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Daily Memo: Israel’s Plans for Gaza

Israel's deadline. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has set a deadline of next October...

Plans for Greenland’s Development

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(click to enlarge) Greenland’s newly elected parliament has formed a coalition government that prioritizes business development and eventual independence, though parties differ on the timeline....

Latest Analysis

How Wars End

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Wars – which I will define broadly as matters of military conflict sustained partly...

China Bolsters Presence on Indian Border

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(click to enlarge) Since the 2020 clashes between Chinese and Indian troops in the Galwan...
2025 Forecast:
The World Without an Anchor

The international order is about to get less orderly.

What the Latest India-Pakistan Conflict Means for the US

A recent attack in the India-controlled region of Kashmir, reportedly conducted by Pakistan-backed militants,...

A New Challenge to Kim’s Rule in North Korea

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un could be facing a new threat to his...

US Assault on Houthis Brings No Relief for Yemen

With U.S. airstrikes against the Houthi rebels intensifying, Yemen is at a critical juncture....

The Trump-Putin Negotiations

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I normally avoid personalizing geopolitical events, since I regard nations, not leaders, to be...
From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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How Wars End

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Wars – which I will define broadly as matters of military conflict sustained partly by the nature of the soldiers fighting and partly by...

The Storm Before the Calm

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Forecasts

The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Regional Directory

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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