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Daily Memo: Nuclear Negotiations and Israeli Preparations

Headed for Rome. The next round of U.S.-Iran nuclear talks will be held in...

Latest Analysis

A Tale of Two Elections

In the space of a week, two of the United States’ closest historical allies...

Different Outlooks on Trump’s Gulf Visit

U.S. President Donald Trump announced his intention in March to visit and conclude trade...

America in Transition

From disruption to reconstruction.

The US Shifts Course in the Red Sea Standoff

Earlier this month, U.S. President Donald Trump announced the end of U.S. airstrikes against...

Russia’s Rivers: A Viable Trade Alternative?

In a bit of performance art at Russia’s Victory Day parade on May 9,...

Saudi Arabia and US Strategy for the Middle East

The United States has upgraded Saudi Arabia’s international standing as part of Washington’s broader...

A Shrinking China Scrambles for a New Economic Model

China is shifting from an export- and investment-driven economy to one based on domestic...
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George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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Russia’s Negotiating Strategy

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It has been about three months since U.S. President Donald Trump began the negotiation process with Russian President Vladimir Putin for peace in Ukraine....

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Regional Directory

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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