HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

When Russia Prepared for the Inconceivable

George Friedman -

Many of our readers have challenged my idea that Russia invaded Ukraine out of fear – fear that, deprived of the strategic depth Ukraine provides, Russia might be invaded and occupied. Rather than debate the moral implications of Russia’s decision to invade, I have argued that having Europe’s easternmost “border” less than 300 miles from […]

China and Russia’s Strategic Problem

George Friedman -
The war in Ukraine, now about 6 months old, is strategically important for a variety of reasons. If Russia defeats Ukraine and takes control...

Homage to the Bronx

George Friedman -
When my wife and I arrived at the Las Vegas airport recently, we saw a sign advertising a show called “The Bronx Wanderers,” apparently...

The Fallout Over Taiwan

George Friedman -
U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s recent visit to Taiwan predictably sparked outrage in China, which responded by flexing its muscles through some not-at-all subtle...

America, War and the Atlantic

George Friedman -
On Aug. 1, 1914, Germany declared war on Russia. Two days later, Germany declared war on France. The following day, Britain declared war on...

Destabilizing Major Powers

George Friedman -
The Geopolitical Futures model argues that the northern tier of entities are the center of power in the global system and define how the...

The Flank of War

George Friedman -
The arena for the Russian-Ukrainian war is obviously Ukraine. But as in most wars, the main arena does not define the war as a...

Strange Events and the Future of the Russo-Ukrainian War

George Friedman -
Russia and Ukraine have signed an agreement to permit the shipping of grain through the Black Sea to world markets. A few hours after...

Ninjas, Crime and Las Vegas

George Friedman -
I’m on a plane to Las Vegas to attend the most important meeting of my year: My grandson is about to compete in the...

Biden in Saudi Arabia: Realpolitik vs. Morality

George Friedman -
The war in Ukraine rages on as the United States still wants to prevent Russia from effectively reaching Eastern Europe. To that end, Washington’s...

The Storm Rages

George Friedman -
In my most recent book, “The Storm Before the Calm,” I predicted that the 2020s would be a period of intense economic and political...

Japan Enters a New Phase in Its History

George Friedman -
Former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was assassinated last week. Days later, his political party won an overwhelming majority in parliament. The Liberal Democratic...
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