HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

A New Command for the Same War

A few days ago, Russian President Vladimir Putin decided to replace the military commander in charge of the Ukraine war with Gen. Sergei Surovikin,...

Reviewing ā€˜Blind Spot’

I was invited to review a book written by Jon Clifton titled ā€œBlind Spot: The Global Rise of Unhappiness and How Leaders Missed It.ā€...

What Is Russia Thinking??

The reason for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was clear: Moscow wanted strategic depth. Nothing Russia has done since, however, has been clear. The military...

Dissenting Opinions: The Complexity of Naming Things

Editor’s note: We at GPF are a group of (more or less) like-minded individuals writing for a common purpose – to make sense of...

Immigration, the Economy and the Italian Election

Italy elected a hard-right party in parliamentary elections held over the weekend. The result indicates that Italians are unhappy with the country’s reality. Italy...

How to Fight a Nuclear War

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s occasional threat of nuclear war has achieved its desired goal: to create a sense of catastrophe if the West, and...

Russian Options

Last week, I discussed the nature of tactical nuclear weapons. They are built for tactical effect, not strategic effect. Strategic nuclear weapons, such as...

Tactical Nuclear Weapons

There has been endless speculation that Russia might use nuclear weapons in Ukraine. Given that Russian President Vladimir Putin has mentioned their use on...

The War

During World War II, one needed to say only ā€œthe warā€ for others to know what was being discussed. We have reached the same...

1991: False Dawn

Editor’s note: Last February, Russia invaded Ukraine in what was merely the newest iteration of Russia’s timeless struggle for strategic depth. In doing so,...

America’s Institutional Crisis

In my latest book, ā€œThe Storm Before the Calm,ā€ I predicted that the U.S. would go through a massive social crisis in the 2020s....

The Death of Gorbachev

Mikhail Gorbachev died a man whose time had long passed. He saw the opportunity to create a new Russia, built around a reformist movement...

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