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Briefs

Brief: Serbia’s Show of Force to Kosovo

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Background: Kosovo declared its independence from Serbia in 2008, less than 10 years after a NATO-led peacekeeping operation began there. Serbia, however, has yet...

Brief: The UK and the USMCA

Background: The post-Brexit United Kingdom is still trying to define its new role in the international system. London has been trying to replace the...

Featured

Europeā€™s Exposure to Turkeyā€™s Problems

For well over a year, Turkey has been projecting an image of itself that is out of sync with the reality at home. It...

Egypt and Ethiopiaā€™s Dispute Is Getting Worse

Egypt has been displeased with Ethiopiaā€™s plan to dam the Blue Nile River since the project was announced more than a decade ago. Egyptā€™s...

Trumpā€™s Approach to Europe

I intended to expand on my column from earlier this week on the conflict in the Middle East, but instead I think Iā€™ll address...

The US Election and Its Impact on the Middle East

Editorā€™s note: Yesterday was election day in the United States. We at GPF tend to avoid the pontifications and predictions of electoral politics, not...

The Illusion of Palestinian Statehood

The idea of a two-state solution was a Palestinian concept that gradually gained international support. Its broad outlines began to take shape in the...

War Without Decision: In the Context of the Middle East – Part 1

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The Middle East is in disarray, and itā€™s unclear if it can stabilize itself on its own. In many cases, a nationā€™s military can...

Black Sea Region: Divided, Not Quite Conquered

Recent elections in Bulgaria, Georgia and Moldova signal a shifting power balance in the Black Sea region, where a clash between Western and Russian...

In Iran, Israeli Attacks Create the Ultimate Dilemma

Israel attacked Iran last Friday in a large-scale air assault that struck targets across the country. The implications of the attack ā€“ long-feared by...

Chinaā€™s Next ā€˜Great Leap Forwardā€™

Following a meeting of the Chinese Communist Partyā€™s Central Committee and State Council, Beijing issued a new directive to develop an advanced industrial workforce...

Rare Earths and Rare Opportunities in Central Asia

Central Asia has become more geopolitically important lately ā€“ not just as the underbelly of its economically challenged and politically isolated neighbor, Russia, but...

Daily Memo: Georgian Elections, British Military Reforms

Results are in. Georgian President Salome Zourabichvili vowed not to recognize the results of parliamentary elections held over the weekend that saw the governing...

The Danger of Unfatal Wounds

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ā€œIf you must wound someone, it is better to kill him.ā€ Iā€™ve encountered some version of this missive throughout the course of my career. And...

BRICS Runs Into a Wall

For leaders such as Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping, the annual BRICS summit is an excellent opportunity to present a vision of a world...

What We're Reading

What We’re Reading: Trade and the Ancient World

The Roman Empire and the Silk Routes: The Ancient World Economy and the Empires of Parthia, Central Asia and Han China By Raoul McLaughlin ā€œThe Roman...

What We’re Reading: All About Europe

Europe's Future: Decoupling and Reforming By Sergio Fabbrini Sergio Fabbrini is easily one of the most important political scientists studying EU governance. His essays are required...

What We’re Reading: Silence and Sleep

The Silence By Don DeLillo Last week, a bunch of us Texans prepared for the worst as a winter storm pelted our homes with freezing rain...

What We’re Reading: Robots and Russian Heroes

Burn-In: A Novel of the Real Robotic Revolution By August Cole and P.W. Singer The plot of ā€œBurn-Inā€ is ā€¦ fine. Written by the same duo...

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War Without Decision: In the Context of the Middle East – Part 1

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The Middle East is in disarray, and itā€™s unclear if it can stabilize itself on its own. In many cases, a nationā€™s military can...
George Friedman’s new book:
The Storm Before the Calm

The Storm before the Calmā€œWho will win the acrimonious 2020 presidential election? Shockingly, it wonā€™t actually matter that much, argues renowned geopolitical forecaster George Friedman. America, he contends, is governed less by leaders and legislation and more by cyclical forces that work deep within the nationā€™s unique structure.ā€
Lone Star Literary Life

Daily Memo: Philippines Reaffirms Maritime Claims, World Leaders React to US Election

Rocking the boat. Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. signed two laws that reasserted the limits of the countryā€™s maritime and resource claims, including in...

Media / Interviews

The U.S. Strengthens the Second Island Chain

Much has been made of the U.S.ā€™ efforts to contain China. Central to its strategy is the first island chain, a line of islands comprising the Philippines, South Korea, Taiwan and Japan that naturally obstruct Chinaā€™s access to the open seas. And now that Washington is increasingly confident in South Korea and Japanā€™s ability to manage the first chain, it is increasingly eager to focus on a second island chain, one to be managed by Australia. ā€“ Ronan Wordsworth Full Story

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The Financial Cost of Climate Change

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(click to enlarge) Insurance losses from natural disasters in the first half of 2024 were greater than the gross domestic product of more than half...

Daily Memo: Iranian Response, Russian-North Korean Contacts

Tehran's next move. Iran is preparing to attack Israel from Iraqi territory in retaliation for airstrikes on Iranian military sites last weekend, according to...

Black Sea Region: Divided, Not Quite Conquered

Recent elections in Bulgaria, Georgia and Moldova signal a shifting power balance in the Black Sea region, where a clash between Western and Russian...

Daily Memo: Taliban’s Challenges, Israel’s Cease-Fire Plans

Losing grip. The Taliban are facing increasing resistance in Afghanistan that could undermine their ability to remain in power, according to the Asia Times....

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The Geopolitics of Donald Trump

ā€œThere are those who regard Donald Trump as too stupid to make decisions. There are others who regard him as a brilliant if instinctive crafter of policy. What we know of him is this. "

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