Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Trump Questions NATO

Americas Geopolitical Futures -
End of an era? In an interview published by the Telegraph on Wednesday, U.S....
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Weekly Graphic

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Eurasia

Logistical Complications for Russian Energy Exports

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Against the backdrop of the war in the Middle East, sharply rising energy prices, and the temporary easing of U.S. sanctions on...
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Americas

Cuba’s Energy Crisis

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Cuba's energy crisis has been going on for years but is now taking on a geopolitical dimension. The country's electricity infrastructure has...
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Europe

EU Economies Can’t Catch a Break

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) The European economy failed to sustain its modest momentum in the fourth quarter of 2025, with growth slowing to 0.2 percent compared...
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Middle East and North Africa

Disrupted Oil Operations in the Persian Gulf

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Though oil prices have surged since the start of fighting in the Middle East, investors are still hopeful that the war will...
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Latest Analysis

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Sketches of the Middle East After the Iran War

AnalysisKamran Bokhari -
The war in Iran is likely to wind down soon – at least in...
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What to Expect From the Trump-Xi Summit

AnalysisVictoria Herczegh -
The White House recently confirmed May 14 as the long-anticipated date for President Donald...
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The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

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What to Know About the Artesh, Iran’s Conventional Military

AnalysisAndrew Davidson -
Rather than a single, unified military force, Iran operates a two-headed machine comprising the...
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The Future of War Is Here

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
In my book “The Future of War,” which was published in 1996, I wrote...
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George Answers Your Questions: Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe March 23, 2026 Question: Isn’t the Trump administration’s real goal...
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China’s Fertilizer Diplomacy in a Time of Energy Shock

AnalysisVictoria Herczegh -
The breakdown in energy and fertilizer markets resulting from the war in the Middle...
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From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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The Future of War Is Here

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George Friedman -
In my book “The Future of War,” which was published in 1996, I wrote that the future of warfare would be based on unmanned...
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The Storm Before the Calm

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Forecasts

The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

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Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Forecasts

Press Room

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US Bargaining With China and Russia

Analysis Kamran Bokhari -
With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...
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American Naval Policy and China

Analysis George Friedman -
Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...
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Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

Analysis Antonia Colibasanu -
One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...
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All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

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The Future of War Is Here

FREE
AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
In my book “The Future of War,” which was published in 1996, I wrote that the future of warfare would be based on unmanned...
Read more

George Answers Your Questions: Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe March 23, 2026 Question: Isn’t the Trump administration’s real goal in the Iran war to limit China’s future capability to...
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Logistical Complications for Russian Energy Exports

FREE
EurasiaGeopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Against the backdrop of the war in the Middle East, sharply rising energy prices, and the temporary easing of U.S. sanctions on...
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Daily Memo: US and Iran Bolster Forces

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Deployment. The United States is considering deploying an additional 10,000 troops to the Middle East, the Wall Street Journal reported, despite signals from the...
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China’s Fertilizer Diplomacy in a Time of Energy Shock

AnalysisVictoria Herczegh -
The breakdown in energy and fertilizer markets resulting from the war in the Middle East has been uncomfortable for China, but it’s been worse...
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China, Iran and the Future of Taiwan

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VideoGeopolitical Futures -
With the long-awaited meeting between Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping delayed until May, all eyes are on the two giants and the long shadow they cast on the Iran war and the world at large. On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss China’s strategic restraint in the Middle East, economic fragility and rapprochement with the US, and the importance of Taiwan.
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