HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

The Fallout Over Taiwan

George Friedman - August 9, 2022

U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s recent visit to Taiwan predictably sparked outrage in China, which responded by flexing its muscles through some not-at-all subtle...

America, War and the Atlantic

George Friedman - August 5, 2022

On Aug. 1, 1914, Germany declared war on Russia. Two days later, Germany declared war on France. The following day, Britain declared war on...

Destabilizing Major Powers

George Friedman - August 2, 2022

The Geopolitical Futures model argues that the northern tier of entities are the center of power in the global system and define how the...

The Flank of War

George Friedman - July 29, 2022

The arena for the Russian-Ukrainian war is obviously Ukraine. But as in most wars, the main arena does not define the war as a...

Strange Events and the Future of the Russo-Ukrainian War

George Friedman - July 26, 2022

Russia and Ukraine have signed an agreement to permit the shipping of grain through the Black Sea to world markets. A few hours after...

Ninjas, Crime and Las Vegas

George Friedman - July 22, 2022

I’m on a plane to Las Vegas to attend the most important meeting of my year: My grandson is about to compete in the...

Biden in Saudi Arabia: Realpolitik vs. Morality

George Friedman - July 19, 2022

The war in Ukraine rages on as the United States still wants to prevent Russia from effectively reaching Eastern Europe. To that end, Washington’s...

The Storm Rages

George Friedman - July 15, 2022

In my most recent book, “The Storm Before the Calm,” I predicted that the 2020s would be a period of intense economic and political...

Japan Enters a New Phase in Its History

George Friedman - July 12, 2022

Former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was assassinated last week. Days later, his political party won an overwhelming majority in parliament. The Liberal Democratic...