HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Russia, China and the United States: First Shots

Any time there is a new U.S. president, major powers set out to test him and lay the groundwork for future bargaining in potential...

Poetry and Forecasting

Earlier this week, I wrote an analysis about Chinaā€™s strategy, the kind of piece that is what is expected in this industry. I end...

Chinaā€™s Strategic Standpoint

One of the hardest problems of foreign policy is developing an accurate evaluation of a potential adversaryā€™s intentions and capabilities, which are frequently separate...

A Good Man Is Hard to Find

Last week, I wrote about the disagreement over which course the United States should take in the fight against the coronavirus. I concluded by...

B-52s in the Middle East

For all the worldā€™s vastness and complexity, my attention is constantly drawn back to the Middle East, where there is much to think about....

COVID-19 and the American Climax

On Tuesday, I received my first COVID-19 vaccine dose by driving over 100 miles to Waco, Texas, to a CVS Pharmacy where the vaccine...

The US, Iran and Bargaining Positions

The Iranian government has announced that it will not attend the first round of negotiations over restoring the agreement that limited its ability to...

Know Your Enemy

The most important thing in poker is knowing who you are playing against. You need to know his weakness ā€“ not all of them,...

Americaā€™s Iran Strategy

President Barack Obamaā€™s administration had a primary goal in the Middle East: It did not want Iran to become a nuclear power. It did...

Texas Weather

Somewhere I heard the saying that climate is what you expect, and weather is what you get. I live in Texas and we certainly...

Speculating on China and Cuba

From a military standpoint, China is in a difficult position. It is a trading power and needs access to the global oceans. Its significant...

The Crisis of the Medical Establishment

It has been about a year since the world entered a medical crisis for which there had been no cure. For much of the...

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