nuclear weapons program was killed Friday near Tehran. The assumption is that he was killed by the Israelis, whose...

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The Geopolitics of the American President

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