GPF Team

Geopolitical Futures is a company that charts the course of the international system. It’s an ambitious mission, maybe even foolhardy, but hear us out.

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Turkey, Secularism and Religion

April 17, 2017 A struggle between two segments of Turkish society is emerging.

Major Choke Points in the Persian Gulf and East Asia

April 17, 2017 For Persian Gulf exporters and East Asian consumers, the free passage of oil shipments is essential.

Watch List: April 17, 2017

The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item...

Report: U.S. mulls strike on North Korea

North Koreans don’t want to lose their nuclear facilities, says George Friedman. Full Story

Watch Listing Findings: April 15, 2017

What follows are the preliminary findings for issues identified in the daily Watch Lists this week. We are only sending findings that we regard as significant or potentially significant...

Presence of Salafism in the Middle East and North Africa

April 14, 2017 Salafism originated in the mid-18th century in an area that now encompasses Saudi Arabia. It can best be described as a tendency that envisions an austere form of Islam. This modern trend within Islam began as a corrective movement in 18th century Arabia to bring Muslims back to the religion’s original creed.

For many decades, the kingdom exported Salafism and associated ultraconservative ideas by constructing and purchasing mosques, underwriting seminaries, publishing literature, dispatching clerics, supporting charities and so on. Over time, however, it gradually lost control over the Salafist ideology itself, and three distinct branches formed: quietist, jihadist and electoral.

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How the Ukraine War Will Likely End

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The Geopolitics of the American President

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