The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item on our Watch List becomes critical, we will email you a full analysis explaining its significance. Each Saturday, we will follow up our daily Watch List for each week with our conclusions on these issues. China: China’s National Bureau of Statistics published a bevy of data indicating slightly higher than expected GDP growth (6.9 percent) in the first quarter and year-on-year increases in imports, exports, fixed asset investment, industrial production, service industries and other areas. We often refer to the unreliability of Chinese statistics. Rather than obsess over a 0.1 percent greater-than-expected GDP figure that cannot be checked, we need to examine data from China’s General Administration of Customs on imports and exports by country and compare it with International Monetary Fund data on import and exports. North Korea: North Korea’s bark was worse than its bite over the weekend. The Kim Il Sung celebration did not feature a nuclear test as threatened, just a malfunctioning missile test. Meanwhile, the United State Pacific Command announced it will hold its annual Max […]

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