GPF Team

Geopolitical Futures is a company that charts the course of the international system. It’s an ambitious mission, maybe even foolhardy, but hear us out.

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Watch List Findings: Jan. 7, 2017

What follows are the preliminary findings for issues identified in the daily Watch Lists this week. We are only sending findings that we regard as significant or potentially significant to keep this email manageable. We have findings for all the Watch List items. Should you be interested in findings not listed here, please contact us […]

Israeli Population Increase, 2016

Jan. 6, 2017 Advocates of a two-state solution for the Israeli-Palestinian conflict often argue that demographics loom as an existential threat to Israel’s continued existence as a democracy and Jewish state.

However, the fertility rate is not a significant concern for Jewish Israel. Per the latest available data from Israel’s Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS), the fertility rate for Israeli Jews and Israeli Arabs was an identical 3.13 children per woman in 2015. This means that Israel has no concerns regarding population growth since 2.1 is the necessary fertility rate for such growth. It also means that Israel has no concerns relative to its Arab population because the Israeli Arab fertility rate is not appreciably greater than the Jewish population’s.

The 2nd Phase in the Battle for Mosul Begins

Jan. 6, 2017 Islamic State fighters are trying to draw coalition forces away from Mosul.

Political Conspiracies in China

Jan. 5, 2017 The Chinese president is becoming more direct in his accusations against his opponents.

Watch List: Jan. 5, 2017

The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item...

Demographics and the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

Jan. 5, 2017 The demographics argument in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict deserves more scrutiny.

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